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Demography of Lambeth

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Title: Demography of Lambeth


1
Demography of Lambeth
2
This presentation includes1. Total
population2. Birth rate3. Ethnicity4.
Density5. Deprivation6. Migration
Demography - London Borough of Lambeth
3
Lambeth Population Estimates(From different
sources)
Dec 2006
2006 Estimate
2006/07 weighted
2005 ONS
The total practice registered population is
approximately 22.5 more than the resident
population based on ONS estimates.
  • Source Office of National Statistics (ONS)
    Greater London Authority (GLA) Quality
    Management Analysis System (QMAS) Finance Dept.
    at Lambeth PCT.

4
Lambeth Population Estimates by sex(From
different sources)
Dec 2006
2005 MYE
2006 Estimate
The total practice registered population is
approximately 22.5 more than the resident
population based on ONS estimates.
  • Source Office of National Statistics (ONS)
    Greater London Authority (GLA) Quality
    Management Analysis System (QMAS)

5
Note on Population estimates
  • ONS Office for National Statistics projects
    mid-year population estimates (MYE) based on 2001
    census data with inputs on fertility, future
    survival, migrations etc. The ONS 2004-based
    projections have been used by the Communities and
    Local Government (CLG) as a base for 2004- based
    household projections.
  • GLA Greater London Authority 2006 Round
    demographic projections use the structural
    results from the CLG based household projections.
    GLA offers borough level projections with inputs
    on fertility, future survival, migrations and
    uses updated estimates of recently completed
    development, the latest local trends in fertility
    and mortality and the latest data on migration
    affecting London. GLA incorporates ONS estimates
    and ONS national labour force projections, for
    population projection.
  • Relevant Population The weighted capitation
    formula used by DH to allocate funding includes
    four components Hospital and Community Health
    Services (HCHS), Prescribing Primary Medical
    Services and HIV.

6
Population Structure in Lambeth Age profile in
GP registered population
52.1 population is in the age band 20-44 yrs
Source QMAS data December 2006
7
Lambeth Population Pyramid 5 year age bands -
Compared to EW and London population
  • Young 45 (20-39 yrs)
  • Diverse 26 Black
  • Mobile 15
  • Higher density
  • Vulnerable groups
  • Refugees
  • Asylum seekers
  • Homeless

8
GLA projections of Lambeth population 2007-2013
According to GLA, the population in Lambeth is
expected to rise from 279,654 in 2007 to 290,904
by 2013 - A rise of 11,250. In comparison the
ONS estimates a rise in the Lambeth Population by
only 2,700
Source GLA Review of London Plan High (RLP High)
Population Projections 2006. For internal use
only.
9
Under 18 Age-group projections for Lambeth
2007-2013
According to GLA, the under 18 population in
Lambeth is expected to rise from 61,477 in 2007
to 64,503 by 2013 - A rise of 3026 from baseline
year. The ONS, projects a fall in the under 18
population by 1,500 from the baseline year.
Source GLA Review of London Plan High (RLP High)
Population Projections 2006. For internal use
only.
10
Over 18 Age-group projections for Lambeth
2007-2013
According to GLA, the under 18 population in
Lambeth is expected to rise from 218,177 in 2007
to 226,401 by 2013 - A rise of 8224 from the
baseline year. The ONS data also shows a steady
rise but only by 4200 from 2007.
Source GLA Review of London Plan High (RLP High)
Population Projections 2006. For internal use
only.
11
Population change 2005-2020 ONS based
population projections
12
Population Change
13
Birth Rate
14
Crude Birth Rate for Lambeth 1999-2005
Source Annual Public Health Report Lambeth
Primary Care Trust
15
Projection of birth rate in Lambeth from
2007-2012 based on data from 2001-2006
Projection
Note Please use projected figures on births with
caution because - projection is based on
calculation of predicted exponential growth using
existing births data. This may not reflect the
absolute pattern that may follow in practice.
16
Ethnicity
17
Ethnic Population in Lambeth borough
Source of information GLA 2005 Round Interim
Ethnic Group Projections
18
Ethnic Group Classification
19
BME communities in Lambeth 2007 estimates
Source of information GLA 2005 Round Interim
Ethnic Group Projections
20
BME Population projection for Lambeth 2001,
2007, 2012
Source of information GLA 2005 Round Interim
Ethnic Group Projections
21
Population projection by ethnicity - White(Red)
and BME(Green) from 2006 - 2026
Source GLA Review of London Plan High (RLP High)
Population Projections 2006
22
Density
23
Population density
  • The Population density in Lambeth Borough is more
    than twice that of the average for Greater London.

Source Ordnance survey Boundary Line Office
for National Statistics
24
Deprivation
25
Deprivation
16 out of Lambeths 21 wards are amongst
the most deprived in England
26
Deprivation in Wards in Lambeth
Rank within 20-40
Rank within 20 most deprived wards
27
Lambeth Ward level population by sex with
deprivation profile
Source RND MYE 2005 Ward level population
estimates for resident population
28
Migration
29
ONS Migration 2004-2005 as a gross percent of MYE
2005 population Inner London Boroughs
30
Migration Patterns 2005 (inflow/outflow)
31
Population mobility - Lambeth
Source Office for National Statistics.
32
Net International Migration to and from UK

Source Office for National Statistics Available
from http//www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?i
d260
33
Further analysis is possible with regard to
population projection by specific age-groups,
sex, ethnicity etc., as well as for ward level
data.
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