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SEE Energy Poverty Nexus

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SEE Energy Poverty Nexus Aleksandar Kovacevic – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: SEE Energy Poverty Nexus


1
SEE Energy Poverty Nexus
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic

2
Concept of Affordable Energy compromises
  • Total social costs of energy that could be
    covered by productivity gains facilitated by
    suitable and secure energy supply
  • In a way that the people could conduct economic
    activity to support
  • Appropriate standard of living for themselves and
    their families within
  • A healthy environment

3
Energy Use in SEE Countries
4
Energy Indicators for SEE countries
5
Reduction of living space during a Winter period
Kosovo example
6
Fuel wood main source of space heating in the
region
For most of population in Serbia, FYR Macedonia,
Montenegro, Bosnia Herzegovina and UNMIK fuel
wood is main source of space heating. Residential
energy mix in Croatia somewhat different.
7
Average energy consumption per square meter of
living space is about 2-3 times greater than in
Northern Europe, yet in more than one in four
households the amount of heated space per person
is below minimum health standards while
available heating device is 2-3 times more fuel
intensive than usual technical standard
8
Electricity Consumption in Serbia Montenegro
1995 - 2002
Unsustainable seasonal trends and households
electricity consumption
9
Spatial density of fuel wood / lignite burning
creates environment problems in dense human
settlements. Smaller land plots per household in
poor suburbs or villages imply higher density.
Note Map is not accurate with changes in
political set up of the region as Montenegro is
now separate state while Kosovo is under the UN
mandate administered by UNMIK according to UN SC
Resolution 1244 . The boundaries eventually
displayed on the map, does not imply any
political or other preferences of the author or
any institution or organization.
Source UNDP, 2004
10
Consequences are visible through poverty, social
and health surveys
  • Excessive winter mortality and morbidity
  • Lower working capabilities than actually possible
  • Higher medical and energy expenditures than
    necessary
  • Lower demand for local goods and services and
    therefore
  • Limited employment opportunities and
  • Low utilization of available infrastructure and
    capital
  • Covered by excessive growth of financial
    intermediation and retailing in terms of GDP
    share
  • That all creates

11
Lack of aspirations and capacity to make use of
additional resources including social welfare
12
  • If minimally required comfort of living is to be
    achieved at 10 of income available to the poor
    and
  • taking into account limited capabilities to
    improve international competitiveness of local
    industries in the short term,
  • there is a need to boost the energy efficiency

13
Intervention to reduce poverty could be
structured as follows
  • Short term intervention to replace heating
    devices and improve use of fuel
  • Provide 320000 efficient stoves to poor
    households in Bosnia Herzegovina, Serbia,
    Montenegro, FYR Macedonia, UNMIK and Albania
    during 2 years
  • Provide another 2300000 efficient stoves to
    not-so-poor households on 24 months lease during
    next 10 years
  • In longer term provide effective advice to assist
    clients to use savings for basic improvements in
    their housing and domestic hot water production
  • Assist SME development to facilitate the process

14
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16
Costs, time and benefits
  • Direct assistance to Governments to provide
    efficient stoves to poor about 100 m Euros.
  • About 70 m Euros in credit facility to finance
    lease of new stoves to not-so-poor
  • About one year for technology selection and
    dissemination, training and first installations
    that might involve about 20 m Euros in credits to
    local manufacturers to adopt their production
    lines and administrative costs
  • Another year for actual installations and
    collection of old stoves, recycling of scrap
    metal etc.

17
Benefits of direct assistance component only
  • Saving of half of fuel wood (and lignite) from
    current consumption that gives pay back period of
    one year at given market value
  • Certain increase in heated space per household
    member and better comfort with lower health and
    risk related expenditures
  • Energy equivalent of about 300000toe per year of
    wood biomass available to replace imported fuels
    within local institutions
  • Lower electricity bills and some additional
    employment opportunities as secondary effects

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19
Housing technical standards
20
and long term impact these standards could have
21
Performance Benchmarking System Needed!
  • There is a need for benchmarking system to
    measure poverty reduction and human development
    gains against improvements in the energy use
  • Biannual surveys, analyses and comparisons
    between regions / countries
  • Could strengthen efficiency of intervention,
    improve governance and add credibility
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