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Copart (CPRT)

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... companies, automobile rental companies, charities, ... Pursue national and regional vehicle supply agreements. Primarily with insurance companies ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Copart (CPRT)


1
Copart(CPRT)
  • Dan DeRose Jr.
  • Presented December 5, 2006

2
Presentation Outline
  • Company overview
  • RCMP position
  • Market overview
  • Industry overview
  • Porters five forces
  • Firm strategy and development
  • Stock Performance
  • Portfolio fit
  • Firm Performance
  • Dupont analysis
  • Margins analysis
  • Valuation
  • DCF
  • Recommendation

3
Part 1 Company overview
4
Copart The Business
  • Business salvage vehicle sales and services
    provider with 122 locations
  • Suppliers Financial institutions, vehicle
    leasing companies, automobile rental companies,
    charities, automobile dealers, insurance
    companies
  • 83 of vehicles from insurance companies
  • 14 from State Farm
  • Vehicles either damaged in accident or stolen and
    claim already paid
  • If in accident, deemed total loss if
  • repair cost gt ACV - salvage value

5
Copart The Business
  • Customers vehicle dismantlers, rebuilders, used
    vehicle dealers, exporters

6
Sales Process
  • VB2 Virtual Bidding Second Generation
  • Internet based auction-style model with
    registered participants
  • Shows highest current price, enter highest amount
    willing to pay, BID4U feature will incrementally
    bid for you (EBAY)
  • Affect increased pool of available buyers and
    added competition
  • FY 2006 50 of sales made to out of state
    buyers (24 out of country)

7
Sales AgreementsVehicle Processing Programs
  • Percentage Incentive Program (PIP) sell all
    salvage vehicles at a predetermined percentage of
    sales price
  • Revenues directly linked to sales price
  • Provide transport of vehicle to facility,
    storage, DMV processing at no expense
  • Fixed Fee Consignment generally 50 - 175
  • Charge extra for transportation, storage,
    processing

8
Services
  • CoPartFinder search engine enabling users to
    locate used parts quickly and efficiently
  • Lists vehicles recently sold through VB2
  • Allows vehicle dismantlers and resellers to
    streamline parts sale process and access a large
    pool of buyers (incentive)
  • Virtual Insured Exchange (VIX) venue for
    insurance companies to enter vehicle into live
    auction to establish true value
  • ProQuote proprietary software service that
    assists suppliers in vehicle claims evaluation
    process by providing online salvage value
    estimates

9
Part 2 RCMP Position
10
RCMP Position
  • Transaction history
  • 2003
  • BOT 1000 at 7.82
  • Gains Losses
  • BV of holding 7820
  • Realized capital gains 0
  • Unrealized capital gains 21,980
  • Market value of holdings 29,800

11
RCMP Postion
  • Portion of portfolio market value

12
Part 3 Market overview
13
Market Overview
  • Road congestion
  • Between 1982-2002, miles traveled increased 79
    while highway lane miles increased 3
  • Congested roads grew from 34 to 58 during same
    period
  • Current situation
  • 2000 Federal Highway Administration report states
    the average annual Cost to Maintain Highways and
    Bridges projected for the 2001-2020 period is
    11.3 billion (17.5) higher than 2000
    expenditures, while the Cost to Improve Highways
    and Bridges exceeds current spending by 42.2
    billion (65.3)
  • Comparison of Spending and Investment
    Requirements, 2002 Status of the Nations
    Highways, Bridges and Transit Conditions and
    Performance.

14
Market Overview
  • Automobile design
  • Manufacturers are incorporating certain design
    features that increase passenger safety
  • Unibody construction, passenger safety cages with
    crumble zones, plastic components, airbags, and
    computer systems
  • Safety features will make it more likely for
    vehicles to be deemed total losses if involved in
    accident
  • Gasoline prices
  • Shrink margins under PIP program
  • Significant increases could lead to reduction in
    miles driven per car and a reduction in accident
    rates

15
Part 4 Industry Overview
16
Porters 5 Forces
17
Part 5 Firm strategy and development
18
Firm Strategy and development
  • Acquire and develop new salvage vehicle
    facilities in key markets
  • Opened 11 facilities is FY 2006 and 10 in FY 2005
  • Pursue national and regional vehicle supply
    agreements
  • Primarily with insurance companies
  • Expand service offerings to suppliers and buyers
  • Expand offerings to include offering software
    that can assist suppliers in expediting claims
    and salvage management tools that integrate
    databases
  • Refine VB2 and continue to integrate into
    acquired facilities

19
Part 6 Stock performance
20
Stock performance
  • Stock price 29.80
  • 52 week range 21.14 - 30.39
  • CPRT vs. NASDAQ and SP for 1 year and 5 year
    intervals

21
Stock performance
  • CPRT vs. KAR (ADESA) for 1 year and 5 year
    intervals
  • Only pure player competitor

22
Part 7 Portfolio fit
23
Portfolio fit
Correlation Matrix
24
Part 8 Firm performance
25
Firm performance
  • ROE driven by increasing profit margin in recent
    periods.
  • Profit margins hurt in FY 2006 by Hurricanes
    Rita and Katrina

26
Firm performance
  • Decrease to operating and net profit margins in
    FY 2003 caused by increase in yard and fleet
    expenses due to handling increased volume at
    existing operations and the costs of new
    facilities CPRT FY 2003 10-k pg. 24
  • The increases in yard expenses were primarily
    attributable to the cost of handling increased
    volume, a general increase in subhauling costs
    and the incremental abnormal costs incurred as a
    result of hurricanes Kartina Rita. CPRT 10-k pg.
    33

27
Part 10 Valuation
28
Discounted Cash Flow
  • Basic assumptions
  • Revenues continue to show steady increase as CPRT
    continues to purchase and integrate new
    facilities
  • GA decreases slightly over time as installation
    of VB2 becomes complete
  • Must still maintain staff to service/upgrade
  • Vehicle pooling costs increase due to increases
    in gas prices and towing costs
  • Under Percentage Incentive Program, can not pass
    these costs onto customer resulting in smaller
    margins

29
Discounted Cash Flow
  • Step 1 Forecast FCF
  • Step 2 Find WACC

30
Discounted Cash Flow
  • Step 3 Calculate PV of FCF
  • Step 4 Subtract L-T debt and divide by shares
    outstanding

31
Discounted Cash Flow
  • Sensitivity analysis

32
Discounted Cash Flow
  • Downside scenario
  • Gas prices rise significantly
  • Worst case scenario
  • CPRT loses big insurance companies as vehicle
    suppliers
  • Remember, 83 from insurance companies and 14
    from State Farm alone!

33
Recommendation
  • HOLD all 1000 shares of CPRT
  • CPRT has shown continued ability to purchase and
    integrate new facilities into current system
    without debt
  • CPRT continues to develop its service offerings
    setting the curve in the industry

34
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