Unusual Options Activity in Microsoft $MSFT - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Unusual Options Activity in Microsoft $MSFT

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Recently, there has been some unusual options activity in Microsoft $MSFT. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Unusual Options Activity in Microsoft $MSFT


1
  • OPTIONS TRADING RESEARCH

Unusual Options Activity In Microsoft MSFT
2
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  • Hi, My name is Steve and Im with Options Trading
    Research, today were reviewing our recently
    published article

5
  • Unusual Options Activity In Microsoft MSFT

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  • As many of you know, unusual options activity can
    be a valuable indicator as to what traders are
    thinking, and more importantly, where these
    stocks are heading in the short-term.

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  • This is something professional options traders
    pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason
    Unusual options activity can tip off big moves
    in a stock, either up or down.
  • So lets take a look at some interesting
    activity that caught our eye this week

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  • Microsoft MSFT, as you likely are aware, is the
    largest software company in the world. The
    company generates nearly 94 billion in revenues
    and 12 billion in profits per year. For a good
    description of the company, follow the link.

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  • MSFT is trading at 43.22, down 6 for the year.
    Thats 12 below the 52-week high, and 10 from
    the 52-week low.

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  • So what does unusual options activity in MSFT
    tell us?

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  • The stock market has been quite volatile lately
    but has been more down than up. As such, its no
    surprise for large companies like MSFT to be down
    with the overall market.

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  • Tech companies have been hit particularly hard as
    investors have been quick to take profits in the
    sector. MSFT was having a mostly quiet year until
    dropping along with the broad market during the
    correction.

13
  • However, the company is getting ready to release
    some new products heading into the holiday
    season. And, the software giant has been active
    in the acquisition space as well.
  • Heres the deal

14
  • This week, a trader bought a large block of put
    debit spreads in MSFT. Keep in mind, a debit
    spread is any type of spread which results in a
    cash outflow. In this case,the debit spread is a
    vertical put spread,which makes money if the
    underlying goes down,up to a certain strike.

15
  • Specifically, a trader purchased 8,000 November
    40 puts for 1.16 while simultaneously selling
    the November 35 puts for 0.40. The total cash
    outlay for this trade is roughly 600,000, which
    is the max loss for the trade.

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  • On the other hand, the max gain for the trade
    occurs if MSFT closes at 35 or below on
    expiration. Total profit for the spread would be
    3.4 million in that scenario.
  • Heres the chart of MSFT

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  • As youd expect, MSFT plunged below the 50-day
    moving average during the peak of the latest
    correction. The stock has stabilized around the
    current price, which is still a fair amount below
    the 50-day line, despite having regained ground.

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  • This trade could be suggesting that theres still
    quite a bit more downside left in MSFT before the
    end of the year (or at least November). After
    all, the stock has barely been below 40 this
    year (and nowhere near 35).

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  • Given the strikes in play, its much more likely
    that this spread is a hedge against a long MSFT
    stock position. The company has beaten earnings
    recently, and could get a boost from holiday
    product launches.

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  • The put spread is a relatively cheap way to
    protect against a big downward move.

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  • More Options Trading Ideas

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  • Keep in mind, theres a lot more unusual options
    activity going on than what we discuss here.We
    just try to bring you what we feel are the most
    significant ones and the ones you might actually
    be able to make some money on!

24
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