Title: Comparative Regional Economic Advantages for Cellulosic Feedstocks for Bioenergy Production.
1Comparative Regional Economic Advantages for
Cellulosic Feedstocks for Bioenergy Production.
2Use this time to address some questions
- Bioenergy Potential Feedstocks
- Residues or Dedicated Energy Crops?
- What is the UT Switchgrass Project?
3Renewable Energy Feedstocks From Agriculture
4Geographical Competitiveness
- Biomass conversion to energy utilizes a number of
different feedstocks including agricultural and
forest residues, mill and urban wastes, and
dedicated crops. Information on the quantity of
feedstock supply available at the county level
exists for prices ranging from 12.50 to 100 per
dry ton (excluding transportation costs) for
agricultural and residues, mill and urban wood
wastes, and switchgrass.
5Geographical Competitiveness
- Agricultural Residues complementary products in
the production of grain and oilseed crops and
consists of corn stover and wheat straw derived
from data supplied by Nelson (2002), - Forest Residues consist of logging residues and
other removals, - Mill Waste by-product resulting from operations
at primary mills that convert round wood products
into other wood products generally consisting of
bark, fine wood residues, and coarse wood
residues, - Urban Wood Waste wood contained in municipal
solid waste streams including such items as
containers, crates, pallets, furniture yard
trimmings residential and non-residential
construction wastes residential and
non-residential demolition wastes and renovation
and remodeling wastes, and - Dedicated energy crops
6(No Transcript)
7Residue composite at 30/dry ton
8Residue composite at 50/dry ton
925x25 Vision
By the year 2025, Americas farms, ranches and
forests will provide 25 percent of the total
energy consumed in the U.S. while continuing to
produce safe, abundant and affordable food, feed
and fiber.
25x25
10Land Use by Major Use Category, 2002.
11Feedstock for Energy Converted to Energy
12Land Use 2007, 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2025
(million acres)
13Distribution of the Production of Cellulosic
Materials, 2010
14Distribution of the Production of Cellulosic
Materials, 2015
15Distribution of the Production of Cellulosic
Materials, 2020
16Distribution of the Production of Cellulosic
Materials, 2025
17Distribution of the Production of Dedicated
Energy Crop, 2015
18Distribution of the Production of Dedicated
Energy Crop, 2020
19Distribution of the Production of Dedicated
Energy Crop, 2025
20Changes in Farm Income and Government Payments
(million )
21Change in Net Returns -- 2010
22Change in Net Returns -- 2015
23Change in Net Returns -- 2020
24Change in Net Returns -- 2025
25What is switchgrass?
- Native to the United States
- Warm Season Grass
- Managed using common agricultural practices
- High yielding, drought tolerant, and requires
lower fertilizer and herbicide quantities than
traditional crops - Planting-May to early June and can use no-till
practices - As a perennial, needs to be planted only once
every 10 years or more - Harvested annually, either in a two harvest
system or a one harvest system after the first
frost, using conventional hay equipment
26What is the UT Switchgrass Project?
- The switchgrass project has three questions to
address. - What incentives are required to induce producers
to convert commercial cropland to switchgrass? - What impact would a mature switchgrass feedstock
industry have on Tennessees economy and the
Nations agricultural sector? - What is the potential of converting switchgrass
to bio-oil for use as light-off fuel in a coal
fired burner or some other conversion process?
27What incentives are required to induce producers
to convert commercial cropland to switchgrass?
- Several Steps
- Plant 32.5 acres on Experiment Station land
- Develop recommendations from literature and from
experience - Contract with producers to grow switchgrass
- Analyze the experiences of the producers and
those of the experiment station - Feed information learned into the Second Question
- Use switchgrass grown to develop potential
bio-energy market
28Experiment
- Video
- Two experiments
- Variety yields
- Seeding Rate X Fertilization Level X Landscape
- Seeding Rate 2.5, 5, 7.5, and 12 pounds per acre
- Fertilization Rates 0, 60, 120, and 180 pounds of
N - 4 Different Landscapes
29Switchgrass Yields, 2004-2006
30Switchgrass Yields, 2004-2006
31What incentives are required to induce producers
to convert commercial cropland to switchgrass?
- We also conducted a survey of Tennessee
producers. - Found that Currently (pre Bush January 2005
speech) 29 of producers willing to grow
switchgrass, 25 would not. The other 45 would
need additional information before deciding. - Of the 45, An estimated probit model indicated
that 75 would likely say yes.
32Questions?