The Space Rush New Markets for the Coming Decade

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The Space Rush -- New Markets for the Coming
Decade!
Peter H. Diamandis, MD Chairman/CEO, X
PRIZE Chairman/CEO, Zero-G
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Sputnik --October 4th, 1957
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Response Apollo 11 20 July 1969
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Commercial Cycles
Nth Generation Gov. model
Proto-type Government R D
Price
Early Consumer Models
Nth Generation Consumer Models
Performance (Speed, Reliability)
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Evolution of the Computer
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Moores Law Double price performance every 18
months
From Ray Kurzweil, Singularity is Near
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The Critical Parameter for Space is the cost of
getting into orbitThe /kg
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Situation Today Regarding Launch
Current launch vehicles are derived from early
ICMBs.
1B/Launch
80M/Launch
Cost per person to orbit 30M - 100M/person
using government vehicles.
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Launch Costs ideal system

• 200 Kg Person into Earth Orbit
• Potential Energy 200 KM Altitude (E(p) mgh)
• Kinetic Energy 7.3 km/sec (E(k) 1/2mv2)

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Launch Costs ideal system

• 200 Kg Person into Earth Orbit
• Potential Energy 200 KM Altitude (E(p) mgh)
• Kinetic Energy 7.3 km/sec (E(k) 1/2mv2)
• 5.7 gigajoules

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Launch Costs ideal system

• 200 Kg Person into Earth Orbit
• Potential Energy 200 KM Altitude (E(p) mgh)
• Kinetic Energy 7.3 km/sec (E(k) 1/2mv2)
• 5.7 gigajoules
• 1.6 Megawatts (if energy is expended over 1 hour)

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Launch Costs ideal system

• 200 Kg Person into Earth Orbit
• Potential Energy 200 KM Altitude (E(p) mgh)
• Kinetic Energy 7.3 km/sec (E(k) 1/2mv2)
• 5.7 gigajoules
• 1.6 Megawatts (if energy is expended over 1 hour)
• Energy cost 7 cents/Kilowatt hour

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Launch Costs ideal system

• 200 Kg Person into Earth Orbit
• Potential Energy 200 KM Altitude (E(p) mgh)
• Kinetic Energy 7.3 km/sec (E(k) 1/2mv2)
• 5.7 gigajoules
• 1.6 Megawatts (if energy is expended over 1 hour)
• Energy cost 7 cents/Kilowatt hour
• Cost US100

The opportunity for improvement from 100M to
100/person is huge!
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What do we need?- Volume/demand- Experienced
Teams- Risk Experimentation
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X PRIZEZero Gravity CorporationRocket
Racing League
New Markets
New Markets
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1927 Orteig Prize

• 1919 Raymond Orteig puts up a 25,000 challenge.
• 9 Teams spent 400,000 to win the prize
• Underdog, 25 year old Charles Lindberg wins!
• Within 18 months of his flight
• Passenger traffic increased 30x
• of aircraft increased 4x
• Aviation stocks soar to new heights

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Ansari X PRIZE

• 10 Million
• Privately funded teams
• 3 person reusable spaceship
• 100 Km Altitude
• Two flights within 2 weeks

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Competing Teams
26 teams from 7 nations spending over 100
million
ARCA
Space Transport Corp.
Canadian Arrow
Rocketplane
DaVinci Project
Pablo DeLeon
StarChaser
Scaled Composites
Armadillo Aerospace
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Creating History
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October 4, 2004
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Results
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5.5 Billion Media Impressions Worth in Excess
of 120 Million
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Growth of the X PRIZE
X PRIZE Mission To bring about radical
breakthroughs for the benefit of humanity

• Growth of the board (Page, Musk, Venter, Kamen,
  Kurzweil)
• Expanded mission
• Focus 1/3 on space 2/3 on other areas in need
  of breakthrough
• Target Create a world-class Prize Institute

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X PRIZES Grand Challenges


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Google Lunar X PRIZE

• 30,000,000 purse
• 20M 1st place
• 5M 2nd place
• 5M in Performance Bonuses
• Open to world-wide competition
• Privately financed teams must
• Land on the Moon
• Rove at least 500 meters
• Return two Mooncasts (video photos)
• Bonuses encourage
• 5 Km Roving (10x above baseline)
• Visiting man-made hardware
• Surviving a lunar night
• Detecting water-ice
• Diverse teams

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Incredible Global Interest

• In the 1st month
• 260 requests for registration material
• 9 Teams registered.

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First email Video messages from Moon
One small click for man, one giant message to
mankind

• A chance for a few google users to address over
  6 Billion people on Earth with an email message
  and a video clip in the first private broadcast
  from the Moon
• User generated submissions by millions of Google
  users
• Email First hundred words sent back from Moon to
  Google GMail users
• Video First video sent back from the Moon,
  featured on YouTube and to all GMail subscribers
• Top 50 selected before launch
• Panel reveals winner as a surprise
• First video will be integrated into live webcast
• Continued broadcast/release of email/video
  submissions over the course of the 12 day mission

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X PRIZE CompetitionSpace AdventuresZero
Gravity CorporationBlastOff Corporation
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About 500 Astronauts ever to have flown US
Astronaut Corp today is 100 only 50 have flown
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Zero Gravity Room?
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Boeing 727
ZERO-G selected the Boeing 727-200 cargo aircraft
as the ideal vehicle for parabolic flight and has
partnered with Amerijet International of Ft.
Lauderdale, FL
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Highlights

• 11-Year Start-up
• 160 flights (2004 2007)
• Over 3500 consumers
• Markets
• Consumer Experience
• Corporate Incentive
• Education Training
• Research flights
• Media/Film Flights

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How It Works

• 15 Parabolas 1 Martian, 2 Lunar, 12 Zero
• 30 second each total of 7 minutes of
  weightlessness
• 1 hour of ground training 90 minute flight

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East West Coast Ops
West Coast McCarren Airport At Las Vegas Strip
East Coast Shuttle Landing Facility At the
Kennedy Space Center
3,500/seat -- 115,000 per charter (35 seats)
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NASA Research Training
On Jan 2nd 2008, Zero-G was selected to provide
NASA with weightless research training flights.
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Space Adventures Orbital Flights
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Prof. Stephen Hawking/Space Florida Zero-G Flight
I think the human race doesnt have a future if
it doesnt go into space Prof. Hawking
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ZERO-G Video
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Education Initiative
2005 2 Flight program test funded by Florida
(50 teachers) 2006 12 Flights (250 teachers)
funded by Northrop Grumman. 2007 20 Flights
(400 teachers) funded by Space Florida Northrop
Grumman. Goals for 2008 ? 1,000 Teachers ?
1,000 Students
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Rocket Racing League
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Rocket Racing Video
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What is Rocket Racing?

• An entertainment company with Grand Prix-style
  racing
• Single pilot vehicles conducting laps and
  pit-stops
• Track 1 mile high, 2 miles long and 1/2 mile
  wide
• Virtual GPS tunnels or gates
• Exciting and dangerous under roar of rocket

video
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The Race

• 10 X-Racers
• Staggered take-off (2 3 deep)
• Touch Go each lap with full-rocket thrust in
  front of crowds
• Typical 60 - 90 minute races
• 4-min burn time / 10 minute glide with smoke
  trailer
• 4 to 6 pit-stops per race

video
video
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Development (pre-cursor) Vehicle Long-EZ /
EZ-Rocket
video
Original 2 x 400lbs (LOX/Alcohol) ? 1 x 1,500
lbs (LOX/Kerosene)
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Flight Test Envelope Expansion
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Resources
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Types of Asteroids

• C-type 75 of asteroids composed of organic
  compounds, silicates, oxides, sulfates.
• S-type 17 of asteroids composed of mainly
  iron, magnesium silicates, and a variety of
  metals including cobalt, platinum, and nickel
• M-type 8 of all known asteroids composed of
  mainly pure nickel and iron
• ALL THREE TYPES HAVE VERY VALUABLE ELEMENTS

• There are millions of asteroids, scattered
  throughout the solar system.
• Many Near-Earth asteroids are easier to reach
  than our own moon!

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Yield Estimates for Platinum Group Metals

• Many Asteroids Possess Huge Quantities of
  Platinum Group Metals (PGMs)
• Concentrations of PGMs are up to 50,000 times
  higher in Asteroids than on Earth (typical mines
  on Earth. 5 PPB on Earth vs. 250 PPM in
  asteroids).
• A PGM-rich 1 km diameter asteroid would contain
  more platinum than has been mined in all of human
  history!

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True Wealth...
Nickel -Iron Asteroid Platinum-group metals
(pgms)platinum, iridium, osmium, palladium Avg
½ Kilometer Asteroid 20,000,000,000,000
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X PRIZE ZERO-GRocket Racing League
THANK YOU! -- QUESTIONS?
Peter H. Diamandis, MD Chairman/CEO peter_at_xprize.o
rg 1-310-587-3355