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2008 McGrawHill Construction Outlook

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10. Las Vegas 22% 13. California: Multifamily Housing. 14. California: Multi-Residential ... Hotels. 20. California: Hotel. 21. California: Hotel. Los Angeles ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: 2008 McGrawHill Construction Outlook


1
2008 McGraw-Hill Construction Outlook
Cliff Brewis Senior Director Editorial
McGraw-Hill Construction
2
U.S. Macroeconomic Picture
3
World Growth Remains Strong
Real GDP, change
Source Global Insight and SP
4
U.S. Material Prices
5
Points of Perspective -- U.S. Construction
6
Major U.S. Construction Sectors (Starts)
7
U.S. Single Family Housing
8
Default Rates Highest In Midwest And South
Seriously Delinquent Rate, Q2
Source Mortgage Bankers Association
9
California Single Family
10
California Single Family
Los Angeles
San Diego
11
U.S. Multifamily Housing
12
U.S. Income Prop.-- Multifamily Housing
Major metropolitan areas
Multifamily Housing Top 10 Metros -- ranked by
new dwelling units
Year 2007 YTD ch 07/06 1. New York
-49 2. Chicago -34 3.
Seattle 44 4. Miami
-54 5. Orlando FL 13 6.
Atlanta -10 7. Houston
41 8. Los Angeles -35 9.
Washington DC -19 10. Boston
1
Year 2006, ch 06/05 1. New York
-0- 2. Miami
-22 3. Chicago 27
4. Los Angeles 20
5. Dallas-Ft.Worth 32 6.
Washington DC -22 7. Atlanta
-13 8. Orlando FL 22
9. Seattle 41 10. Las
Vegas 22

13
California Multifamily Housing
14
California Multi-Residential
Los Angeles
San Diego
15
U.S. Commercial Bldgs. -- Stores
16
Borrowing Against Your Home
Source Freddie Mac
17
California Retail
18
California Retail
Los Angeles
San Diego
19
U.S. Commercial Bldgs.-- Hotels
20
California Hotel
21
California Hotel
Los Angeles
San Diego
22
U.S. Commercial Bldgs. -- Offices
23
U.S. Commercial Bldgs. -- Offices
Office Building Factors
24
California Office
25
California Office
Los Angeles
San Diego
26
U.S. Institutional -- Educational Bldgs.
2006 2007
YTD Primary, Jr. Highs 1 -7 High
Schools 15 -6 Colleges/Univ.
6 5 Libraries
-1 -7 Laboratories -24
20 Museums 2
-7 Comm. Colleges 43 -12 Vocational
Schools 35 -50
27
U.S. Institutional -- Educational Bldgs.
28
California Education
29
California Education
Los Angeles
San Diego
30
U.S. Institutional -- Healthcare Buildings
31
California Healthcare
32
U.S. Institutional Buildings
33
California Public ex Schools
34
U.S. Manufacturing Buildings
35
California Manufacturing
36
Governors Strategic Growth Plan
  • First Five Years
  • Transportation 42 Bil
  • Education 24 Bil
  • Flood Control/Water Supply 11 Bil
  • Public Safety/Courts 10.5 Bil
  • Total 86.5 Bil
  • Bond Measures Passed 43 Bil
  • Requires Passage in the Legislature and
    Referendums

37
California
  • Legislation on Off-Road Diesel Emissions
  • Product is NOT Available
  • Reduce Capacity and Increase Unemployment
  • Spike in 2008/Declines in 2009
  • Federal Legislation/Regulation on Non-Matching
    Documentation
  • Tied Up in the Courts
  • Availability of Federal Highway Funds

38
U.S. Public Works -- Highways Bridges
39
California Highways
40
U.S. Public Works -- Environmental
41
California Water Supply
42
U.S. Total Construction Starts for 2008
Billions of Dollars
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total
Construction 593.0 668.9 682.5 626.7 614.1
11 13 2 -8 -2 Single Family
Housing 282.7 315.5 272.4 204.0 197.8 17 12
-14 -25 -3 Multifamily Housing
50.4 68.3 69.6 61.4 56.4 23 35 2 -12
-8 Commercial Bldgs. 67.2 72.0 91.4 97.3
91.1 14 7 27 7 -6
Institutional Bldgs. 89.1 99.7 109.8 114.0 118.
7 -1 12 10 4 4 Manufacturing
Bldgs. 8.0 10.0 13.3 18.6 16.5
17 24 33 40 -11 Public
Works 88.2 95.8 112.2 117.9 121.0
6 9 17 5 3
43
California
44
Questions?
  • Cliff Brewis
  • Senior Director Editorial
  • McGraw-Hill Construction
  • Cliff_brewis_at_mcgraw-hill.com
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