RISKMAN

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• RISKMAN
• VISION and PLANSK. Holmberg, A. Jovanovic et al
• 13.2.2003
• VTT Industrial Systems, Finland

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CONTENT

• 1. Background argumentation
• 2. Awareness and available tools
• 3. RISKMAN vision
• 4. Structure, roadmap and execution plan
• 5. Research areas, subprojects and deliverables
• 5. Consortium management
• 6. Role of partners
• 7. Supporting organisations
• 8. Global budget
• 9. Calendar for the preparation

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Motivation and justification

• Main arguments for launching RISKMAN IP
• 1.Disasters result in a great number of human
  losses, large environmental damage, breakdown of
  societal functions and citizen insecurity
• 2. Security of urban environment, protection
  against terrorist attacks and individual sabotage
• 3. Safety and reliability will in future have a
  key role in industrial competitiveness, risk
  management will be a key element in business
  decision making
• RISKMAN improves safety and reliability by
  systematic risk management

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Motivation and justification

• RISKMAN will strengthen the European industrial
  competitiveness as a provider of products,
  processes and services representing world
  excellence in terms of safety and reliability.
• The novelty of this approach is to integrate
  fields with strong experience and high level
  safety and reliability related knowledge and
  skills with new business opportunities, with
  applications of new evolving technologies, with
  public security issues and with legislation
  aspects to form a holistic concept.

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UNDERSTANDING RISKS AND CONSEQUENCES

• Forerunner
• NUCLEAR INDUSTRY
• High awareness
• CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
• POWERPLANTS
• AVIATION
• OFF SHORE
• PROCESS INDUSTRY
• ENERGY SYSTEMS

• Low awareness
• MARINE TRANSPORT
• RAIL AND ROAD TRANSPORT
• CONSTRUCTION
• MANUFACTURING
• CONSUMER PRODUCTS
• INFORMATION SYSTEMS
• PUBLIC SYSTEMS
• FOOD PRODUCTION
• SOCIETAL FUNCTIONS

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TOOLS AVAILABLE OR UNDER DEVELOPMENT FOR IMPROVED
SAFETY AND RELIABILITY

• Probabilistic risk analysis methods
• Condition monitoring sensors, wireless
  communication, signal processing
• Diagnostic techniques neural networks, fuzzy
  logic, expert systems
• Material and component lifetime estimation
• System modelling and control techniques,
  meta-modelling
• Design for reliability methods
• Inherent safety in design

• Safety management systems
• Intelligent safety and reliability information
  management
• Data bases, data collection, data validation
• New business concepts availability contracts,
  capacity contracts
• Human behaviour in stressed situations
• Human error analysis
• Organisational interactions
• Training, education
• Legislation, standardisation

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RISKMAN Research Areas

• RA1. Integrated Approach to Risk Management
  (meta-modelling, networking, dynamic
  risk-assesment safety and risk management
  grade)
• RA2. Systems Performance Monitoring and
  Diagnostics
• RA3. Human-Technology Interaction
• RA4. Business Models Promoting Risk
• Management
• RA5. Public Safety and Environment Protection
• RA6. IT and Infrastructural Security

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Motivation and justification

• There is a need to work out improved techniques,
  methods and guidelines for better risk management
• This is not enough!
• We need implementation of safety culture on all
  levels - both SMEs and large companies that
  control assets, production, products and services
• Safety and risk management should be a key value
  in the European companies and communities
• How is this done?

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RISKMAN vision

• 20 of companies and communities in Europe have
  a Safety Risk Management Grade (SRMG) in their
  balance 2008

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SRMG - Safety and Risk Management Grade

• Comparable to
• Basel II for finance / loans
• Seveso II for environment
• ISO 9001 2000
• Integrates
• Technical considerations
• Business / financial considerations
• Environmental considerations
• Human factor considerations
• Risk perception and communication considerations

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RISKMAN Roadmap of RAs and SRMG
2003
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RISKMAN ROADMAP
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RISKMAN Structure of Research Areas and
Subprojects
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RISKMAN RA1 Integrated Approach to Risk
Management
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RISKMAN RA1 Subprojects and DeliverablesIntegrate
d Approach to Risk Management
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RISKMAN RA2 Systems Performance,Monitoring and
Diagnostics
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RISKMAN RA2 System Performance Monitoring and
Diagnostics
1. Material degradation control
GENERIC DYNAMIC AUTOMATIC DIA- GNOSTIC CONCEPT
DIAGNOSTICS AND PROGNOSTICS 6. Self-diagnostics,
learning and tutor fucktions 7. Multi-modelling,
heuristic, inversion techniques, genetic
algorithms 8. Probabilistic methods 9. Hybrid
dynamic diagnostics NN, FL, ES, BN 10. Remote
super-vision, diagnostic networks 11. Decision
support, safety barriers
2. Mechanical component lifetime prediction
APPLICATION EVALUATIONS IN Steel plant (SI) Power
plant (PL) Off shore rig (NO) Paper machine
(FI) Mobile vechicle (FI) SME product (??)
SMRG Safety and Risk Mana- gement Grade
3. Instrumentation lifetime prediction
4. New sensor applications, MEMS fibre optical,
Bragg
CONDITION AND LIFETIME PREDICTIONS, RISK
ESTIMATIONS
5. Multisensor diagnostic methodology
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RISKMAN RA2 Subprojects and DeliverablesSystems
Performance Monitoring and Diagnostics
Coordinator VTT, Finland Vicecoordinator BZF,
Hungary Industrial leader Metalogic,
Belgium?? Kenneth Holmberg Lazlo Toth Marnix
Surgeon
Actions
Deliverables
Result from RA2
Task 7-9. Hybrid dynamic diagnostics,
multimodelling,
New methods for life- time prediction
resulting in probability estimations of failure
risks of devices and systems New techniques to
use micro- and nanosensors, wireless
communication and remote diagnostics in an
integrated way to monitor the condition and
safety of devices New knowledge
about integrating multiple- sensor and
-system information for diagnostic and prognostic
purposes
A generic dynamic concept for automatic
diagnostics and prog- nostics
Task 6. Self diagnostics, learning and tutor
functions, probabilistic methods

Task 1-3. Material, component and instrumentation
lifetime prediction
A probability based method for lifetime
prediction of mecha- nical and electronic
componens
Task 4-5 Multisensor systems and novel sensor
applications, MEMS, fibre optics, Bragg grits,
nanosensors
A method for optimising disag- nostic functions
by multisensor approach and using novel
sensor technology
Task 10-11. Diagnostic networks, remote
supervision, decision support
A method for building remote diagnostic centers
including learning, tutor and decision support
functions
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RISKMAN RA3 Human-TechnologyInteraction
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RISKMAN RA3 Subprojects and DeliverablesHuman-Tec
hnology Interaction
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RISKMAN RA4 Business ModelsPromoting Risk
Management
ENERGY RISKS
ORGANISATION MODELS
LONG-TERM AVAILABILITY AGREEMENTS
ADDED VALUE SERVICES
DELIVERING CAPACITY
PUBLIC OPINION RISKS - BRAND REPUTATION RISKS
FINANCIAL RISKS
INTEGRATION
SECURE NETWORK/SYSTEM OPERATION
RISK MANAGE- MENT BUSINESS MODELS
BENCHMARKING
SME - SAFETY AND RISK MANA- GEMENT GRADE
STRATEGIC DECISION MAKING
KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT
INNOVATIVE ACTIVITIES
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RISKMAN RA4 Subprojects and DeliverablesBusiness
Models Promoting Risk Management
Coordinator QinetiQ, UK Vicecoordinator
??? Industrial leader ??? Brian
Spedding NN NN
Subprojects
Deliverables
Result from RA4

• SP41. PRIKNOW - Risk-related knowledge management
  for dispersed organisations (VTT)
• SP42. MoRIS - Management of risks in projects and
  processes for SMEs (STZ R-Tech)
• SP43. ADDS - Added value products in service
  businesses (VTT)
• SP44. AscRisk - Europortal for assessment and
  management of commerce and business risks in
  operation of SMEs and daily life of European
  citizen (MIT GmbH)
• SP45. FAMEMAIN - Framework methodology for
  maintenance benchmarking
• SP46 BELIRIEN - Benchmarking liabilities for
  risks from energy systems (JRC-IE)
• SP47 SME Risk Portal - Providing access to risk
  management expertise

New techniques and methodologies for handling
risk and uncertainty, to assist actors
(especially SMEs) with innovative activities and
strategic decision making Innovative, effective
and robust business models that will deliver
capacity, long-term availability agreements and
added value products, in an environment
characterised by multiple and interacting
risks New knowledge about the relationship betwee
n value, costs risks and safety

• Innovative methodologies that account for and
  combine business risk-related factors
• Tools to allow benchmarking of an organisations
  safety maintenance, to drive better equipment
  availability and safer working environment
• A common framework to compare the treatment of
  risk in different domain areas
• Effective integration of safety/risk management
  into revisions of general business models
• A survey and analysis of implementation of
  safety/risk management in multiple domains
• Toolsets to enable business risk management
• An internet portal to assist SMEs and European
  citizens to gain access to relevant expertise
  relating to business risks
• Toolsets to facilitate the management of
  risk-related knowledge

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RISKMAN RA5 Public Safety andEnvironmental
Protection
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RISKMAN RA5 Subprojects and DeliverablesPublic
Safety and Environment Protection
New methods that integrate the risk assesment of
public and environment threting activities
with crowd and panic control and
information systems for emergency response
teams New solutions to make structures more
resistant to fires, explosions, toxic and
terrorist attacks New knowledge about human
behaviour and how to control it in emergency and
panic situations
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RISKMAN RA6 InformationTechnology and
Infrastructural Security
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RISKMAN RA6 Subprojects and DeliverablesInformati
on Technology and Infrastructural Security
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RISKMAN ROADMAP
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Need for a Safety and Risk Management Grade

• If we by a car - how do we know the risks?
• The car company assures the reliability - but can
  we trust the company?
• How do we know the risk managing level of the
  company?
• The balance gives us its economical value
• The stock market gives the market value based on
  balance, expectations, trends etc
• But where are the risks evaluated?
• We need a value for the Safety and Risk
  Management Grade in the companies balance!

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Safety and Risk Management Grade

• We need new methods and techniques to improve
  safety and reliability
• We need guidelines about how to take them into
  use
• We need methods to evaluate how they have been
  implemented
• We need a number to show how safety and risk
  management has been implemented in companies
• This should be a value in the balance

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Safety and Risk Management Grade

• Same Safety and Risk Management Grade for large
  and small companies
• Same thinking in communities, how safety and
  security is included in the community balance
• Needs hierarchical structure of guidelines
• Easy and quick method - big uncertainty
• Detailed and large method - accurate and credible
• SRMG should be a competitiveness argument like
  ISO9000 - not mandatory by regulations

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Hierarchical SRMG Guideline Structure
SAFETY AND RISK MANGE- GEMENT GRADE (SRMG)
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RISKMAN Management and Organisation
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Role of participants during IP preparation

• Core group
• responsible for the planning phase
• participants committed to EoI
• needed partners from e.g. Poland, Hungary,
  Czech Republic
• Interest Group
• potential partners to participate with projects
• are kept informed during the preparation phase

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Role of participants during IP preparation

• Business Organisations
• companies planned to be involved in the
  development and evaluation pilot projects
• Supporting Organisations
• European and national business sector,
  legislation, standardisation etc organisations
• key organisations from which we need support

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IP Consortium Management

• Governing Council
• senior partner representatives, external
  experts, EC repr., funding agency repr.
• Scientific Advisory Boards / RA
• scientific representatives from partners
• Steering Committee
• representatives from partners
• Consortium partners
• Interest Group legislation, training etc orgs

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IP Global Budget

• Total volume 70 Me
• Annual volume 14 Me first 4 years and7 Me fifth
  year 7 Me for co-ordination (max 6 )

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Calendar for RISKMAN preparation

• 21.1.2003, RA expected results and deliverables
  from RA coordinators
• 22.1.2003 Subproject call/template sent out
• 3.2.2003, Dead line for subproject proposals
• 7.2.2003, Draft from RA co-ordinators on RA
  content
• 15.1.-10.2.2003
• Collect numbers for basic argumentation, radical
  breakthroughs
• Contacts to industry in each RA
• Contacts to interest organisations, other EC
  projects and networks
• 13.2.2003, Core Group meeting, Stuttgart
  9.00-16.00
• 18-28.2.2003, intensive preparation of the final
  version of the proposal
• 26.2.2003, network/video meeting
• 4.3.2003, RISKMAN proposal delivered to EC
• 6.3.2003 Dead line for Stage 1