Air Cargo Trends Presentation to the CAC ACINA Air Cargo Conference - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Air Cargo Trends Presentation to the CAC ACINA Air Cargo Conference

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7 December 1999. Air Cargo Trends. Presentation to the CAC /ACI-NA ... potential at Comox, Gander. U.S.. Ft. Worth Alliance, Columbus Rickenbacker, Huntsville ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Air Cargo Trends Presentation to the CAC ACINA Air Cargo Conference


1
Air Cargo TrendsPresentation to the CAC /ACI-NA
Air Cargo Conference
Warren Thompson
Regional Vice President InterVISTAS Consulting -
Winnipeg
7 December 1999
2
The Air Cargo Industry
3
Air Cargo Economics
  • Air cargo 1997 40 billion industry 2017
    120 billion
  • World Freighter fleet double by 2017
  • 1997 1,434
  • 2017 2,706

4
Air Cargo Source of Lift
  • World Air Cargo Capacity
  • 1997 275 billion ATKs

13 of pax airline revenues
Source Boeing
5
Growth
6
Air Cargo Trends
  • Air cargo grows three times faster than the
    world economy

Fedex Begins Service
7
Air Cargo Will Triple in 20 Years
  • World Air Cargo Forecast

Source Boeing
8
Pacific and Atlantic Equal Size
  • International Air Cargo Forecast

Source Boeing
9
Asian Markets Will Lead Growth
Source Boeing
10
Integrators US Domestic Share
11
Integrators International Growth
36
6
Source Boeing
12
Intl Cargo Will Grow Faster
Source Boeing
13
Markets
14
Transborder Air Trade
  • 1985
  • Northbound 45,000 tonnes
  • Southbound 45,000 tonnes
  • 1997
  • Northbound 250,000 tonnes
  • Southbound 60,000 tonnes
  • Dramatic Northbound Growth
  • Little Southbound Growth

Source Boeing
15
North American Cargo Forecast
  • TO 2007
  • US domestic 4.9 pa
  • Canada domestic 3.6
  • Transborder 5.8
  • growth limited by expansion of time definite
    trucking (1000 miles or less)

Source Boeing
16
Slowing Truck Frequencies
Source Boeing
17
NA Forecast International
  • To 2007
  • To/from Latin America 6.4 pa
  • To/From Europe 7.0
  • stronger growth Westbound
  • To/From Asia 7.0
  • eastbound dominated
  • stronger growth eastbound

Source Boeing
18
Aircraft
19
Freighter Share Will Increase
  • Stronger growth in air cargo demand than growth
    in pax belly lift
  • Implies increased demand for freighters
  • Freighter share increases
  • from 36 in 97 to 42 in 2017
  • Combi share decreases
  • from 5 to 2

20
Used Aircraft Will Dominate

Growth
Source Boeing
21
Largest Increase is in Widebody
Source Boeing
22
Airports
23
Drift From Traditional Gateways
  • Reasons cargo is moving from away from
    traditional gateways
  • congested
  • curfews
  • high land values
  • high labour costs
  • not located near actual markets

24
Emerging Specialist Cargo Airports
  • Canada
  • Hamilton
  • potential at Comox, Gander
  • U.S.
  • Ft. Worth Alliance, Columbus Rickenbacker,
    Huntsville
  • Europe
  • Liege, Halle, Chateauroux, Europort Vatry
  • new efforts Pilsen, Drewitz, Lamezia

25
Thank You !
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