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GGR 357 H1F Geography of Housing and Housing Policy

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Title: GGR 357 H1F Geography of Housing and Housing Policy


1
GGR 357 H1F Geography of Housing and Housing
Policy 
May 21, 2008SESSION 3 INTERGENERATIONAL
TRANSMISSION OF HOMEOWNERSHIP
2
Announcements
  • Course website http//individual.utoronto.ca/held
    erman/
  • Text some copies left
  • After this week available still at the Centre for
    Urban and Community Studies
  • 455 Spadina
  • By appointment with Grace Ramirez 416-978-0808
  • Other bookstores have it, but not at a reduced
    price
  • Final drop date (without a penalty) June 8, 2008

3
Introduction
  • What is intergenerational transmission?
  • How does the topic fit in with this course?
  • Which are the mechanisms that feed the process?
  • What are the possible implications of
    intergenerational transmission of housing tenure
    for the housing market?
  • Future and policy relevance

4
Intergenerational transmission
  • The similarity of housing tenure between
    generations of the same family

5
Intergenerational transmission and social
inequality
  • Owner-occupied homes generally of better quality
    and larger
  • Situated in more salubrious neighbourhoods
  • Better opportunities for building up capital
    assets
  • Parental homeownership influences the younger
    generations housing tenure
  • Intergenerational transmission reproduces social
    inequality

6
Parental homeownership
  • Housing and positive child outcomes
  • Education, income
  • Spurious relationship through socio-economic
    status?
  • Childrens well-being/ health
  • Affordability
  • Housing quality
  • Tenure and stability
  • Neighbourhood and community
  • Age, poor maintenance, faulty design, air
    quality, mould growth, lead paint, corroded
    pipes, damp walls and ceilings
  • Overcrowding

7
Relevance for the course
  • Provides additional explanation of socio-economic
    inequality between owners and renters
  • Provides additional explanation of price
    fluctuations on the housing market
  • Provides additional explanation of how
    demographic characteristics and individual
    circumstances and preferences are reproduced to
    create a certain demand for housing
  • Stresses the relevance of (local) housing stock
    and housing market circumstances

8
General understanding for intergenerational
transmission of housing tenure
  • Micro-scale
  • Personal characteristics
  • Personal circumstances
  • Personal preferences
  • Macro-scale
  • Local housing supply - availability
  • Local housing demand - availability
  • Neighbourhood dynamics
  • Attainability - through socio-economic gaps
    owners and renters

9
Conceptual Scheme
10
Mechanisms
  • Gift giving
  • Bequests/ inheritance
  • Transmission of personal characteristics
  • Socialization
  • Local housing market stock
  • Housing market circumstances
  • Similarities in housing market circumstances
    between generations of the same family

11
Gift giving
  • Money transferred, sometimes earmarked, at least
    5000 or euros
  • Direct and deliberate action
  • Older homeowners have equity from home and
    sometimes self-employment
  • Influences transition to homeownership
  • Important when house prices are high
  • Occurrence 22.3 in The Netherlands
  • 21 in the USA
  • Access to social networks, job opportunities, and
    education not often regarded

12
Gift giving and strategizing parents
  • Avoid property tax
  • Avoid taxation of future inheritance
  • Affect childrens housing situation, location
    (see altruism vs. exchange later on)

13
Economic approach to gift giving
  • Gifts influences
  • Timing of a purchase (Loan possible sooner)
  • Quality of the home (Larger, better home within
    reach)
  • Mortgage duration (Larger down payments)
  • Positive correlation between house price
    increases and gifts are marginal households
    crowded out?
  • Gifts are targeted to constrained households
    showing merit
  • Regards not only the giver but also the receiver

14
Sociological approach to gift giving
  • Focus on motives of the giver (parent)
  • Motive influences timing and magnitude of the
    gift
  • Altruism (dynastic) versus exchange
    (non-dynastic)
  • Gifts targeted to households showing merit
  • Merit favourable job position, having children
  • Exchange motive is gift still a transfer or an
    investment in self?
  • Altruistic but still non-dynastic care about
    future generation, not utility for future gen.
    (e.g. pay for college education, not consumption
    goods)

15
Gift giving (timing issue)
16
Gift giving and inequality
  • Owning parents have equity/wealth from their home
    so that they can afford to give to their adult
    children more easily than renters
  • Equity consumption (for own purposes) is rare
  • Older owners often have low housing costs that go
    down
  • For older renters, housing costs continue to rise
    (Kendig, 1984)

17
Bequests/ inheritance
  • Role inheritances very minor
  • Most inheritances occur when the younger
    generation is over 40. Homeownership already
    attained
  • Measured together with gifts sometimes

18
Transmission of personal characteristics
  • Socio-economic status
  • Level of education
  • Self-employment
  • Ability to accumulate capital
  • Earnings capacity

19
Socialization
  • Children base expectations concerning living
    standards on their parents home situation
    (Henretta, 1984)
  • Expectations, attitudes, aspirations are molded
    when adolescents in parental home
  • Homeownership as a natural goal for children of
    homeowners?
  • People strive to reach at least the
    socio-economic status of their parents
    (Easterlin, 1980)

20
Socialization (2)
  • Parents praise homeownership as a life goal
  • Parents show children how to obtain a mortgage

21
Socialization (3)
  • Passive socialization
  • Through expectations of younger generation
  • Active socialization
  • Through active encouragement by parents

22
Socialization and measurements
  • Complex nature, hard to measure
  • Often referred to but never properly measured
  • Assumed to have a significant effect on the
    younger generations housing tenure outcome

23
Data issue
  • With gift giving and socialization, often only
    one set of parents is regarded

24
Local housing market stock
  • Opportunity structure
  • Percentage owner-occupied homes
  • High prices
  • Turnover rate percentage of homes that change
    occupiers/period

25
Similarities in housing market circumstances
between generations of the same family
  • Distance between family members
  • Same housing market circumstances?
  • Living closer to home owning parents
  • Living closer to renting parents
  • Scale of country

26
Distance to parents in the Netherlands
  • Half live within 10 km of their parents
    residence
  • Average 28 km
  • Range 0-279 km

27
Similarities in housing tenure by housing market
circumstances
Percentage homeownership among the younger
generations
28
Distance to parents seems to matter
  • Uniqueness of the Netherlands situation
  • Limited scale of the country
  • Less variety in price levels/ markets locations
    matter less?
  • Interesting deliberate (gifts) versus
    coincidental (housing market circumstances)

29
Personal characteristics
  • Age
  • (life course stage indicator)
  • Gender
  • (income expectations)
  • Income
  • (high out of pocket expenses in first few years
    of homeownership)
  • Level of education
  • (income expectations)

30
Personal characteristics (2)
  • Stable households
  • (long term commitment, larger houses that are
    more suitable for families and option of pooling
    resources)

31
Implications
  • Gift giving is one of the most important
    mechanisms of intergenerational transmission of
    homeownership
  • If gift giving mechanisms become more important
    due to limited availability for rented homes and
    rising prices of owner-occupied homes the greater
    capacity of the better off may drive up house
    prices even more

32
Future and policy relevance
  • Reliability on the owner-occupied segment may
    make parental gifts more important.
  • Parental gifts as a temporary solution to make
    housing more affordable to (some) starters
  • BUT parental gift giving creates social
    inequality
  • Parental gifts may drive up house prices
  • Vast majority still accumulate down payments from
    their own savings, and pooled resources
  • But will this last?
  • Attention for the (affordable) rented segment is
    necessary

33
Future and policy relevance
  • Developing homes takes a lot of time
  • Temporary means subsidies for entering the
    owner-occupied segment for families that can not
    afford parental assistance? Can only help a few
    households!
  • (Especially with current government budgets)
  • Development of affordable rented homes still
    necessary

34
Literature session 3 (todays session)
  • Henretta, J.C. (1984), Parental status and
    childs home ownership. American Sociological
    Review 49, pp. 131-140.
  • Jenkins, S.P. A.K. Maynard (1983),
    Intergenerational continuities in housing. Urban
    Studies 20, pp. pp. 431-438.
  • Helderman, A.C. C. Mulder (2007),
    Intergenerational transmission of homeownership
    the roles of gifts and continuities in housing
    market characteristics. Urban Studies 44 (2) pp.
    231-247.

35
Jenkins Maynard, 1983
  • Still not much literature available on the
    relation between parents and childrens housing
    tenure
  • Exacerbating socio-economic differences
  • Long-term view necessary for policy analysts
  • Increasing understanding underlying factors of
    housing status
  • Children of 1950 owners had about 2.4 times the
    chance of themselves being owners rather than
    non-owners relative to children of 1950
    non-owners

36
Jenkins Maynard, 1983
  • An observed intergenerational continuity in
    tenure may be spurious to the extent that it
    simply reflects the degree to which earnings
    capacity is transmitted from parents to children

37
Jenkins Maynard, 1983
  • National representativeness
  • Causation direct/ intervening variables/
    spurious correlation because housing status is
    correlated with earnings capacity? ? future
    research!
  • No control for opportunity structure!

38
Henretta, 1984
  • Intergenerational transmission of homeownership
    promotes the continuation of inequality from
    generation to generation Homeownership is the
    major source of wealth accumulation
  • Material aid (bequests, transfers including
    education and social networks)
  • Socialization attitudes, preferences, or ways of
    acting, style of dress/ speech, aspirations,
    expectations (transmission of status)

39
Henretta, 1984
  • Home value more important than parental
    homeownership, but does not measure direct aid ?
  • Seems to be through mortgage level
  • Parental income is important, as is parental
    gifts (no measurement for income children)
  • Together this seems to reflect an importance of
    socialization

40
Henretta, 1984
  • As with education, purchase of a home requires
    relatively large expenditures of money before the
    young person has very high earnings, and
    therefore direct parental aid may be important

41
Henretta, 1984
  • Multivariate (logistic) regression analysis able
    to control for many variables relating to
    personal circumstances and mechanisms
  • Theoretical basis for mechanisms of transmisson
    of homeownership
  • City size controlled for (proxy for concept
    opportunity structure), but not for period of
    observation
  • Ethnicity ? culture/ limited opportunity
    structure/ discrimination?
  • Not convincing, but mechanisms may work
    differently
  • Large data sets (national) representativeness
  • No direct measurement of socialization tentative!

42
Literature session 4 (next Monday)
  • Bryant, T. (2005), Housing as a social
    determinant of health. In J.D. Hulchanski M.
    Shapcott (eds. 2005), Finding room. Policy
    options for a Canadian rental housing strategy.
    p. 159-166.
  • Murdie, R. (2005), Housing affordability
    immigrant and refugee experiences. In J.D.
    Hulchanski M. Shapcott (eds. 2005), Finding
    room. Policy options for a Canadian rental
    housing strategy. p. 147-158.
  • Novac, S., J. Darden, D. Hulchanski A. Seguin
    (2005), Housing discrimination in Canada
    stakeholders views and research gaps. In J.D.
    Hulchanski M. Shapcott (eds. 2005), Finding
    room. Policy options for a Canadian rental
    housing strategy. p. 135-146.
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