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Urban Africa Risk Research Network

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Describe the Cape Town urban context and the challenges in reducing disaster risk ... In Cape Town some settlements increased in density by a staggering 100% ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Urban Africa Risk Research Network


1
Urban Africa Risk Research Network
  • Assessing urban risk in the context of Cape Town
    informal settlements

2
Objectives
  • Describe the Cape Town urban context and the
    challenges in reducing disaster risk
  • Present DiMPs strategies for assessing urban
    risk in the context of the Cape Town metropole
  • Identify the outcomes and achievements of the
    MANDISA database, and the current constraints
  • Present DiMPs current focus in terms of updating
    the database, enhancing the disaster risk
    analytic capability and the opportunities for
    networking and capacity building
  • Conclude with the proposed budget

3
The growth of CCT informal settlements
  • Risk accumulation is greatest in rapidly emerging
    cities
  • In Cape Town some settlements increased in
    density by a staggering 100 between 1998 and
    2000
  • Limited delivery of low income housing and
    services.rise of informal and unplanned
    settlements
  • National focus on delivery with consequences for
    quality of housing and services
  • Cape Town has a 240 000 housing backlogmade
    worse by the increasing densification of urban
    areas

4
The challenges in reducing risk
  • Fires account for 97 of disaster related
    eventsmajority in informal settlements
  • Risk reduction in informal settlements
    characterized by awareness and education
    programmes, infrastructural initiatives only
    symptomatically address fire risk.
  • Programmes are undermined by a limited risk
    assessment procedure in part due to inadequate
    or unstreamlined data sources
  • In response to this challenge DIMP developed
    MANDISA in 1999

5
MANDISA strategic risk assessment, monitoring
and planning
  • In 1999 DiMP in collaboration with local partners
    designed MANDISA Monitoring and Mapping of
    Disaster Incidents in South Africa
  • Inspired by the Latin American database
    DesInventar
  • Initiated as a pilot study in the Cape Town
    Metropole
  • Database currently has approximately 12 500
    disaster records from 1990-1999
  • Monitor not only declared disasters but small and
    medium scale events

6
MANDISA Fire-Related Findings in the Cape Town
Metro
7
Outcomes, achievements and analytic capabilities
  • Consolidates 12 500 disaster records from over 12
    different data sources and which are spatially
    mapped
  • Strategic analytical outputs via intranet site or
    quarterly updates
  • Incident profiles location, type of housing,
    severity, triggers and impact costs
  • Spatial analysis an incidence rate/1000
    dwellings high and low risk areas
  • Temporal analysis (annually/seasonally) graphic
    representation of frequency/severity over time.

8
Spatial analysis 1995 1999Browns Farm
9
Temporal analysis 1995- 1999Browns Farm
10
Identified constraints
  • Constraints were identified in a consultative
    workshop with CoCT, local NGOs, CBOs and
    private sector (April 2004)
  • Linking urban growth patterns with increasing
    fire risk, I.e density and fire severity
  • Mapping the location and extent of an incident
  • Mapping the accurate triggers of informal
    settlement fires

11
Current focus
  • 1) Updating MANDISA to 2004
  • The City of Cape Towns Mayor is funding MANDISA
    to be updated to 2004
  • 2) Enhancing the disaster risk analytical
    capability to focus on explanatory factors
  • A number of additional datasets need to be
    imported into MANDISA such as dwelling counts,
    densities and geographically positioned data on
    the location and extent of the incident
  • 3) Networking and capacity building
  • Urban Risk Research Working Group, Cape Town
  • Testing MANDISA

12
Updating MANDISA to 2004
  • Current disaster records are from 1990-1999
  • The City of Cape Town has agreed to finance the
    updating of the disaster records from 2000 2004
  • Agreement signed April 2004
  • Estimated completion March 2005
  • Specifically involve data collection, capturing
    and interpretation training workshop,
    stakeholder consultation and basic data analysis

13
Enhancing the disaster risk analytic capability
  • Linking urban growth with changing risk patterns
  • Calculate a fire rate/1000 dwellings from aerial
    photographs for 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002
  • Streamlined with the MANDISA internet reporting
    module
  • Mapping the location and extent of an incident
  • Disaster Management GPS data imported into
    MANDISA and correlated with other existing
    information
  • City of Cape Town catchment maps

14
Networking and capacity building
  • Local networking
  • - Urban Risk Research Working Group, Cape Town
  • Established in April 2004
  • Local government departments, emergency services,
    NGOs, relief agencies and the private sector
  • Local Disaster Management Advisory Forum
  • Quarterly meetings

15
Testing MANDISA as a strategic risk assessment,
monitoring and evaluationtool
  • City of Cape Town Informal Settlement Servicing
    of 40 settlements
  • Fire and Flood Awareness and Preparedness
    Programme (Disaster Management and Emergency
    Services) pilot in two selected informal
    settlements
  • DiMP will provide the following
  • Historical data analysis
  • Monthly reports (6 months)
  • Test MANDISA application as assessment,
    monitoring and evaluation tool presented as a
    case study

16
Budget
  • Amount sought from URRN
  • Budget Category Amount US
  • Personnel (1 person x 50 12 months) 10 460
  • Technical upgrade of MANDISA application
  • Specialist development 2 017
  • database functionality 2 929
  • capturing application 281
  • internet site 8 313
  • Total technical upgrade 13 540
  • Meetings and consultations 2 500
  • Administrative costs 1 325
  • UCT overhead 2 782
  • Total 30 607
  • BUT Grand Total 78 607
  • City of Cape Town has committed
    US48 000 (61)
  • Total investment by DiMP to date US 153 846.
    Other than start-up grant of
  • US 100 000, this initiative has been funded
    entirely with local resources
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