Oil Industry Bankruptcies:ComingTo Your Portfolio? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Oil Industry Bankruptcies:ComingTo Your Portfolio?

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With loan redetermination season coming soon, oil industry bankruptciesmay become a more common theme. Editor Justin Bennett explains the dire situation. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Oil Industry Bankruptcies:ComingTo Your Portfolio?


1
Commodity Trading Research
Are Oil Industry Bankruptcies Coming To Your
Portfolio?
2
Welcome to Commodity Trading Research Your
premier site for fundamental and technical
analysis for profitable Commodity Trading. For
more info on Commodity Trading Research visit our
website www.CommodityTradingResearch.com
3
  • Get Your Free Report on the BEST Commodity
    Stocks!
  • Well tell you about this
  • Special Offer
  • at the end of the video!

4
  • Hi, My name is Justin and Im with Commodity
    Trading Research, today were reviewing our
    recently published article

5
  • Are Oil Industry Bankruptcies Coming To Your
    Portfolio?

6
  • No doubt about it, the recent 20 jump in crude
    prices is a welcome sign. With West Texas
    Intermediate (WTI) back in the mid-40 range
    theres a good possibility late Augusts stunning
    rally set a bottom in the market.

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  • But whatever you do, dont think the worst is
    over for the US oil exploration industry You
    see, loan redetermination season is about to hit.

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  • Thats when oil explorers have the value of their
    oil reservesreexamined by the banks holding their
    loans. Since the price of WTI is down 53 since
    last year at this time, many producers will
    likely find their reserve values have been cut in
    half.

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  • That creates a big problem
  • Since oil reserves are the key asset explorers
    take out loans or lines of credit against, a big
    drop in reserve value will create even more
    financial stress on heavily indebted producers.

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  • Borrowing bases (a big source of oil exploration
    liquidity) will be slashed to reflect the new
    value of their properties.

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  • But thats just the start of the problems many
    explorers are about to experience

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  • A large swath of the US oil industry has been
    protected from the crude price downturn due to
    hedging activity. Fact is, many oil explorers
    have been selling crude at 70 a barrel or higher
    this year thanks to hedges created many months
    earlier.

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  • Trouble is, those high priced hedges are about to
    expire. And once they do, oil companies will no
    longer be able to sell their product at an
    inflated price.

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  • Oil Industry Bankruptcies Which Companies Are
    Most At Risk?

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  • While asset redetermination affects the oil
    exploration industry as a whole its the small,
    highly indebted producers that will feel the most
    pain.

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  • You see, once credit lines are slashedit gets
    much harder for financially stressedexplorers to
    access essential operating capital. And since
    theyll start selling oil at current market
    prices, cash flows will dwindle quickly.

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  • As a result, the odds drastically increase of
    small producersbeing sold for pennies on the
    dollar- or going bankrupt.
  • Is there any hope?

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  • For most small-cap oil companies its a dire
    financial situation that can only be resolved by
    a return to higher oil prices.
  • While the outlook is grim, lets be perfectly
    clear on something

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  • Each oil producers financial situation is
    unique, so its very hard to predict which will
    go bankrupt and which wont.

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  • What I can tell you is this

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  • Many investors mistakenly believe investing in
    oversold small-cap oil producers is great bet
    right now.
  • After all, with the share price of many companies
    down 70- 90 in the past year you can pick them
    up on the cheap.

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  • All you have to do is just wait for the
    inevitable return to higher prices- right? While
    that scenario is possible, it has huge risks
    attached.

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  • Fact is, investing in the small-cap oil industry
    is akin to walking through a minefield right now.
    One wrong step and you may find yourself holding
    onto worthless shares of aonce-promising rebound
    story.

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  • Remember, this isnt the first time Ive warned
    you about the huge risks in the small-cap oil
    exploration space. In March 2015. I supplied some
    easy steps to help you avoid the worst companies.
    And just last month I told you about five oil
    producers

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  • Bottom line

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  • While the bottom for crude oil prices may be at
    hand, theres still a long road of financial pain
    ahead for many in the oil industry.

27
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28
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29
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