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Electoral Reform Society Scotland

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Electoral Reform Society Scotland. Local elections: one year on ... Electoral Reform Society Scotland. Local elections: one year on. Gains and losses of seats ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Electoral Reform Society Scotland


1
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
2
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Lewis Baston,
Director of Research
Electoral Reform Society
Local elections one year on
3
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
4
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Scotlands STV elections, 3 May 2007 The
Results
Local elections one year on
5
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
More councils under no overall control
Local elections one year on
6
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
7
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Partly because STV does not create majorities on
small shares of the vote
Local elections one year on
8
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
9
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
But also because Labours share of the vote fell
Local elections one year on
10
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
11
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
A new kaleidoscope of governing arrangements
Local elections one year on
12
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Conservatives
Local elections one year on
13
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Labour
Local elections one year on
14
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Lib Dems
Local elections one year on
15
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
SNP
Local elections one year on
16
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Gains and losses of seats
Local elections one year on
17
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
18
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
19
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
20
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
How much support do we need for a seat?
Local elections one year on
21
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
How many quotas to elect 1?
Local elections one year on
22
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Running more candidates rather than fewer was
usually a successful strategy for parties
Local elections one year on
23
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
How many quotas to elect 2?
Local elections one year on
24
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Modes of election under STV, 2007
Local elections one year on
25
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
  • When voters had a candidate of the same party to
    transfer to, between 60 and 80 per cent did so.
  • In other circumstances transfers flowed in many
    directions.

Local elections one year on
26
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Distribution of an SNP surplus, Baillieston ward
Glasgow
Local elections one year on
27
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Labour voters choosing complete slate
Local elections one year on
28
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
29
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Green votes and seats
Local elections one year on
30
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Independents and others, 2003 and 2007
Local elections one year on
31
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
STV in Scotland contingently or really
proportional?
Local elections one year on
32
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Local elections one year on
33
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Did the voters get what they wanted?
Local elections one year on
34
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Voters () choosing a winner, 2003 and 2007
Local elections one year on
35
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
  • Good but not perfect
  • Ballot design (and order effects)
  • Voter education
  • Ward boundaries
  • Ward size flexible? Larger?
  • Council size
  • Candidate strategy

Local elections one year on
36
Electoral Reform Society Scotland
Lewis Baston
Director of Research
Lewis Baston
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