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The Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco Growth Diagnostics Framework;1

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Title: The Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco Growth Diagnostics Framework;1


1
The Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco Growth Diagnostics
Framework1
  • Specialization specifics beyond comparative
    advantage, i.e. labor-intensive activities is
    hardly enough. The idea behind self-discovery
    --- figuring out what the impediments to growth
    are.
  • The building towards self-discovery recognizes 3
    building blocks
  • Uncertainty about what a developing country can
    produce cost-effectively and also profitably.
  • Need for the local adaption of imported
    technology to prevent easy entry might require
    local reverse engineering.
  • With (a) and (b) in place, imitation is very
    rapid. It shows as many countries who are
    labor-intensive will produce different labor
    intensive products.
  • 3. Growth Diagnostics (GD) once efficient
    investment entrepreneurship are accepted for
    economic growth development, there is need for
    country-specific binding constraints. GD is a
    decision tree for identifying the most binding
    constraints for each country currently and in
    future.

2
The Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco Growth Diagnostics
Framework2
  • 1. Focus on a countrys most binding constraints
    on economic growth alleviating pressing
    constraints.
  • 2. Suppose a country is constrained by low level
    of private investment entrepreneurship. The
    decision tree identifies the-how-to-solve the
    problem. The initial causes could be (a) low
    return to economic activity and (b) high cost of
    finance.
  • 3. Not that the solution to these binding
    constraints are so many and multi-dimensional.
    This shows that No one size fits all in
    development policy, i.e. GD is a much more
    broader approach to development policy that
    complements econometric modelling.
  • Not simple to find the binding constraint.
    Uncertainty leads to probabilistic assessments

3
Figure Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco Growth
Diagnostics Decision Tree
4
The Hausmann-Rodrik-Velasco Growth Diagnostics
Framework3
  • Growth diagnostics
  • Key constraint is inadequacy of public goods
    especially on 2 emerging sectors (tourism light
    manufacturing).
  • Financial sector constraints credit and loans

Signals Problem of arriving late for public
events Illustrates the idea of multiple
equilibria --- moving from one inferior
equilibrium to a superior one
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