Title: A Solution to the Decision-making Process: GIS-based System for Winthrop's First Responders and Decision Makers During a Flood Evacuation
1A Solution to the Decision-making Process
GIS-based System for Winthrop's First
Responders and Decision Makers During a Flood
Evacuation
- Test Case Evacuating Winthrops Elderly
Population - University of Massachusetts
- College of Management
- Honors Thesis
- Researcher Michele N. Karas
- May 23, 2008 Presentation
2Winthrop, Massachusetts
- Coastal Community
- Peninsula of 1.6 square miles
- 7 miles of shoreline
3Demographic Characteristics
- Total Population
- 18,303
- 20,000
- Elderly gt 65
- 3,024 16.5
- 4,177 22.8
- (US Census Bureau 2000)
4Emergency Management
- Massachusetts Civil Defense Agency
- State EOC National Guard MDC
- Officials 1990s changed to Emergency Management
- National level
- MEMA
- FEMA
5Planning on a Regional Level
- Tragedies of 9/11
- November 2002, Homeland Security Act of 2002
- January 2006, US Homeland Security Secretary
Michael Chertoff importance of regional
cooperation - UASI (Urban Area Security Initiatives)
- Metro-Boston Homeland Security and City of
Bostons Mayor Coalition
6WinthropsEmergency Management Agency
7Decision Makers
- Emergency Management Director
- Incident Commander Fire Chief advises
informs TM of incident - Town Manager declares state of emergency
PIO
8First Responders
- Police
- Fire
- DPW
- EMT
- BOH
- IT
9Steps to Research
- Literature Review
- Hands-on Research Analysis/Tools
- Course work within the Science Math College,
since Jan 08 - EEOS265 Computer Applications Geography
- EEOS261 Statistics for Earth Geographic
Sciences - EEOS381 Applications of GIS
10Methodology
Reality
Human-oriented
Conceptual Model
Increasing Abstraction
Logical Model
Computer-oriented
Physical Model
11Methodology Reality
- Winthrop
- Coastal Storms
- Flooding
- Elderly residents
- Roadways
- Shelters location and accessibility
- Evacuation routes - existing
- Elevation
- Storm Surge
12Spatial Analysis
- Answering What if scenarios
- Mapping where things are
- Mapping density
- Finding whats near by
- Patterns
- Normative Process
- Develop or prescribe new or better designs (e.g.
evacuation route)
13My Data Model Objective
- Choose the best route of egress for evacuation
route, - Identify the area of residency of elderly
population, - Within Winthrop Identify shelter in place and
critical evacuation areas, - Outside Winthrop Identify shelters
14Data Collection
- Raster -
- Primary Ortho/digital aerial photos
- Secondary DEM
- Vector points/lines/polygons
- Secondary shape files, data layers, tables,
database - Commonwealth of MA - MassGIS Office of
Geographic and Environmental Information (Exec.
Office of Energy and Environmental Affairs - www.mass/gov/mgis
15Software used Geodatabase Map project
- ESRI ArcGIS Desktop Version 9
- ArcMap v9.2
- ArcCatalog v9.2
- ArcToolboxv9.2
16Winthrops Geodatabase
- Geodatabase Feature Classes
- Town polygon
- Town survey (lines)
- Storm Surge
- Roads (EOT) shapefile
- Census 2000 Block Group data
- Schools shapefile (points)
- Town Halls shapefile
- Police Departments shapefile
- Fire Departments shapefile
- Hospital Long Care Facilities shapefile
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18Other data/Symbology
- Analysis Data Used
- DEM
- Ortho/aerial
19Steps to Identify Winthrop Evacuation Route
- Bostons evacuation route
- Winthrops major roadways
- Winthrops points of exit
20Defining Winthrops evacuation route
- Fire Chief knowledge history
- Past storms
21Defining Winthrops Elderly Population
- Census 2000 Blocks data
- Group gt 65 yrs.
- Sub-group gt 80 yrs.
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26One Blue, one Green one Yellow Area in an area
of categorized as gt 6 ft above sea level.
Persons in this area can be Sheltered in Place.
One Red one Green Area Review closer
27Shelter in place
28Critical Evacuation Area
29Analysis Schools for Shelters within Winthrop
- High School
- Middle School
- Fort Banks Elementary
- Cummings Elementary
- Criteria
- Location
- Accessibility
30Discarded School Shelter Sites
- Middle School
- Location
- Neither ADA Compliant
31Shelters in Winthrop
DPW Bldg/Yard
EOC
32Transport to Shelters Outside of Winthrop
- High elevations
- Close to Winthrop
- Facilities
- Care for elderly
- Food
- Medicine
- Amenities
33Don Orione Home 111 Orient Ave., East Boston
Soldiers Home 91 Crest Ave, Chelsea
Quigley Memorial Hospital 91 Crest Ave, Chelsea
34Q A