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Policy directions

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POLICY DIRECTIONS. David Bray, Economic and Policy Services Pty Ltd. Policy directions ... Mode choice - movement rather than mode. perhaps there for non ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Policy directions


1
Policy directions
  • David Bray, Economic and Policy Services Pty Ltd

2
Policy directions
  • Review of technical issues
  • Public policy formulation
  • Ways forward

3
Technical Issues
  • Supply chains, networks and globalisation
  • accepted thinking
  • Mode choice - movement rather than mode
  • perhaps there for non-urban transport
  • Future growth in demand
  • considerable growth anticipated
  • Providing adequate system capacity
  • a challenge
  • need for robustness
  • relative cost of infrastructure and operations
  • timing

4
Technical issues - continued
  • Economic growth
  • Renewed emphasis
  • Productivity
  • Operational efficiency
  • Safety
  • Public views and government actions
  • Environment
  • Firmly on the agenda
  • Limited agreement on best ways forward

5
Technical issues - continued
  • Technical issues given less emphasis
  • Capital financing
  • Pricing
  • Urban transport

6
The policy process
  • Sabatier (1999) Theories of the Policy Process
  • Some common themes for more comprehensive
    frameworks (multiple streams, punctuated
    equilibrium, advocacy coalition)
  • Policy communities
  • Policy windows
  • Policy entrepreneurs
  • Also role for policy diffusion, funnel of
    causality, etc

7
Implications
  • We do not control the agenda
  • Though we try to varying degrees to influence it
  • We are part of policy communities
  • We need to have policy analysis available
  • To support policy communities
  • For when it is needed

8
Two related issues Ease of Change
  • Different capacity for transport sub-sectors to
    accommodate growth, ranging through
  • Aviation
  • Road transport and logistics
  • Rail transport
  • Urban transport
  • In part related to the complexity of action

9
- and Rationale for Action
  • Can discern presented policies and proposals that
    are
  • Demand led
  • Supply led
  • Vision or Aspirational which can be
  • Principles based
  • Outcome based
  • All have merits and risks

10
Policy Directions - Achievements
  • Some big issues are in place
  • Labour aspects of micro-economic reform
  • Concern for efficiency gains
  • Role of rail given clearer prominence and
    framework is in place
  • In general, fixed assets and operations are
    separated for all modes
  • A productive tension
  • Negative effect of protection
  • Safety also given new prominence

11
Future issues
  • Infrastructure
  • Safety
  • Environment
  • Strategic planning
  • Pricing
  • Urban transport

12
Infrastructure
  • Providing capacity
  • Anticipating demand
  • Prioritising projects
  • Scheduling implementation
  • Auslink
  • Have we replaced one moral hazard with another?
  • Road infrastructure
  • How much road infrastructure?
  • Sustaining road assets - how to increase
    discipline?

13
Safety
  • How to improve walking-the-walk
  • Limits to what can be done internally
  • The importance of demand led approaches
  • Community buy-in and behaviour change
  • Giving politicians the support they need

14
Environment
  • The awakening giant
  • Different perspectives on solutions
  • Need to keep research and policy analysis
    broad-based and current
  • Importance of public attitudes and response

15
Strategic planning
  • International practice
  • Germany, Greater Mekong Subregion, China
  • What does this mean for us some needs
  • Understand context
  • Recognise drivers of change
  • Understand the available policy instruments
  • Commit to following through
  • Clear thinking coordination innovation
    trialling
  • Implications of planning in a market economy

16
Pricing
  • Progress in Germany
  • In Australia
  • Has Phase I ended in a stalemate?
  • Future needs
  • Keep policy analysis current
  • Look for short term opportunities,eg fixed to
    variable pricing
  • Potential role for insurance companies

17
Urban transport
  • The lumbering giant
  • General concurrence on the vision
  • Limited success to date
  • Will need to consider the roles for
  • Demand led and planned outcome approaches
  • Persuasion, prices and regulation policy
    instruments

18
  • Thanks
  • to
  • DOTARS, BTRE, Phil Potterton other staff
  • and the speakers
  • for an excellent Colloquium
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