Wisconsin Statewide Model

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Wisconsin Statewide Model

• July 26,2006

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Travel Forecasting Analysis Section

• Forecasts for Project Development Design
• Major Projects and Statewide Corridors
• System-wide forecasts to Calculate
  Level-of-Service in Metamanager
• Statewide Model development for Multi-Modal
  Planning
• VMT Estimation and Forecasting
• Output to FHWA for Program Apportionment
• Output to DNR for Environmental Air Quality
  Analysis
• Output to State Patrol DTID for Fatality Rate
  Calculations
• Origin Destination Studies for Local Cost Share

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Statewide Modeling Context

• Systems View
• Synchronization
• Applications

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Wisconsin Statewide Model
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Wisconsin Network Zone
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Wisconsin MPO Models
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Wisconsin Regional Models
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Regional Model
NorthWest Wisconsin
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MPO Model
EauClaire / Chippewa Falls
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System View
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
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System Feedback
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
Statewide Model Provides AADT Estimates to MPO
Model
Statewide Model Completed October 2004
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System Feedback
Statewide Model
Regional Model
MPO Model
MPO Model Provides AADT Estimates back to
Statewide Model
MPO Model Completed December 2004
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Synchronized Models
Synchronized Models Provides AADT Estimates to
Region
Regional Model Completed December 2005
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Traffic Analysis Forecasting Information System
Produces and Warehouses AADT Estimates for
Analysis
Provide Overrides Capability of Historical Based
Forecasts
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Systems Interaction
TAFIS

• Source Data for
• WisDOTs Metamanager System
• WisDOTs Corridor Management
• Traffic Impact Analysis

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Traffic Analysis Forecasting Information System
(TAFIS)

• SAS-based forecasts utilizing historic data
• Produces and warehouses AADT estimatesfor
  analysis
• Utilizes Box-Cox regression methodfor
  Interstate, US and Wisconsin State highways

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TAFIS Example
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Model Application Outputs

• Conceptual Planning ( Alternatives Testing)
• Input into Paramics ( Design)
• Planned Projects within each MPO
  (Long Range Transportation Plan)

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Design Concepts I-94 (St. Croix County)
I- 94
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Principles

• Partnership with Consultants
• More robust AADT Estimates
• Realistic Design
• Anticipate Emerging Growth

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Wisconsin Statewide Model
Thank you
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Questions