Title: Planning for the Future: Key Workforce and Industry Trends
1Planning for the Future Key Workforce and
Industry Trends
2What is Strategic Workforce Planning?
3- A method to forecast future human capital needs.
In other words Do you have the right talent for
the future? - Ideally a collaboration bringing together overall
business strategy and forecasting information
together with human resources/workforce data
4Why plan?
- Talent shortages
- Productivity needs (competition)
- Technological/global change
- Increased need for innovation
- Demographic changes
- Leadership development
- Engagement concerns
5Elements of a Strategic Workforce Plan
- Environmental Scan
- Current Workforce Profile
- Future Workforce Demands/Scenarios
- Workforce/talent Gap Analysis
- Strategy Development
6Environmental Scan
- The environment scan identifies emerging trends,
issues and the business environment within which
you operate - What are the workforce trends and challenges
specific to your industry? - What are your competitors attraction and
retention strategies? - What are the general labor force trends and
challenges? - What other industries compete for the same pools
of labor? - What similar occupations are experiencing
shortages/surpluses?
7Current Workforce Profile
- What is Your Current Capacity?
- Strengths
- Competencies
- Longevity
- Engagement Level
- Potential
8Future Workforce Demands/Scenarios
- Understand the trends that may impact your
industry and workforce - Global, State Local
- Industry Specific
- Technology Trends
- Monitor industry publications, associations and
websites
9Workforce Gap Analysis
- Are shortages or surpluses forecast for your
occupational groups? - Which labor pools can you target to fill expected
shortages? - What are your options for dealing with potential
surpluses? - Will your organization require new occupations or
skills sets? - Will these be recruited externally or developed
in-house? - Will a significant part of the workforce be
leaving through retirement? - How will this be addressed?
10Strategy Development Developing a High
Performance Workforce
- Employee orientation
- Learning, development and training
- Health and safety programs
- Job re-design
- Technology adoption
- Process improvement programs
11Lane County Labor Market and Economic
ForecastPart of Your Environmental Scan
- Resource www.qualityinfo.org
- Oregon Labor Market Information System
12Lane County Forecast for 2008 2018 includes
losses in 2009, then rebound.
Source Office of Economic Analysis, Department
of Administrative Services December 2009
13Lane County Employment Overview
Source Oregon Employment Department (Nov 2009
snapshot)
14Lane County Industries Adding the Most
Jobs2008-2018
15Lane County Declining IndustriesProjected
2008-2018
16Lane County Projected Job Openings2008-2018
17Some Lane County Demand Occupations
Occupation Growth Rate of New and Replacement Openings 2008-2018
General/Operations Managers 9 607
Engineers 10 227
Registered Nurses 26 1,285
Production Workers 6 1,052
Cooks/Food Prep Workers 13 1,650
Business Operations Specialists 9 1,056
Counselors/Social Service Specialists 21 1,195
Secretaries/Administrative Assts. 13 1,121
Correctional Officers 414 106
Retail Sales Workers 10 4,486
Information and Records Clerks 11 2,472
Electrical/Electronic Equipment Mechanics 18 211
Psychiatric Aides 318 172
18Some Industry Snapshots
- Health Care
- Manufacturing
- Green Jobs
19Lane County Health Care Sector Snapshot
- 17,000 people employed in health care, 12 of
employment - Average pay 43,294 (overall average in Lane
County 34,359) - Anticipated growth 23 (2008-2018)
- Junction City State Hospital in 2013 will bring
additional 1,500 jobs - Veteran's Hospital in 2014 will add more
20Future Trends in Healthcare
- Health Care Informatics the intersection of
information science, computer science, and health
care - Electronic Medical Records (EMR)
- Process Improvement/Lean
- Mergers and acquisitions, the survival of the
fittest - New technologies leading to customized treatment,
earlier diagnosis and prevention of disease - Aging population puts new demands on system
21Lane County Manufacturing Sector Snapshot
- 14,000 people employed in manufacturing, 9 of
employment (down 6,000 jobs since 2006) - Average pay 43,521(overall average in Lane
County 34,359) - Despite losses, there are still
skills/occupational shortages - Large numbers of highly skilled technicians are
reaching retirement age (67 of Lane County
manufacturing workers are pre-retirement age
45-65 y/o)
22Future Trends in Manufacturing
- Lean manufacturing (Toyota Production System)
- Incorporating green practices and products
- Robotics and computer controlled machinery
- Increased quality standards and regulation
(ISOInternational Organization for
Standardization and GMPGood Manufacturing
Practices Regulation)
232009 Green Jobs Survey Found
- Approximately 3 of Oregons jobs are green
jobs - Many green jobs are existing jobs with green
skill sets added (e.g. an electrician who
installs solar panels)
24Top Green Jobs in Oregon (by number of jobs)
- Carpenters (e.g. weatherization)
- Farmworkers/Laborers (e.g. organics)
- Truck Drivers (e.g. compost truck driver)
- Hazardous Materials Removal (e.g. asbestos)
- Landscaping Workers (e.g. site restoration)
- Civil Engineers (e.g. overseeing green projects)
- Production Workers (e.g. recycling sorter)
25Emerging Occupations
- The job you are likely to do in the future has
not been invented yet - Futurist Ed Barlow
26A Sampling of Emerging Occupations
- Mechatronics Engineers
- Robotics Technicians
- Distance Learning Coordinators
- Fraud Analysts
- Biofuels Processing Technicians
- Biomass Plant Technicians
- Climate Change Analysts
27More
- Industrial Ecologists
- Recycling and Reclamation Workers
- Sustainability Specialists
- Informatics Nurse Specialists
- Business Intelligence Analysts
- Electronic Commerce Specialists
- Telecommunications Specialists
- Full listing of emerging occupations
www.onetcenter.org/reports/NewEmerging.html
28Considerations for Future Scenario planning
29National Trends
- Impact of the millennial generation
- Corporate sustainability/climate change
- Focus on employee health and well-being
- Social media
- Maintaining up to date technology platforms
- Aging population/Baby boomers and echo boomers
- New ways of working telework, contract work,
high performance/lean
30Trends and Changes coming to Lane County
- Incoming state psychiatric hospital (2013) and
possible prison (2014) in Junction City area,
providing high-paying stable employment in the
area, also competing for labor - VA Hospital likely by 2014
- Likely employment in the solar industry Unichem
and Grape Solar. - RV manufacturing likely to retain some jobs in
Lane County. But we compete with other areas
including Elkhart, IN.
31Trends and Changes coming to Lane County
- Housing market will return, but still a long way
to go due to high inventories. - Population will likely continue to increase and
diversify. Oregon remains popular with retirees. - The university will remain a stabilizing force in
the economy.
32Round Table Discussion
33Table Discussion Questions
- What are some future trends in your industry?
- What impact will these trends have on your
workforce/skill needs?
34A Skilled Workforce, Our Competitive Advantage