Large scale change through a small window' - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Large scale change through a small window'

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Probably 3 % per year average since the early Renaissance. 640 years. Only 8 80yr lifetimes ... Plankton evolution 2 Myr. Recorded growth phases of natural systems ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Large scale change through a small window'


1
Large scale change through a small window.
Philip F. Henshaw id_at_synapse9.com
UDATE 10 JAN 06
2
The whole history of growth
Probably 3 ½ per year average since the early
Renaissance
640 years Only 8 80yr lifetimes Productivity
increase by factor of 4 Billion
1347-51
From every age the future was just off the page!
Can we continue?
3
The whole history of growth
3 ½ per year since the early Renaissance
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4
A century of growth
5
A century of growth
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6
A lifetime of growth
7
A lifetime of growth
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8
A decade of growth
9
The decade of growth
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10
The last 100 years
Issues of limits, over-burden of complexity,
divergence
To judge the approach of climax, you look for the
symptoms
11
Fast Slow
Recorded growth phases of natural systems
Gamma ray burst 1/20 sec
Plankton evolution 2 Myr
12
Phases of natural system evolution
Complex system change builds up tapers off,
using proportional change feedback mechanisms
2 steps of Self organization
2 steps of breakup and decay
13
Possible growth futures
When physical climax occurs, choosing whether to
keep trying to provide perpetual growth for the
financial one.
Continually evolving climax free market
growth to collapse for
after using up the easy stuff just scrape bye
14
Possible growth futures
growth to collapse for
A well oiled machine serving all
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