Title: Portable Alpha: What it is and how it can be applied to Insurance Companies' Surplus Portfolios by P
1Portable Alpha What it is and how it can be
applied to Insurance Companies' Surplus
Portfoliosby Pierre LarocheSenior
DirectorFinancial Engineeringfor The 2006
Stochastic Modeling Symposium and Investment
Seminar,Toronto, April 4 2006
2 1. DesjardinsGlobal Asset Management2. What
is Portable Alpha?3. PA, Portfolio Volatility
and Tracking Error4. Discussion5. An Example
3Desjardins Global Asset Management (DeGAM)
- DeGAM is Mouvement Desjardins' main portfolio
management subsidiary. - CAD 41 Bn under management
- CAD 14,5 Bn Fixed Income
- CAD 11,5 Bn Repo
- CAD 9 Bn Multi-Management Retail
- CAD 5 Bn Funds of Hedge Funds
- CAD 1 Bn Multi-Management Institutional(Conve
ntional Quantitative)
42. What is Portable Alpha?
Sample 125 US Defined Benefits Pension
Plans Source JP Morgan Chase, 2005
52. What is Portable Alpha?
"Portable Alpha refers to the process of
separating the alpha from the beta and then
applying it to other portfolios" (Kung and
Pohlman (2004)) To well understand PA, let's
define it as a portfolio enhancement strategy
rP excess returns (i.e. returns in excess of
the risk-free interest rate) of the enhanced
portfolio (E), the base portfolio (B) and the
(external) active management mandates (A) that
constitute the enhancement sources and where
,
62. What is Portable Alpha?
Since actively managed portfolios are usually
benched against an index portfolio, we can write
We then have
And since
Then
72. What is Portable Alpha?
- Many classical hedge fund strategies carry a mix
of alpha and beta. Sometimes, the beta component
is quite proheminent. - For example, most Fixed Income Arbitrage hedge
funds use a mix of the three following
strategies - Buying illiquid securities and/or with more
credit risk and selling more liquid securities
and/or with less credit risk. - Riding the interest rate curve ("positive carry"
positions). - Selling interest rate volatility.
- This combination of these three pure beta bets
has a circa 0.8 correlation with Tremont's Fixed
Income Arbitrage Hedge Fund Index!
83. PA, Portfolio Volatility and Tracking Error
- Important issue Active portfolio management
creates tracking error does that raise the
enhanced portfolio's absolute risk (i.e.
volatility)? Answer usually not.
We know that
Hence
Since TE must be non-negative, this last equation
requires that
.
So that if
then
93. PA, Portfolio Volatility and Tracking Error
- We tested the model over the Jan. 1996 Dec.
2005 observation period for 269 managers - 40 TSE Composite 103 SP500 78 MS EAFE
48 MS Emerging markets
- The main results were
- The median value added is quite small
- The best value added are found for the tougher
markets (EAFE and Emerging Markets) - Most b are less than 1.0
- The managed portfolios' volatility is equal to
that of their benchmark index - The model is quite well validated by data
104. Discussion PMIT
- The main benefits arising from PMIT's (portable-)
alpha and beta separation are - The portfolio manager can stick to her strategic
asset allocation target (in the pure beta
indexed - portfolio) - There is no need for modifying the management
structure - It simplifies the portfolio performance
attribution - It allows a simpler risk budgeting
114. Discussion Challenges
- Applying PMIT has several challenges
- The investment policy may have to be modified,
especially regarding the funding decision
(financing the pure alpha bets) - The investment constraints (particularly
regarding credit risk limits, leverage and
duration) may be harder to define and monitor - The risk involved may not be well understood
(e.g. tracking error) nor measurable with enough
precision (e.g. liquidity risk and transparency
issues) - The identification of reliable external managers
with above-average alpha investment skills is not
an easy task and may be costly - The best alpha markets are often "difficult"
markets
124. Discussion Modelling
- Stochastic Modeling Issues
- Expected added value, volatility and tracking
error are sufficient no need to take care of
the managed portfolios' correlations. Benefit
lower dimension of the correlation
matrix/Cholesky Factorization problem. - Statistical challenges
- Short observation periods and style drifts
(homogegeity of the sampled returns) - Fundamental hypothesis may not be met (estimation
and model risks)
134. Discussion Multi-Management
- There are many reasons to allocate external
active management mandates to at least a dozen of
different firms - Average value added does not diminish and becomes
more stable - Portfolio volatility diminishes
- Tracking error diminishes a lot
- Information ratio rises substantially
14- Discussion Multi-Management
15- Discussion Multi-Management
16- Discussion Multi-Management
17- Discussion Multi-Management
18Application to Insurance Companies' Surplus
Portfolio
- Important Makeover
- Active Management
- New Asset Classes (Emerging Markets Bonds, Real
Return Bonds, Insurance-Linked Bonds,
Commodities, etc.) - Some Asset Classes Removed (i.e. "transformed")
- Overlays (fully financed) vs- lowering Money
Market Allocation ( and lowering the duration of
the other fixed income allocations) - Main Challenges
- Investment Committee's Good Understanding of the
Rationale - Additional Risks and MCCSR Concerns
19Question Period