ULI Moscow November 30, 2005 Cars, Cities, Suburbs, Traffic: US European Lessons

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ULI Moscow November 30, 2005 Cars, Cities,
Suburbs, Traffic US / European Lessons

• Robert T. Dunphy
• Senior Resident Fellow, Transportation and
  Infrastructure, Urban Land Institute

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Growth and Transport in the US - Challenges

• Most growth in the suburbs
• Suburban downtowns
• Cars growing faster than drivers
• Neglect mature transit for new
• New Develop difficult to in cities

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Americans Want

• Home Ownership
• Mobility
• Variety of Shopping
• Jobs
• Clean Environment

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Transportation Development Disconnect

• Now Few places w/o car

• Then
• Many choices
• Bus, tram, walk
• Short trips

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Source American Public Transportation Association
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Source American Public Transportation Association
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Primary Transit
Secondary Transit
New Transit
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Transit Markets
Midtown New York
Philadelphia
Primary
Chicago
Secondary
Boston
Tertiary
San Francisco
Dallas
Washington, DC
Seattle
Houston
Portland
Los Angeles
Atlanta
Source Torto Research, U.S. Census, PR Newswire
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Many Modes of Transit
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Good News For Transit
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Source Rebecca Sohmer and Robert Lang Downtown
Rebound, 1990-2000 US Census
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Transport Friendly Growth
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Whats in a Name?

• transit-oriented development (TOD)
• Developing Around Transit
• Avoid TAD

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Better Growth, Better Transport

• Walk, transit choices
• Adds Transit riders
• Profitable
• Compact, Mix of Uses
• Desirable Communities

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Remaking the Image of Transit

• Ride/Comfort
• Shelter
• Connections
• Speed/Reliability
• Information

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Los Angeles Metro Rapid

• Better Look
• Ridership 42
• More Effectiveness
• Comml Property Values up

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New York City

• Transit Reinvestment
• More riders
• 90 (80-2000)

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Extensive Transit for Less Curitiba, Brazil

• Extensive coverage
• Fast service
• Affordable

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Urban Opportunities Transit vs. Development

• More transit , less driving
• Revitalizes city
• But
• More expensive
• High Risk
• Uncertain Profits

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Lindbergh Station Atlanta Developer driven,
community resistant
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Suburban Challenges Transit vs. Development

• Conventional Patterns increase driving, make
  transit difficult
• But - Where the Growth is, so make it more
  transit friendly

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Arlington Heights Older Commuter Suburb
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Concord, CA Downtown for a New Suburb

• Planned downtown stopped in mid stream
• Leadership from BART

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Arlington County Revitalizing a Suburban strip

• Declining corridor
• Lumber yards
• Pawn Shops
• Oil Tanks

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Arlington Concept Plan

• Move Transit from Freeway to Main St
• Cluster Development

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Rosslyn Ballston Land Use Plan
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Relation with Historic City Center Form of the
River Restore Wetland Cultural Axis New Bridge
Links Prominent Bldgs Water
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THU THIEM VISION
12000
SCALE STUDY
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Make Buses a Great Idea

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Think Development Vision

•  Future-oriented reality based
•  Stakeholders
• implementation
• Cheap transit, cheap sites
• Be attuned to private sector

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Public Private Partnerships

• Public sector
• Land-assembly
• Make site development ready
• Ease the entitlement process
• Land, infrastructure costs
• Develop, manages Transit

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Public Private Partnerships (continued)

• Private developers
• real estate expertise
• contacts with end users
• understanding of financial resources
• Timing Critical Need Attentive staff
• DOT helps private development

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Get the Parking Right
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Get the Parking Right

•    Move
•    Share
•    Deck
•    Wrap

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Encourage Every Price Point to Live Around Transit
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Engage Corporate Attention

• Put transit on site checklist
• BellSouth Corporation--consolidating to MARTA
  stations

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Principles for Better Suburban Development

• Connections
• Create walking opportunities
• Transit ready development
• Town Centers
• Rethink Parking
• Fair pricing

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Use multiple connections to enhance mobility and
circulation
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What else can we do to ImproveTransport ?

• Manage the Streets
• Fix Signals, Remove Accidents
• Telecommuting Reduce peak
• Pricing
• Road corridors
• London Congestion charge
• Road,Transit Expansion Land Use link

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Transport and Growth in Europe - Differences

• Cities - industry, retail strong in centers
• Limited suburbanization
• Well maintained public transport
• Urban development easier
• Redevelopment opportunities

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Transport and Growth in Europe - Challenges

• Maintain aging transport facilities
• Growing automobile use
• Transit Taken for granted
• Importance of maintaining historic features and
  design quality
• Market pressures for suburbanization

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Fred Dock Robert Cervero Maureen McAvey Doug
Porter Bob Dunphy
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Thanks!Robert T. Dunphy www.uli.org
800-321-5011