Great Lakes Environmental and Molecular Sciences GLEAMS Center webbased Decision Support System tool - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Title: Great Lakes Environmental and Molecular Sciences GLEAMS Center webbased Decision Support System tool


1
Great Lakes Environmental and Molecular Sciences
(GLEAMS) Centerweb-based Decision Support System
toolsfor assessing human and ecological health
risk
  • MTRI
  • Dr. Robert Shuchman
  • Colin Brooks
  • Eric Keefauver
  • Ben Koziol
  • Dr. Tyler Erickson

Western Michigan University Dr. Chuck Ide
www.wmich.edu/env/
2
GLEAMS
  • Partnership between MTRI (formerly part of
    Altarum/ERIM) and the Western Michigan University
    (WMU) Environmental Institute funded by EPA
  • Address the legacy of contamination on the Great
    Lakes and their watersheds
  • Help local state stakeholders understand this
    legacy
  • Develop watershed-scale methods to assess and
    protect human and ecosystem health
  • Used the Kalamazoo River watershed as a example
    site
  • Expanded to Lower Fox River, WI (Green Bay)
  • Modeled PCBs and water quality
  • Added mercury and gene expression tools
  • http//www.greatlakesdecisionsupport.org
  • Science
  • GIS
  • Modeling
  • Outreach
  • Great Lakes information

3
Example Decision Support System (DSS) Scenarios
  • You live in Allegan, Michigan, near the Kalamazoo
    River
  • Member of a local watershed group trying to
    understand risks
  • A community leader helping local citizens
    understand impacts of the legacy of pollution
  • Another audience Person working on fish
    consumption guidelines
  • Where are the risky areas? What are the risks?
  • Kalamazoo River PCBs
  • Used MDEQ reports for assessing risk
  • Baseline Ecological Risk Assessment (263 pages)
  • Human Health Risk Assessment (169 pages)


4
Food Web Modeling for PCB bioaccumulation
mink
eagle
human
Predators
bass
carp
Consumers
benthic invertebrates
algae
Source
sediment
surface water
5
Start River basin
Dams
Paper Companies
6
Interpolated polygons
7
Sample at that location
8
Accumulation in fish
9
Accumulation in people
10
Modeling cleanup scenarios
  • Cleanup scenario
  • Sediment concentration reduced 80
  • Calculate effect on health risk
  • Cancer risk down to 1.3 / 100,000

11
Integration WMUs gene and protein expression
research results into a mapping interface
  • Display areas where PCB contamination has cause
    gene or protein damage in carp
  • Label with levels of gene/protein expression
  • Allow users to query data, find out more about
    variables
  • Help page on GLEAMS portal discussion research
  • Gene protein expression another way of
    expressing risk
  • Working closely with Chuck Ide

12
mRNA Gene Expression DSS Tool
13
Protein DSS Tool
14
ALWAS
Automated Lagrangian Water Quality Assessment
System
ALWAS is an inexpensive, automated,
free-floating, sail-powered or jet-driven water
quality measuring and watershed evaluation
system. It is capable of making a wide range of
measurements, as rapidly as every 40 seconds.
Data can be transmitted in real-time or stored
for later retrieval and analysis.
  • Water Properties, including
  • Temperature
  • Barometric Pressure
  • Conductivity / Salinity
  • Dissolved Oxygen
  • pH
  • Turbidity
  • Depth
  • Oxidation-Reduction Potential
  • Chlorophyll-a
  • Blue-Green Algae
  • GPS Data, including
  • Geographic location
  • (Latitude and longitude)
  • Speed and Heading
  • Quality metric
  • Number of visible satellites
  • Time and date

ALWAS deployed along Kalamazoo River
  • Optional Measurements
  • Nitrates
  • Ammonium
  • Chlorides

ALWAS Software allows for -Real-time wireless
data transmission at over a distance of 1
mile. -Automatic data download to a geographic
database (ESRI shapefile) and Excel
spreadsheet. -GIS mapping capabilities
Example of ALWAS Data.
For more information, please contact Robert
Shuchman at 734.649.0937 or shuchman_at_mtu.edu
Patent Pending
15
ALWAS Kalamazoo sites2004 2006
  • Calculate National Sanitation Foundation Water
    Quality Index (WQI)
  • User-friendly explanation of WQI available at
    http//www.nsf.org/consumer/just_for_kids/wqi.asp

16
ALWAS DSS Mapping water quality
  • Water Quality Index calculated at sample points
    along the river using ALWAS data as the input

17
ALWAS WQI DSSdemonstrating WQI scenarios
WQI for drinking water emphasis on low
turbidity, neutral pH
WQI for habitat emphasis on temperature, pH, DO
WQI for recreation emphasis on depth,
temperature, pH
  • Different WQI decision support scenarios can be
    modeled with GLEAMS WQI tool

18
ALWAS example 9/2006 data for Maple Riverand
WQI calculation
Dissolved oxygen (gt 7 mg/L state standard)
pH 6.5 8 desirable
Turbidity (gt5 NTU problematic drinking H20 state
std.)
Derived WQI
  • All areas had a WQI of 60-80, in the Good range
  • 0-20 poor, 20-40 fair, 40-60 average, 60-80 good,
    80-100 excellent

19
Equivalent tools for mercury predict human
health risk using GIS data models
  • Goal Develop a tool to help users understand if
    local fish consumption is likely to lead to
    mercury exposure above EPA reference doses, esp.
    for women of 18-45, using spatial sediment data
    as starting point
  • Used documented Wisconsin DNR Lower Fox River
    database
  • Capture complexity of modeling health risk from
    mercury in a valid user-friendly on-line
    mapping interface
  • Enable user interaction, selection of scenarios
    help community members to understand level
    locations of risks

20
The Complexity of Mercury Modeling
  • Most common aquatic mercury chemical species
  • Elemental, inert (Hg0)
  • Divalent, reactive (Hg2)
  • Organic (MeHg)
  • The first two, non-biologically available forms
    (elemental and divalent) are the most common
    often accounting for greater than 90 of total
    environmental mercury.
  • Opposite is true for biological uptake gt 90 of
    tissue-bound mercury is MeHg
  • Mercury methylation typically occurs in the
    inactive, anoxic sediment layer of lakes and
    streams regulated by sulfide concentration,
    sulfate-reducing bacteria, pH, DOC/TOC, and
    temperature.
  • Mercury speciation model incorporates
    hydrodynamics as well as chemical kinetics to
    track speciation
  • Challenge is the static methylation,
    demethylation, oxidation, and reduction rates
    which are variable and influenced by the
    properties listed above
  • Another challenge is models do not currently
    enable mercury to move between finite elements.
    Hence, it is important to note that the
    speciation model is derived from a finite
    element model
  • Bioaccumulation modeled using a generalized
    hydrophobic bioaccumulation model.
  • Wide species applicability and simplified
    calibration procedure
  • Challenging to incorporate the effects of weight
    and age, highly sensitive to changes in
    bioconcentration factor
  • Human Health
  • Two methods to assess health risks. Both
    originate from EPA recommendations
  • RfD (reference dose) ? acceptable blood mercury
    level that can be physiologically maintained
    resulting in no noticeable health effects ?
    0.0001 mg MeHg/kg body weight-day (female and
    children), 0.0003 (male)
  • TRC (tissue residue criterion) ? fish tissue
    concentration that when consumed will not result
    in a RfD above the recommended value
  • A simple calculation involving body weight,
    dietary intake, and fish tissue concentration

21

Generalized Mercury Model Diagram
Elemental - Divalent - Organic (methyl)
Elsayed, N.B. 2002. A finite element model of
mercury species fate in the Detroit River water
column and sediment. Dissertation. Wayne State
University, Detroit, MI. EPA Water Quality
Criterion. 2001. Water Quality Criterion for the
Protection of Human Health Methylmercury. Office
of Science and Technology, Office of Water. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency. Washington, D.C.
EPA-823-R-01-001. Fox River Food (FRFood) Model.
2001. Fox River Food (FRFood) Model
Documentation Memorandum, Lower Fox River,
Wisconsin Remedial Investigation and Feasibility
Study. ThermoRetec Consulting Corporation.
Prepared for Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources. SERAFM. 2006. Development of an
Ecological Risk Assessment Methodology for
Assessing Wildlife Exposure Risk Associated with
Mercury-Contaminated Sediments in Lake and River
Systems. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Office of Research and Development. Washington,
D.C. EPA-600-R-063-073. (Recommended by Dr.
Elsie Sunderland, EPA ORD, Boston)
22
Example Data
1998 Mercury sediment concentrations from WDNR
Low Fox River Environmental Information
Management System (Jeff Kreider)
Predicted Fish Tissue Concentration (mg MeHg/kg
fish)
23
Example Health Risk Scenarios
  • Scenarios can be run under different
    bioconcentration levels to incorporate
    uncertainties associated with fish ecology (e.g.
    unconstrained movement ranges, size variability,
    age, etc.).
  • Bioconcentration factors were calibrated to in
    situ fish tissue concentrations using a Monte
    Carlo-based optimization procedure.
  • The range of bioconcentration factors allows
    the food web model to demonstrate a valid range
    of concentration predictions.
  • Final integration with the Fox River GLEAMS IMS
    site is being completed this month info below
    through a mapping (DSS) interface

Weight (kg) / age / RefDose (mg MeHg/kg)
BioConc. Level / Typical Consumption / High
24
Mercury Tool Demo Querying data through tool
for Lower Fox River
25
Mercury Tool Demo Bioaccumulation levels in fish
26
Mercury Tool DemoAre the risk criteria exceeded?
27
GLEAMS Portal - DSS link
Contact info Colin Brooks Environmental Sciences
Lab Manager / Research Scientist Michigan Tech
Research Institute 3600 Green Court, Suite
100 Ann Arbor, MI 48105 colin.brooks_at_mtu.edu Ph
734-913-6858 Fax 734-913-6880 Robert
Shuchman 734-913-6860 shuchman_at_mtu.edu Chuck
Ide 269-387-5951 charles.ide_at_wmu.edu
  • GLEAMS Portal www.greatlakesdecisionsupport.org
  • WMU Environmental Institute www.wmich.edu/env/
  • MTRI www.mtri.org
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