Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making 28th- 29th September 2006 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making 28th- 29th September 2006

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A collective notion for a variety of methods and approaches used in futures ... Soul Dynamics Glossary. Hindrances to obtaining clear impact assessment ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Second International Seville Seminar on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts on policy and decision making 28th- 29th September 2006


1
Second International Seville Seminar on
Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA)
Impacts on policy and decision making28th- 29th
September 2006
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Daniela Tchonkova
ARC Fund, Bulgaria
2
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Strategic Planning
Anticipation
Foresight?
Forecast
Governance
3
Initial Paradigm
A collective notion for a variety of methods and
approaches used in futures studies to explore,
foresee and anticipate future technology
developments, assess their possible impact on
society and devise present-time undertakings for
shaping these future developments so as to give
impetus to economic growth and improve social
welfare.
Foresight?
Future-Oriented Technology Analysis
4
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Hindrances to obtaining clear impact assessment
Lack of common understanding of the essence of
Foresight
The discipline of developing a forward view in
time Soul Dynamics Glossary
Foresight covers activities aiming at thinking,
debating, shaping the future CORDIS
Development of research/innovation policies,
Science and Technology Foresight
Foresight is a method of thinking about the
future in order to think about what should be
done now The Future of Health Care
Foresight is thinking, debating and shaping the
future. Foresight is about shaping the future,
not predicting it. It encompasses a wide range of
approaches used in planning, networking and the
management of group processes, and organisational
learning. According to the High Level Group of
Foresight, set up by Commission DG Research
Process by which one comes to a fuller
understanding of the forces shaping the long-term
future which should be taken into account in
policy formulation, planning and decision
making Australian Government, Department of
Education, Science and Training
etc.
5
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Hindrances to obtaining clear impact assessment
Diversity of Foresight objectives
To inform the process of policy making
To support decision making
To generate and structure knowledge
To shape the future
To network
To build consensus
etc.
6
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Hindrances to obtaining clear impact assessment
Diversity of outcomes that are often
misinterpreted as results of Foresight
Results?
Outcomes?
or
visions
priorities
networks
Foresight
7
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Foresight impact assessment. Considerations for
obtaining clearer impact assessment
Effectiveness
WHAT?
Efficacy
HOW?
8
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Positioning Foresight in relation to strategic
planning and forecast
  • Top-down vs bottom-up approach
  • RISKS
  • Setting the right long-term goal

Build constituency to Foresight
9
Positioning Foresight in Strategic Governance in
Less Advanced Countries
Daniela
Tchonkova (Ms.)Coordinator, ARC Fund EUREKA
NIP6 Gurko Str., Sofia 1000BULGARIAphones
(359 2) 986 7557, (359 2) 986 7887mobile
(359 88) 883 02 89fax (359 2) 980
1833http//www.arcfund.net
Don't wait
for the right opportunity create it!(George
Bernard Shaw)

Thank you for listening
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