Three Americas The Rising Significance of Regions

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Three AmericasThe Rising Significance of Regions

• William H. Frey
• University of Michigan
• Milken Institute
• www.frey-demographer.org

2
Fastest Growing, 1990 - 2000
Source William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census
3
Immigrant Magnet States
Source William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census
4
Selected New Sunbelt and Old Sunbelt States
Growth 1980s and 1990s
Nevada
Colorado
Georgia
0
10
20
40
50
60
70
30
Florida
80s
Texas
90s
California
Source William H. Frey
5
New Sunbelt, Melting Pot, and Heartland States
New Sunbelt
Melting Pot
Heartland States
Source William H. Frey,
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Share of U.S. in Melting Pot States
Foreign Born 70 Asian Language at Home
68 Spanish at Home 76 Mixed Marriages
51 Native Born 37 English at Home
34
Source William Frey.
7
Demographic Components, 1990s
Source William Frey
8
Demographic Components, 1990s
Source William Frey.
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Immigration and Domestic Migration
Census Day 2000 - July 1, 2001
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Immigrant Magnet Metros

• 90 - 99 Immigrants
• 1. New York ------------- 1,408,543
• 2. Los Angeles ----------- 1,257,925
• 3. San Francisco --------- 494,189
• 4. Miami ------------------ 420,488
• 5. Chicago ----------------- 363,662
• 6. Washington ------------ 267,175
• 7. Houston ---------------- 214,262
• 8. Dallas-Fort ------------- 173,500
• 9. San Diego -------------- 159,691

Source William H. Frey
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Domestic Migrant Magnet Metros
90 - 99 Net Migration 1.
Atlanta ---------------- 498,283 2.
Phoenix --------------- 396,092 3. Las
Vegas ------------- 394,331 4. Dallas
------------------ 235,611 5. Denver
----------------- 200,658 6. Portland, OR
----------- 198,896 7. Austin
------------------ 168,817 8. Orlando
---------------- 167,120 9. Tampa
----------------- 157,209 10. Charlotte
-------------- 154,320
Source William H. Frey
12
Hispanic Concentration2000
Source William H Frey,
13
1990 - 2000 Greatest Hispanic Gainers

• 1. Los Angeles 1,819,370
• 2. New York 992,185
• 3. Chicago 600,810
• 4. Dallas 594,836
• 5. Houston 575,098
• 6. Miami 501,543

Source William H. Frey
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Up- and Coming Hispanic Growth Magnets
2000 Populations gt 50,000
Growth 1. Greensboro 694 2.
Charlotte 622 3. Raleigh 569 4.
Atlanta 362 5. Las Vegas 262 6. Portland,
OR 175 7. Orlando 170 8. Minn. -St.
Paul 162 9. Reno 145 10. Grand
Rapids 136 11. Salt Lake City 133
Source William H. Frey
15
Asian Concentration2000
Source William H Frey,
16
1990 2000 Greatest Asian Gainers

• 1. New York 710,809
• 2. Los Angeles 611,201
• 3. San Francisco 554,326

Source William H. Frey
17
Up- and Coming Asian Growth Magnets
2000 Populations gt 50,000
Growth 1. Las Vegas 286 2.
Atlanta 200 3. Austin 175 4 . Orlando 171
5. Tampa 149 6. Phoenix 149 7.
Dallas 133 8. Portland OR 119 9. Minn. -
St. Paul 118 10. Denver 115 11.Miami 113
Source William H. Frey,
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Black Concentration2000
Source William H Frey,
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1990 - 2000 Greatest Black Gainers
1. Atlanta 459,582 2. New York 450,725 3.
Washington DC 358,727 4. Miami 241,492 5.
Chicago 181,101 6. Dallas 176,293 7.
Philadelphia 162,932 8. Houston 142,304
Source William H. Frey,
20
1990 - 2000 Major Black Growth Centers
(Over 200,000 blacks and 30 growth)

• Growth
• 1. Orlando 62.2
• 2. Atlanta 61.9
• 3. Miami 43.4
• 4. Tampa 36.8
• 5. Charlotte 34.7
• 6. Columbus, OH 34.6
• 7. Jacksonville, FL 34.3
• 8. Boston 33.8
• 9. Raleigh 33.1
• 10. Dallas 31.7

Source William H. Frey
21
White Concentration2000
Source William H Frey
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1990 - 2000 Greatest White Decliners
1. Los Angeles -843.065 2. New York -679,790 3.
San Francisco -269,844 4. Philadelphia -199,359
5. Miami -118,506 6. Chicago -93,794 7. San
Diego -84,448 8. Pittsburgh -81,900
Source William H. Frey,
23
1990 - 2000 Greatest White Gainers
1. Phoenix 434,195 2. Atlanta 359,299 3.
Las Vegas 326,145 4. Denver 278,445 5.
Dallas 255,208 6. Portland OR 230,535 7.
Seattle 199,172 8. Minn.St. Paul 191,127 9.
Austin 187,426 10. Raleigh 171,168 11.
Charlotte 162,258 12. Nashville 146,615
Source William H. Frey,
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Fastest White Growth, 1990-2000
Source William H. Frey
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White Dispersal to The New Sunbelt
Source William H. Frey,
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Greatest White Growth, 1990-2000

• Growth County Metro Area
• 175 Douglas, CO Denver
• 110 Forsyth GA Atlanta
• 99 Archuleta CO nonmet
• 99 Elbert CO nonmet
• 96 Park CO nonmet
• 85 Paulding CO Atlanta
• 85 Boise ID nonmet
• 84 Henry GA Atlanta
• 79 Custer CO nonmet
• 79 Loudoun VA Washington DC 77 Summit
  WA nonmet
• 76 Washington WA nonmet

Source William H. Frey,
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City, Suburb, Nonmetro Residence, 2000
White
Non-White
Source William H. Frey,
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White Growth, 1990-2000Atlanta Metro Area
Gain GT 50
Gain10 - 50
Gain 0 - 10
Loss
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White Growth, 1990-2000New York Metro Region
Gain GT 50
Gain10 - 50
Gain 0 - 10
Loss
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White concern about terrorist attack Survey 9/11
Source William H. Frey analysis of ABC
news/Washington post Poll
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Foreign Born, 2000
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Born in Other State, 2000
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Born in Same State, 2000
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1900-2000 California Transplants U.S. vs. Foreign
Origin
Source William Frey. University of Michigan
Milken Institute
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Children Speaking Spanish at Home
Source William H. Frey, analysis of 2000 Census
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Families of Poverty Children
California
Michigan
6
8
25
47
45
69
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States with Adult Dropout Gains
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CA Education ShiftsAdults, 1990-2000
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Education Attainment by Race Los Angeles Metro
Source William Frey. Milken Institute
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States with Greatest Xer Growth
Source William Frey. Milken Institute
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States with Greatest Boomer Shares
Source William Frey. Milken Institute
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The Senior ExplosionProjected Senior Growth,
2000-2025
Source William Frey. University of Michigan
Milken Institute
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Melting Pot Metros
Source William Frey.
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North-Largely White-Black Metros
Source William Frey.
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South -Largely White-Black Metros
Source William Frey.
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City Growth by Household Type
Source William H. Frey
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Ozzie and Harriet Cities Circa 2000

• 1. Santa Ana, CA 42
• 2. Anaheim, CA 32
• 3. San Jose, CA 30
• 4. El Paso, TX 30
• 5. Virginia Beach, VA 29
• 6. Riverside, CA 28
• 7. Arlington, TX 28
• 8. Anchorage, AK 27
• 9. Fresno, CA 25
• 10. Colorado Springs, CO 25

Source William Frey
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Non-Family Households-Over 65

• 1. Pittsburgh, PA 14
• 2. St. Louis, MO 13
• 3. Miami, FL 12
• 4. Louisville, KY 12
• 5. Buffalo, NY 12
• 6. Philadelphia, PA 12
• 7. Baltimore, MD 11
• 8. Cincinnati, OH 11
• 9. Cleveland, OH 11
• 10. Toledo, OH 11

Source William Frey.
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Los Angeles - Race Profiles by Age
Under 15
15-64
65
Source William Frey.
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Houston - Race Profiles by Age
Under 15
15-64
65
Source William Frey.
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Detroit - Race Profiles by Age
Under 15
15-64
65
Source William Frey.
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Pittsburgh - Race Profiles by Age
Under 15
15-64
65
Source William Frey.
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Atlanta- Race Profiles by Age
Under 15
15-64
65
Source William Frey.
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Salt Lake City - Race Profiles by Age
Under 15
15-64
65
Source William Frey.
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Los Angeles 2025 Age Structure by Race-Ethnicity

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Detroit 2025 Age Structure by Race-Ethnicity

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Useful Websites

• www.census.gov
• www.CensusScope.org
• www.ameristat.org