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MGE 475 Quantitative Methods in Production Management Handout

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Title: MGE 475 Quantitative Methods in Production Management Handout


1
MGE 475 Quantitative Methods in Production
ManagementHandout 11School of
EngineeringUniversity of BridgeportSpring 2006
2
Supply Chain Management
  • The process of planning, organizing, and
    controlling the flow of materials services, and
    information from suppliers to end
    users/customers.
  • This integrated approach incorporates suppliers,
    supply management, integrated logistics, and
    operations.
  • Extend the reach beyond one organizations effort
    to deliver product or services from initial
    suppliers to final customers
  • Manage bottlenecks and reduce impact on customers

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
3
Introduction - Supply Chain
Market research data Schedule information
Engineering and design data Orders and cash
flows
Supplier
Customer
Ideas and design to meet the customer demand
Material flow Cash flow
Inventory
Supplier
Customer
Manufacturer
Inventory
Inventory
Supplier
Distributer
Customer
Inventory
4
Introduction
Two major requirements of an efficient
production, technology know-how are widely
available. Disappearing price and quality
differences between competing products. Supply
chain efficiency Key to success. ? Supply Chain
Management (SCM).
5
Introduction cont
An efficient SCM achieve cost supply time
reductions, give timely responses to rapidly
changing market conditions ? maintain
competitiveness. The success of SCM activities
mostly depends on an efficient Logistics
management. As firms expand it becomes difficult
to focus on their core competency areas. One
effective solution, providing a more core
competency-focused environment for businesses
while increasing the efficiency of logistics
operations is to outsource logistics. Third
party service provider (3PL) is an important
component of domestic and international
logistics strategies for many US manufacturers.
Kongar, 2006
6
Integrated Logistics
  • Process of
  • anticipating customer needs and wants
  • acquiring the capital, materials, people,
    technologies, and information necessary to meet
    those needs and wants
  • optimizing the goods or service producing
    networks to fulfill customer requests
  • utilizing the network to fulfill customer request
    in a timely way.

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
7
Integrated Logistics
  • Integrated logistics has two categories
  • Logistics activities
  • Transportation, facilities, inventory, material
    handling, communications, and information
  • Service response logistics activities
  • Waiting time, capacity, and delivery

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
8
Components ofLogistics Management
Management actions
Outputs oflogistics
Inputs into logistics
Implementation
Control
Planning
Marketingorientation(competitiveadvantage)
Naturalresources(land, facilities, and
equipment)
Logistics management
Timeand placeutility
Humanresources
Finishedgoods
Rawmaterials
In-processinventory
Suppliers
Customers
Efficientmovementto customer
Financialresources
Proprietaryasset
Logistics activities
Informationresources
  • Customer service
  • Demand forecasting
  • Distribution communications
  • Inventory control
  • Material handling
  • Order processing
  • Parts and service
  • support
  • Plant and warehouse site selection
  • Procurement
  • Packaging
  • Return goods handling
  • Salvage and scrap disposal
  • Traffic and transportation
  • Warehousing and storage

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
9
Key Logistics Activities
  • Customer service
  • Demand forecasting/ planning
  • Inventory management
  • Logistics communications
  • Material handling
  • Order processing
  • Packaging
  • Parts service support
  • Plant warehouse site selection
  • Purchasing
  • Return goods handling
  • Reverse logistics
  • Traffic transportation
  • Warehousing storage
  • Others

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
10
Cost of Logistic Activities
  • Customer service levels
  • Transportation
  • Warehousing
  • Procurement
  • Order processing
  • Information systems
  • Lot quantity
  • Inventory carrying
  • Others

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
11
3PL
Today, an average 3PL user spends 33 percent of
its annual logistics operating budget on 3PL
services. This number is 44 percent and expected
to increase to 49 percent for North American
companies. As the 3PL services become more
costly, choosing efficient 3PLs became an
increasingly more challenging task which
requires a detailed assessment of the
alternatives. Due to recent environmental
regulations and growing public awareness
regarding environmental issues, 3PLs should also
be environmentally benign.
49
44
12
Supplier Criteria Evaluation
Price Variable
Delivery Variable
Service Variable
Quality Variable
Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
13
Supplier Evaluation Variables
  • Service
  • Ease of operation or use
  • Ease of maintenance
  • Reliability of service
  • Sales service
  • Supplier flexibility
  • Training offered
  • Training offered
  • Training time required
  • Technical service offered
  • Ordering convenience
  • Price
  • Price of materials
  • Financing terms
  • Delivery
  • Reliability of delivery
  • Total transit time
  • Quality
  • Overall supplier reputation
  • Product reliability
  • Technical specifications

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
14
Supplier Criteria Measurement
  • Price effectiveness actual against plan
  • Cost savings reducing unit costs or avoidance
  • Workload measuring new, backlog, accomplished
  • Administration and control Actual to plan
  • Efficiency output to input
  • Supplier quality and delivery
    accepted/rejected
  • Material flow control flow of material from
    supplier to buyer
  • Regulatory, societal, and environmental measures
    meeting requirements
  • Procurement planning and research
    Price/lead-time forecast accuracy
  • Inventory analyzing turnover
  • Transportation use of premium transportation

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
15
  • Reverse Logistics

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
16
Environmentally Conscious Manufacturing
Environmentally conscious manufacturing (ECM) is
concerned with developing methods for
manufacturing new products from conceptual design
to final delivery, and ultimately to the
end-of-life (EOL) disposal such that the
environmental standards and requirements are
satisfied.
Product Recovery
Product Recovery aims to minimize the amount of
waste sent to landfills by recovering materials
and parts from old or outdated products by means
of recycling and remanufacturing (including reuse
of parts and products).
Kongar, 2006
17
Overview
  • 20 Million PCs became obsolete in 1998 (National
    Safety Council )
  • 60 Million by year 2005
  • 500 Million accumulation between the years 1997
    and 2007
  • 7.5 Million Tons of potential waste
  • EOL Options
  • Reuse
  • Recycle
  • Storage
  • Disposal

Currently 80 PCs are stored
Kongar, 2006
18
Legislative and Economic Incentives
  • Governmental regulations
  • EPA guidelines
  • Clean-up taxes
  • Take-back policies
  • Changes in customer perspective
  • Positive economic incentives
  • Recycling
  • A company in Irvine, CA, recovered 79 million
  • from computer recycling (Aeppel, 1994)
  • Remanufacturing
  • Reusable parts and products are brought back into
    production

Kongar, 2006
19
Boston Globe March 31, 2000
Governmental regulations
Old monitors now hard to dump in MA MA residents
are no longer able to discard their old computers
and TV monitors as they please since a
first-in-the-nation electronic disposal ban went
into effect on Saturday. The ban, issued by the
Massachusetts Department of Environmental
Protection (DEP), promotes the recycling and/or
donation of computers and TV monitors.
20
Kongar, 2006
21
Comparison of Supply Chain and Reverse Supply
Chain
22
Issues in Material and Product Recovery
  • Recycling
  • Definition Recycling is the process of
    recovering the material content of end-of-life
    (EOL) products by performing the necessary
    disassembly, sorting and chemical operations
  • Identities of parts of EOL products are lost
  • Remanufacturing
  • Definition Remanufacturing is the process of
    performing the required disassembly, sorting,
    refurbishing and assembly operations in order to
    bring parts of an EOL product (or the entire
    product) to a desired level of quality
  • Identities of parts of EOL products are not lost
  • Disassembly
  • Definition Disassembly is a systematic method
    for separating a product into its constituent
    parts, components, subassemblies, or other
    groupings

Kongar, 2006
23
The Product
  • The disassembly process starts with a product.
    The product represents a functionality (ability
    to provide services).
  • The product consists of a number of discrete
    parts, which are called components. A component
    cannot be further disassembled and is sometimes
    called an atomic part for this reason.

Disassembly Modeling for Assembly, Maintenance,
Reuse, and Recycling by A. J. D. Lambert and S.
M. Gupta, CRC Press
24
Components
  • Components can be grouped in subassemblies.
  • A subassembly is a connected set of components.
  • A subset is also a set of components of the
    product that is not necessarily connected. Yet
    another way of grouping of the components is in
    modules, which are functional units, composed of
    components.

Disassembly Modeling for Assembly, Maintenance,
Reuse, and Recycling by A. J. D. Lambert and S.
M. Gupta, CRC Press
25
Connection
  • If the components are physically linked, such a
    link is called a connection.
  • The terms liaison and joint are also used.
  • If the components are nearly in touch with each
    other, this can be considered a virtual
    connection in some cases.

Disassembly Modeling for Assembly, Maintenance,
Reuse, and Recycling by A. J. D. Lambert and S.
M. Gupta, CRC Press
26
Mating
  • Connections restrict the freedom of motion of the
    components involved.
  • Mating is a way of connecting components.

Disassembly Modeling for Assembly, Maintenance,
Reuse, and Recycling by A. J. D. Lambert and S.
M. Gupta, CRC Press
27
Fasteners
  • In some cases, specialized components, or parts
    of components, called fasteners are used for
    connections.
  • Fasteners can be discrete components such as
    screws, or nondiscrete material objects such as
    snap fits.
  • If the fastener is a component, but not
    considered as such in modeling, it is considered
    a quasi-component.

Disassembly Modeling for Assembly, Maintenance,
Reuse, and Recycling by A. J. D. Lambert and S.
M. Gupta, CRC Press
28
Product Life Cycle
http//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Product_life_cycle_ma
nagement
29
  • Products tend to go through five stages
  • New product development stage
  • very expensive
  • no sales revenue
  • losses
  • Market introduction stage
  • cost high
  • sales volume low
  • losses
  • low prices
  • Growth stage
  • costs reduced due to economies of scale
  • sales volume increases significantly
  • profitability
  • prices to maximize market share
  • Mature stage
  • costs are very low
  • sales volume peaks
  • prices tend to drop due to the proliferation of
    competing products

30
Reasons for Reverse Logistics Systems
  • Trade-ins
  • Take-backs
  • Universal product recalls
  • Units for inspection or recalibration
  • Products not meeting guarantees
  • Return of goods for credit
  • Rental or lease returns
  • Warranty returns
  • Reusable containers
  • Consignment agreement returns

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
31
Stages of the Recycling Supply Chain
  • Collect waste materials from recycling bins and
    deliver them to recycling entity
  • Process recyclables to create secondary raw
    materials
  • Use secondary materials to make new products
  • Return products to the marketplace

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
32
Customer Returns of New Products
  • Customers return
  • unwanted
  • defective
  • damaged products
  • Reverse logistics systems must quickly restock
    returned items
  • Supply chain member may have to take financial
    responsibility for loss or damage, depending upon
    circumstances

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
33
Customer Returns of Used Products
  • Customers can return certain cores and get
    refunds for use in re-manufactured items
  • The automotive industry uses this reverse
    logistics practice

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
34
Customer Returns of Reused Products
  • Some products can be reused with sterilization
    and cleaning
  • Often retail stores give refunds for glass soda
    bottles
  • Bottles are returned to bottling plant for
    refilling and reuse

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
35
Outsourcing Reverse Logistics Requirements
  • Logistics outsourcing (also known as third-party
    providers) is
  • the decision to use independent, external
    organizations as the means of accomplishing some
    or all of the logistics related functions within
    the firm.
  • Common alliances are formed between companies and
    outsource firms

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
36
Green Alliance Guidelines
  • Selection of an environmental partner
  • Market positioning of the green alliance
  • Manage partner/alliance relations

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
37
Life-Cycle Analysis
  • Measures economic and environmental impact of a
    product through its manufacture, use, and
    disposal
  • Assesses the environmental and economic impact of
    a product through its entire life

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
38
Environmentally Conscious Program
  • Phase 1 Reactive
  • Companies meet minimum government standards
  • Phase 2 Proactive
  • Companies implement recycling and reuse programs
    voluntarily
  • Phase 3 Value-seeking
  • Companies eagerly address environmental concerns

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
39
Drivers and Constraints of Reverse Logistics
Stakeholder commitment
Regulations
Top management
Customers
Reverse logistics
Policy entrepreneurs
Quality of inputs
Incentive systems
Uncertainty
Coordination
Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
40
Determining Transportation and Location
  • Cost of transporting used and recyclable goods
    can exceed their value
  • Cost usually drives the transportation decision
    for reverse logistics
  • Considerations are mode choice and facility
    location

Logistics, Bloomberg, LeMay, Hanna, 2002,
Prentic-hall
41
Product Life Cycle
  • Conceptual Life Cycle
  • Physical Life Cycle

Wikipedia
42
Conceptual Life Cycle
  • Conceptual Life Cycle refers to the duration of
    time in which a product is considered viable in
    the market.
  • The conceptual life cycle comprises the design
    phase, the state-of-the-art (useful) phase and
    finally the phase of products decline.
  • In the final phase the product becomes outdated
    and needs replacing even though the product is
    technically sound.

Wikipedia
43
Conceptual Life Cycle
  • Depending on the product, the conceptual life
    cycle encompass an appreciable period of time.
  • On the other hand, electronic products such as
    computers and mobile phones tend to have
    substantially conceptual life cycles.
  • A shorter conceptual life cycle causes products
    to be discarded, even if they still are
    technically sound, thus preventing their
    components from being used in new or
    remanufactured products.

Wikipedia
44
Physical Life Cycle
  • The physical life cycle refers to the duration of
    time that spans from the production of a product
    up to the moment that is discarded.

Wikipedia
45
Planned Obsolescence
Planned obsolescence is the marketing strategy of
deliberately introducing obsolescence into a
product strategy. Obsolescence, in general, is
the process of passing out of usefulness. In a
business context this means the object is no
longer perceived as having value, that is, a
product is no longer wanted even though it is
still in good working order. This can be
contrasted with deterioration, which is a process
of disintegration or degeneration.
Wikipedia
46
Planned Obsolescence
The difference is that obsolescence is a
perception about the usefulness of an object
whereas deterioration is a physical process. The
two concepts are highly correlated, but neither
is a sufficient or necessary condition of the
other. That is, you can have obsolescence without
deterioration, and you can have deterioration
without obsolescence.
Wikipedia
47
Rationale Behind the Strategy
  • A new product development strategy that seeks to
    make existing products obsolete may appear
    counter intuitive, particularly if you are a
    leading marketer of the existing products.
  • Why would a firm deliberately endeavour to reduce
    the value of its existing product portfolio?
  • The rationale behind the strategy is to generate
    long-term sales volume by reducing the time
    between repeat purchases, (referred to as
    shortening the replacement cycle).

Wikipedia
48
Rationale Behind the Strategy
  • Firms that pursue this strategy believe that the
    additional sales revenue it creates more than
    offsets the additional costs of research and
    development and the opportunity costs of existing
    product line cannibalization.
  • However, the rewards are by no means certain
  • In a competitive industry, this can be a risky
    strategy because consumers may decide to buy from
    your competitors.

Wikipedia
49
Types of Planned Obsolescence
  • Functional obsolescence
  • Systemic obsolescence
  • Style obsolescence
  • Notification obsolescence

Wikipedia
50
Functional Obsolescence
  • Planned functional obsolescence is a type of
    technical obsolescence in which companies
    introduce new technology which replaces the old.
  • The old products do not have the same
    capabilities or functionality as the new ones.
  • For example a company that sold video tape decks
    while they were developing DVDs were engaging in
    planned obsolescence.
  • That is, they were actively planning to make
    their existing product (video tape) obsolete by
    developing a substitute product (DVDs) with
    greater functionality (better quality).
  • Another example is the replacement of telegraphs
    with telephones.
  • Associated products that are complements to the
    old products will also become obsolete with the
    introduction of new products. For example video
    tape holders saw the same fate as video tapes and
    video tape decks. Likewise, buggy whips became
    obsolete when people started traveling in cars
    instead of buggies.

Wikipedia
51
Systemic Obsolescence
  • Planned systemic obsolescence is the deliberate
    attempt to make a product obsolete by altering
    the system in which it is used in such a way as
    to make its continued use difficult.
  • For example new software is frequently introduced
    that is not compatible with older software.
  • This makes the older software largely obsolete.
    For example, even though an older version of a
    word processing program is operating correctly,
    it might not be able to read .doc files from
    newer versions.
  • The greater the network externalities in the
    market, the more effective is this strategy.
  • Another way of introducing systemic obsolescence
    is to eliminate service and maintenance for a
    product.
  • If a product fails, the user is forced to
    purchase a new one.
  • This strategy seldom works because there are
    typically third parties that are prepared to
    perform the service if parts are still available.

Wikipedia
52
Style Obsolescence
  • Planned style obsolescence occurs when marketers
    change the styling of products so customers will
    purchase products more frequently. The style
    changes are designed to make owners of the old
    model feel 'out of date'.
  • It is also designed to differentiate the product
    from the competition, thereby reducing price
    competition. Marketers also claim that style
    changes relieve peoples' boredom and allows for
    both self-expression and conformity at the same
    time.
  • One example of style obsolescence is the
    automobile industry in which manufacturers
    typically make style changes every year or two.
    As the former CEO of General Motors, Alfred P.
    Sloan, stated, "Today the appearance of a
    motor-car is a most important factor in the
    selling end of the businessperhaps the most
    important factor because everyone knows the car
    will run."

53
Style Obsolescence
  • Some marketers go one step further they attempt
    to initiate fashions or fads. A fashion is any
    style that is popularly accepted by groups of
    people over a period of time. A fad is a short
    term fashion.
  • Examples of successfully created fashions or fads
    include Beanie Babies, Ninja Turtles, Cabbage
    Patch Kids, Rubik's Cubes, pet rocks, acid wash
    jeans, Pokémon, and tank tops. Obsolescence is
    built into these products in the sense that
    marketers are aware of the shortness of their
    product life cycles so they work within that
    constraint.
  • For example, when Beanie Babies sales revenue
    started to decline, company president Ty Warner
    astutely decided to go for one last Christmas
    marketing push and then drop the product.

Wikipedia
54
Notification Obsolescence
  • Some companies have developed a very
    sophisticated version of obsolescence in which
    the product informs the user when it is time to
    buy a replacement.
  • Examples of this include water filters that
    display a replacement notice after a predefined
    time and disposable razors that have a strip that
    changes colour.
  • If the user is notified before the product has
    actually deteriorated, planned obsolescence is
    the result. In this way obsolescence can be
    introduced without going to the expense of
    developing a new replacement product.

Wikipedia
55
Obsolescence and Durability
  • If marketers expect a product to become obsolete
    they can design it to last for a specific
    lifetime.
  • For example, if a product will be technically or
    stylisticly obsolete in five years, many
    marketers will design the product so it will only
    last for that time.
  • This is done through a technical process called
    value engineering An example is home
    entertainment electronics which tend to be
    designed and built with moving components like
    motors and gears that last until technical or
    stylistic innovations make them obsolete.

Wikipedia
56
Obsolescence and Durability
  • These products could be built with military spec
    components, but they are not because it is felt
    that this imposes an unnecessary cost on the
    purchaser.
  • Value engineering will reduce the cost of making
    the product, and lower the price to consumers
    (unless there is a lack of competition in the
    industry, in which case the cost reduction will
    probably not be passed on to the consumer in the
    form of lower price).
  • A company will typically use the least expensive
    components that satisfy products lifetime
    projections.

Wikipedia
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