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Land Use, Transport and Climate Change

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Almost 20% of transport's emissions originate in Victoria ... Walking/cycling/PT accessibility/connectivity. Spatial shift in employment opportunities ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Land Use, Transport and Climate Change


1
Land Use, Transport and Climate Change
  • Fiona Calvert, Director Sustainable and Active
    Transport Policy

2
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4
State and Territory Transport Emissions 2006
  • Almost 20 of transports emissions originate in
    Victoria
  • Slightly higher per capita than other States

Source Australian Greenhouse Office
5
Victorian Emissions by End-Use
Source GWA 2008
6
Growth in Victorian emissions 2000-2007
7
Impacts of Increased Fuel Prices
  • Short of a new cheap fuel source
  • costs of car travel will increase
  • costs of freight movement will increase
  • Results
  • less disposable income
  • increased costs of consumer goods
  • poorer economic performance
  • Some households will be significantly negatively
    impacted

8
Possible secondary impacts of increased fuel
costs - fuel
  • Increased effort in RD on alternative fuels
  • Variety of fuels likely to emerge
  • Linked to a range of technologies
  • Different fuels and technologies will suit
    different circumstances

9
Possible secondary impacts alternative modes
  • Increase demand for public transport
  • analysis suggests there would be (and has been)
    some shift to public transport
  • Likely to be an increase in demand for
    walking/cycling
  • More short trips
  • Cheaper/readily available
  • Infrastructure implications

10
Possible secondary impacts - changes in road
transport
  • Likely to be an increase in demand for more
    fuel-efficient vehicles
  • Implies transaction costs
  • more rapid vehicle replacement
  • shift in production pattern for vehicle
    manufacturers
  • May reduce demand for road transport
  • Reduce non-discretionary travel, ie non-work
    trips
  • Increase car pooling

11
Vulnerabilities to Transport Cost Increases -
metro
12
Vulnerabilities to Transport Cost Increases -
regional
13
Possible later impacts of increased fuel prices
land use and planning
  • Property values
  • Inner areas/where there are alternatives likely
    to increase in value further
  • May increase gap between inner and outer suburbs
  • Design for reduced motorised mobility
  • Higher population densities
  • Local availability of services
  • Walking/cycling/PT accessibility/connectivity
  • Spatial shift in employment opportunities
  • Shift in business locations closer to pools of
    employees
  • Employees shift closer to work

14
Energy use by mode 2006
15
Emissions by household per 1000 trips
16
Energy per trip v distance from Melbourne CBD
17
Energy use per trip v population and employment
density
18
Change in energy and greenhouse gas emissions for
urban form scenarios 2031
19
Journey to Work Proportion of employed LGA
residents working in central Melbourne
20
Number of Single Occupant Trips to Work by Car
Kingston-North SLA
  • Locations with high levels of driver-only trips,
    limited public transport
  • Candidates for car pooling

21
Victorian Transport Plan
  • Three part approach to making transport more
    sustainable
  • Reducing the need to travel without impacting
    peoples access to opportunities and industrys
    need to move goods
  • Using less polluting forms of transport more
    often
  • Ensuring that all forms of transport are as
    environmentally friendly as possible

22
Lower emissions and reduced vulnerability
  • Transformative action necessary to reduce
    emissions
  • Many actions will also help those who are most
    vulnerable to fuel price increases
  • Government role in facilitating and supporting
    transformation
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