Title: The Role of Pharmacogenetics in Safety Assessment
1The Role of Pharmacogenetics in Safety Assessment
- Michael Mosteller, Arlene R. Hughes, Sara H.
Hughes, and Matthew R. Nelson
32nd Midwest Biopharmaceutical Statistics
Workshop Ball State University, May 19, 2009
2What is Pharmacogenetics?Some Basic Genetics
- Single Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP)
- A single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) with two
sequences that differ at a single position
ATCGC and ATTGC - Allele - Any of two or more alternative DNA
sequence patterns that occur at a given location
in the genome. - For the SNP above, the possible alleles would be
C and T - Genotype - The alleles present in a particular
person at a particular location in the genome. - For the above SNP, the possible genotypes are
C/C, C/T, or T/T - Genetic Markers Locations in the genome at
which people have differing DNA sequences. - Can be used as genetic landmarks (SNPs are an
example) - Phenotype A general term that refers to any
non-genetic feature of an organism.
3What is Pharmacogenetics?Some Historic Highlights
- 1950s - Drug responses linked to known genetic
deficiencies - G6PD deficiency primaquine hemolysis
- Pharmacogenetics proposed in 1959
- 1980s - Dawn of the molecular genetics/genomics
era - The number of genetic markers increased
dramatically - Pharmacogenomics coined in 1986
- 1990s - Human Genome Project and the SNP
Consortium - More (and more) genetic markers
- 2000s - The HapMap Project
- Over 3 million SNPs studied in 270 individuals of
European, African, Japanese and Chinese ancestry - 2000s - Advances in DNA Microarray Genotyping
Chips - Rapid, relatively inexpensive, genome-wide
genotyping of 1 million SNPs with commonly
occurring alleles.
The stage is set to explore the possibilities of
pharmacogenetics.
4What is Pharmacogenetics?Definition Essence of
a Pharmacogenetic Analysis
- Pharmacogenetics The study of the influence of
genetics (variations in DNA sequence) on drug
response. - Statistical Bottom LineDoes a genotype (or
allele)have a significant effect on how an
individual responds to a drug?
Enzymes Cell Surface Receptors Antibodies
Medicine ResponseAdverse Reaction
Symptoms Abnormal Lab Values
5Drug Safety Key Role in Personalized Medicine
- The Vision of Personalized Medicine
- The right medicine to the right patient at the
right dose - Optimize the benefit/risk ratio for the
individual - Reducing safety risk is critical
- Lots of collaborative activity
6Drug Safety A Special Focus for FDA
- Numerous initiatives to improve drug safety
- International Serious Adverse Events Consortium
(SAEC) - Formed in 2007, with strategic and scientific
support from FDA - Initial projectsDrug induced liver
injuryStevens Johnson Syndrome - Future projects underconsideration include
- QT Prolongation
- Hypersensitivity Rxn
- Rhabdomyolosis
- Edema
- Renal Failure
7A Safety Pharmacogenetics Success Story
- HLA-B5701 status predicts susceptibility to
hypersensitivity reaction to abacavir sulfate. - Good uptake into clinical practice referenced in
US product label
8Steps Leading to Full Clinical Implementation of
a Safety Pharmacogenetics Association
- From Marker Discovery to Clinical Implementation
- Discovery of the statistical association
- Confirmation of the statistical association
- Proposal of a biological hypothesis
- Demonstration of clinical utility
- Demonstration of generalizability among
ethnically diverse patients - Provision of a pharmacogenetic marker test
- Demonstration that cost effectiveness is likely
- Incorporation of pharmacogenetic information in
product label - Education of patients, physicians, regulators,
and payers
9Abacavir Hypersensitivity Reaction
- Abacavir (ABC) Effective HIV medicine
- Hypersensitivity reaction (HSR) in 2-9
- Symptoms Fever, rash, malaise, GI symptoms
- Symptoms resolve with permanent discontinuation
- Rechallenge can result in a life-threatening or
fatal reaction - Effective clinical management program developed
- Pharmacogenetics program initiated to improve
benefit/risk - Candidate genes (PK and immune)
- Genome Scan
10Discover An Association
- CNA30027, a retrospective case/control study in
100 HSR Cases, 200 Controls - 2001 Unprecedented results seenin an interim
analysis of CNA30027 - Association later refined to HLA-B5701
Based on data in Hetherington, et al., Lancet
2002 359 112122.
11Confirm the Association
- Dr. Simon Mallal was also conducting PGx research
on ABC HSR - 2001 Mallal et al., independently identified the
association between HLA-B5701 and ABC HSR - Therefore, association was seen in two
independent sample sets - Results from a later report
Western Australian HIV Cohort Study Western Australian HIV Cohort Study Western Australian HIV Cohort Study
HSR No HSR
B5701 17 4
B5701- 1 226
Sensitivity94 Specificity98
Martin, et. al, PNAS 2004 1014180-4185.
12Reasonable Biological Hypothesis
- Biological mechanism not critical for prediction
purposes, but - Bolsters evidence provided by other findings
Naisbitt DJ, Pirmohamed M, Park BK, Current
Allergy and Asthma Reports 2003322-29
13Show Clinical Utility is Likely
- No universal criterion for utility
- One criterion AE incidence reduction
- Using retrospective data
- What if HLA-B5701 patients were screened out?
- Based on these results Martin et al. (2004)
concludedHLA-B5701 could be useful in reducing
HSR incidence
14Demonstration of Clinical Utility in a
Prospective, Randomized Clinical Trial PREDICT-1
- PREDICT-1 Large, prospective GSK clinical study
to assess the utility of HLA-B5701 screening -
- Compare HSR incidence in Standard ofCare Arm and
HLA-B5701 Screening Arm
ABC-containing regimen with HSR monitoring
according to Standard of Care (900)
ABC Naïve Subjects(1800)
Exclude Subjects who are B5701 positive
Randomize (11)
ABC-containing regimen Prospective HLA-B5701
Screening (900)
Enroll Subjects who are B5701 negative
Hughes S, Hughes A and Brothers C et al.
PREDICT-1 (CNA106030) The first powered,
prospective trial of pharmacogenetic screening to
reduce drug adverse events. Pharmaceutical
Statistics 2007
15PREDICT-1 The First Pharmacogenetic Study of
its Kind
16PREDICT-1 Primary Study Endpoints
- Co-primary endpoints comparisons between study
arms of - Incidence of clinically-suspected ABC HSR
- Incidence of immunologically-confirmed ABC HSR
- Major symptoms of clinically-suspected
hypersensitivity
Hetherington S, et al. Clin Ther 2001 23
1603-14
17PREDICT-1 Incorporated Skin Patch Testing A
tool to refine HSR phenotype
Adhesive surface
1 abacavir
Petrolatum control
10 abacavir
Excipient control
- Research tool used to identify patients with
immune-mediated ABC HSR - Requires prior ABC exposure
- Phenotype refinement without need for rechallenge
Phillips et al. AIDS 2002 and 2005 Phillips et
al. IAS 2007 Abstract MOPEB001
24-hour reading
(48 hour reading)
18PREDICT-1 Design Analysis Details
- Sample size of 1806 provided 90 power to detect
- 50 reduction in clinically suspected HSRs
- 80 reduction in immunologically confirmed HSRs
- Power for immunologically confirmed HSR endpoint
gt99 power for clinically suspected HSR endpoint
90 - ? overall study power approx. 90 (gt0.99 x 0.90)
- Closed test approach for analysis of co-primary
nested endpoints (immunologically confirmed HSRs
are a subset of clinically suspected HSRs) - if significant reduction in immunologically
confirmed HSRs then test for reduction in
clinically suspected HSR endpoint - HSR rates compared between study arms using
logistic regression, adjusting for randomisation
strata and other prognostic factors
19PREDICT-1 Key Results Comparing HSR Rates in PGx
Screening Arm versus Standard of Care Arm
Prospective Screen Evaluable N802 Standard of Care Evaluable N842
Immunologically Confirmed HSR 0/802 (0) 23/842 (2.7)
Statistical Results Exact Odds Ratio1 (95CI) 0.03 (0.00, 0.18) P-value plt0.0001 Exact Odds Ratio1 (95CI) 0.03 (0.00, 0.18) P-value plt0.0001
Evaluable N803 Evaluable N847
Clinically Suspected HSR 27/803 (3.4) 66/847 (7.8)
Model Based Proportions 2 3.3 7.9
Statistical Results Odds Ratio1 (95CI) 0.40 (0.25, 0.62) P-value plt0.0001 Odds Ratio1 (95CI) 0.40 (0.25, 0.62) P-value plt0.0001
- 1 Odds ratio adjusted for actual strata of
race, ART status, introduction of NNRTI and
concurrent PI use. - 2 Model-based proportions calculated using
parameter estimates and subject characteristics
in the overall population. - ART Antiretroviral therapy
- NNRTI Non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase
inhibitor - PI Protease inhibitor
20PREDICT-1 Key Results Test Characteristics for
Predicting Immunologically Confirmed HSR
Immunologically Confirmed HSR No Immunologically Confirmed HSR Total
HLA-B5701 Positive 23 25 48
HLA-B5701 Negative 0 794 794
Total 23 819 842
- Specificity 794/819 96.9 95 CI (95.5,
98.0) - Sensitivity 23/23 100 95 CI (85.2,
100.0) - PPV 23/48 47.9 95 CI (33.3, 62.8)
- NPV 794/794 100 95 CI
(99.5, 100.0) - Calculated using the Standard of Care arm data
only
21PREDICT-1 Key Results Covariate Assessment
Model Covariates Immunologically Confirmed HSR Clinically Suspected HSR
Prospective Screen Arm vs. Standard of Care Arm p lt 0.0001 p lt 0.0001
White vs. Non-White p 0.11 p 0.02
ART Naive vs. ART Experienced p 0.66 p 0.26
Introduction of NNRTI (Yes vs. No) p 0.57 p 0.001
Concurrent PI Use (Yes vs. No) p 0.91 p 0.009
- Clinically suspected HSR was influenced by
several covariates - Refined phenotype (patch test confirmed HSR) was
independent of these covariates
22The SHAPE Study Are Findings Relevant only to
Caucasians?
M Saag, et al. Clinical Infectious Diseases
2008 461111-1118.
23SHAPE Study Key Results Frequency of HLA-B5701
by Patient Subgroups
Percentage of Subjects with HLA-B5701 (95 CI)
100
- For clinically suspected HSR, the frequency of
HLA-B5701 was lower in Black subjects - For immunologically confirmed HSR, all case
individuals carried the HLA-B5701 allele,
regardless of race - The utility of HLA-B5701 appears to generalize
to US Black patients
80
60
40
20
Clinically SuspectedCases
AbacavirTolerantControls
ImmunologicallyConfirmedCases
(Adapted from M Saag, et al. Clinical
Infectious Diseases 2008 461111-1118.)
24Develop / Access an Assay for Pharmacogenetic
Marker Detection
- In general, development of laboratory based
assays or test kits may be needed - For HLA-B5701
- HLA typing was widely available for tissue typing
purposes - Several centralized clinical laboratories now
offer HLA-B5701 evaluation for abacavir
hypersensitivity
25Evaluate Cost Effectiveness
- A Cost Effectiveness Analysis of HLA-B5701
Screening - Results depend on realistic assumptions
- Usually, achieving a healthcare benefit comes
with a cost - However, under many scenarios, screening with
HLA-B5701 was predicted to reduce HSRs and
average cost of care (referred to as a
Dominant outcome)
26Educate Inform Patients, Physicians,
Regulators, and Payers
- Benefits limitations of using the
pharmacogenetic marker - How to order the marker assay
- How to interpret the assay results
- For HLA-B5701 key messages are
- Discontinue abacavir permanently if HSR cannot be
ruled out, regardless of the HLA-B5701 result. - HLA-B5701 testing should never be performed
diagnostically to support a decision to
rechallenge with abacavir. - HLA-B5701 testing must not be used as a
screening test after someone has started
treatment with abacavir. If a hypersensitivity
reaction is suspected abacavir must be
immediately and permanently discontinued.
27Challenges for Safety Pharmacogenetics
- Association of HLA-B5701 with abacavir
hypersensitivity effectively illustrates the
potential of pharmacogenetics to improve drug
safety, however - There are many challenges for safety
pharmacogenetics - Limited sample sizes in early clinical
development - Very low rates of some serious adverse events
- Monitoring safety of newly approved drugs
- Acquiring DNA samples from cases
- Accurate diagnosis of adverse drug reactions in
the presence of symptoms from other causes - Finding causal markers that occur with low
frequency - Finding multiple genetic markers contributing to
risk of an adverse drug reaction
28Questions and Discussion