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Mapping for Surveillance and Outbreak Investigation

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Title: Mapping for Surveillance and Outbreak Investigation


1
Mapping for Surveillance and Outbreak
Investigation
2
Mapping for Surveillance and Outbreak
Investigation
  • This issue of FOCUS was adapted from the
    following online training on the NCCPHP Training
    Web Site (http//nccphp.sph.unc.edu/training/)
  • Infectious disease surveillance and outbreak
    investigation using GIS (2004)
  • Dionne Law, PhD, Spatial Epidemiology Research
    Associate
  • Department of Epidemiology, University of North
    Carolina at Chapel Hill

3
Goals
  • Describe ways maps can be used in field
    epidemiology
  • Describe how geographic information systems (GIS)
    can display and analyze spatial data
  • Provide examples of surveillance and outbreak
    investigation activities that relied on GIS
  • Describe the use of global positioning systems
    (GPS) to increase GIS capabilities

4
Mapping for Surveillance and Outbreak
Investigation
  • Maps are commonly used in epidemiology to present
    complicated information succinctly and clearly
  • This issue discusses
  • How maps can be used in field epidemiology
  • Commonly used computer software programs that can
    capture and analyze data and integrate them into
    a spatial display

5
Maps
  • Earliest documented epidemiologic study relied on
    mapping
  • Dr. John Snows investigation of cholera
    outbreak, London, 1854
  • Used maps and statistical data to trace source of
    outbreak to public water pump on Broad Street 

6
Maps
  • Most noted example of maps to convey complicated
    statistical information comes from outside public
    health (1)
  • 1869 map of French armys march to and retreat
    from Moscow
  • Displays multivariate data (army size, direction,
    geographic location, temperature, and time)

7
Maps
  • Line widths show size of French army on advance
    to Moscow (tan) and retreat (black)
  • Chart below lines plots temperature

8
Maps
  • Map created during disease surveillance and
    response activities around avian influenza, rural
    Indonesia, 2005 (2)
  • Created using participatory mapping
  • Shows the sequence of events during outbreak of
    highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza in poultry
    in a small village 

9
Maps
  • Initially spread from House 1 to House 5 also in
    second village (6) and broiler farm (top right)

Photo credit Dr Gavin Macgregor-Skinner/USAID
10
Maps
  • Subsequent investigation revealed that residents
    of House 1 and households in second village
    worked at broiler farm
  • Probably introduced H5N1 virus into communities
    by carrying it home on shoes and clothing

11
Geographic Information Systems
  • Geographic information system (GIS) a computer
    program designed to store, manipulate, analyze,
    and display data in a geographic context
  • GIS capabilities are ideal for use in infectious
    disease surveillance and control, outbreak
    investigation and response

12
Geographic Information Systems
  • GIS can help
  • Optimize data collection and management
  • Strengthen data analysis
  • Strengthen outbreak infrastructure and support
  • Map epidemic dynamics in near real-time
  • Quickly plan and target response
  • Rapidly communicate information
  • Monitor changes in disease over time
  • Plan, monitor intervention/eradication programs
  • Aid emergency preparedness

13
GIS Example West Nile Virus
  • GIS displays information in map layers
  • Example West Nile virus
  • Street network
  • Buildings enclosures for sentinel species
    (chicken coops, horse stalls), offices,
    dwellings
  • Population at risk
  • Maps of land cover, digital elevation,
    precipitation, temperature, water features,
    veterinarians/physicians

14
GIS Example West Nile Virus
  • After data is entered into GIS tool, you can
  • Maintain surveillance of case-patient locations
    and progression of disease for early outbreak
    detection
  • Identify areas ideal for mosquito breeding and
    apply preventive measures
  • Predict which populations are vulnerable to
    infection based on proximity to breeding grounds
  • Simulate how an epidemic could evolve given
    introduction of infected mosquitoes/birds at
    various locations
  • Determine where to target interventions,
    strengthen healthcare resources

15
Surveillance and GIS Example Public Health
Mapping Programme
  • Developed in 1993 by WHO and UNICEF to eradicate
    Guinea worm disease
  • GIS used to
  • Visualize disease foci
  • Monitor newly infected or re-infected villages,
  • Identify populations at risk
  • Target cost-effective interventions
  • Monitor eradication efforts

16
Surveillance and GIS Example Public Health
Mapping Programme
  • Technology developed to control one disease can
    enhance control of others
  • Since Guinea worm project, GIS and mapping
    expanded to meet data needs for
  • Onchocerciasis (river blindness)
  • Blinding trachoma
  • African trypanosomiasis (sleeping sickness)
  • Lymphatic filariasis (elephantiasis)
  • Poliomyelitis
  • Malaria

17
Surveillance and GIS Example HealthMapper
  • Elimination of lymphatic filariasis possible
    through
  • Mass drug administration to those at risk
  • Promotion of intensive hygiene on affected body
    parts
  • Populations at risk, size, location not
    identified
  • HealthMapper enabled countries to estimate
    prevalence of disease at district level, identify
    precise areas to target for mass drug
    administration
  • Also tool for standardizing surveillance,
    monitoring indicators in different countries and
    regions (3)

18
Surveillance and GIS Example Roll Back Malaria
Partnership
  • Global partnership to enable effective,
    sustainable action against malaria
  • WHO strategy includes prompt treatment with
    effective drugs, vector-control methods,
    preventive treatment in pregnancy, emergency and
    epidemic preparedness and response
  • Developed GIS to
  • Strengthen surveillance at local level for early
    detection, response to epidemics
  • Complement existing national/international health
    monitoring systems
  • Integrate information on community interventions,
    control interventions, private and public health
    providers, partner intervention areas,
    resources
  • Be accessible at different levels

19
Surveillance and GIS Example US West Nile Virus
Surveillance
  • CDC developed national surveillance plan for WNV
    to monitor spread of infection, provide
    national/regional information, identify regional
    distribution and incidence of other arbovirus
    diseases
  • GIS used to enhance federal surveillance system,
    communicate results to the public

20
Surveillance and GIS Example US West Nile Virus
Surveillance
  • CDC, US Geological Survey mapped mosquito, wild
    bird, horse, human populations
  • Tracked in sentinel species (chickens)

2007 U.S. Geologic Survey
21
Surveillance and GIS Example US West Nile Virus
Surveillance
  • Pennsylvania developed network to combat WNV
  • Covers all 67 counties
  • Includes trapping mosquitoes, collecting dead
    birds, monitoring horses, people, chickens
  • WNV Tracking System spatially-driven
    surveillance program for following, responding to
    spread of WNV
  • Collects information on presence of virus,
    identifies mosquito-breeding areas, helps target
    control efforts
  • Alerts decision makers of new data via e-mail
  • Generates, posts detailed maps on secure Web site
  • Data for public release published on WNV
    Surveillance Program Web site (www.westnile.state.
    pa.us/)

22
Outbreak Investigation and GIS
  • GIS used to
  • Strengthen data collection, management, and
    analysis
  • Develop early warning systems
  • Plan and monitor response programs
  • Communicate large volumes of complex information
    in simple, effective way to decision makers and
    public

23
Outbreak Investigation and GIS Example
Shigellosis
  • Fort Bragg, North Carolina, 1997 (4)
  • 59 cases of Shigella sonnei reported among
    military health beneficiaries
  • Significant number of cases were children
  • Preliminary investigation did not reveal
    associations with daycare or common location
  • Outbreak persisted despite education about hand
    washing and hygiene

24
Outbreak Investigation and GIS Example
Shigellosis
  • Imported addresses of all confirmed cases into
    GIS and mapped onto Fort Bragg housing areas
  • Revealed cluster of infections on several streets
    in one particular neighborhood

25
Outbreak Investigation and GIS Example
Shigellosis
  • Interviews with case families, neighbors revealed
    presence of small communal wading pools in
    several yards that were frequented by affected
    children
  • Once pools were removed and home-based
    information campaigns were initiated, spread of
    illness was halted

26
Outbreak Investigation and GIS Example STIs
  • GIS also used to map sexually transmitted
    infections
  • Used in Baltimore to map distribution of syphilis
    before, during, after outbreak (5)
  • Data suggested that disease spread outward from 2
    central cores of infection

27
Outbreak Investigation and GIS Example STIs
  • Used to map distribution of 4 sexually
    transmitted infections (chlamydia, gonorrhea,
    syphilis, and HIV infection) in Wake County, NC
    (6)
  • Found clearly defined spatially heterogeneous
    areas of infection for different diseases 

28
Global Positioning Systems
  • Global positioning systems (GPS) add function to
    GIS, increase capabilities
  • A critical tool for precise identification of
    research subjects, locations, distances to
    related geographic features
  • Allow users to locate positions on electronic map
    using satellite technology

29
Global Positioning Systems Example Atrazine
Exposure
  • RTI International employed GPS-enabled handheld
    technology in a National Cancer Institute study
    to determine relationship between exposure to
    atrazine and distance from fields where used (7)
  • Required field trips to verify locations of
    households in study area near corn fields in
    Illinois
  • Used HP iPAQ Pocket PC with GPS receiver and
    ESRI's ArcPad software (GIS software for mapping
    that allows capture, display, analysis of
    geographic information on handheld devices)

30
Global Positioning Systems Example Atrazine
Exposure
  • Candidate household addresses geocoded to street
    database, loaded onto ArcPad with aerial
    photographs, street centerline database
  • Staff used GPS, street names to find approximate
    location of households
  • Modified original address-matched location (green
    dots) to actual location (red dots) based on GPS
    and rooftops on aerial map
  • If households not seen on map, GPS coordinate on
    street captured

31
Global Positioning Systems Example Atrazine
Exposure
  • Measured household's distance from corn field
    where atrazine used
  • Concentrations of atrazine in household, in
    biological samples from occupants correlated with
    distance from atrazine source
  • Using ArcPad/GPS instead of paper maps
  • Allowed quick navigation from household to
    household
  • Made repositioning of household locations more
    accurate
  • Would have been almost impossible to do under
    studys time constraints without this technology
  • Precisely measured household locations and
    precise distances from households to corn fields
    provided higher precision during data
    analysis

32
Global Positioning Systems
  • Approach could be applied to infectious disease
    surveillance and outbreak investigation and
    response
  • To measure distance to exposure (e.g., water
    source with cryptosporidium or farm with hoof and
    mouth disease)
  • Outbreak investigation and response are
    time-limited activities must be done quickly to
    have greatest effect
  • GIS and GPS can greatly speed field work

33
Summary
  • Spread of disease especially infectious disease
    is unavoidably spatial
  • Infection moves from individual to individual
    following network of contacts within population
    through local or global transmission
  • GIS capacity to capture geospatial information
    ideally suited for infectious disease
    surveillance and control highly relevant to meet
    demands of outbreak investigation and response
  • Next issue will show how GIS used to conduct
    rapid needs assessments

34
Additional Resources for GIS Mapping
  • World Health Organization Public Health Mapping
    Programme
  • http//www.who.int/health_mapping/en/
  • WHO HealthMapper
  • http//www.who.int/health_mapping/tools/
    healthmapper/en/index.html
  • Roll Back Malaria Partnership
  • http//www.rbm.who.int/ 

35
Further Readings
  • Melnick, Alan L. Introduction to geographic
    information systems in public health.
    Gaithersburg, Md Aspen Publishers 2002.
  • Cromley, Ellen K. GIS and public health. New
    York Guilford Press 2002.
  • Moore DA, Carpenter TE. Spatial Analytical
    Methods and Geographic Information Systems Use
    in Health Research and Epidemiology.
    Epidemiologic Reviews. 199921(2)143-160.

36
References
  1. Tufte ER, The Visual Display of Quantative
    Information. 2nd ed. Cheshire, CT Graphics
    Press, LLC 1983176.
  2. Macgregor-Skinner G. Avian influenza H5N1
    Getting our ducks in a row. Presentation at 5th
    Annual One Medicine Symposium December 12-13,
    2007 Durham, NC.
  3. Brooker S, Beasley M, Ndinaromtan M, et al. Use
    of remote sensing and a geographical information
    system in a national helminth control programme
    in Chad. Bulletin of the World Health
    Organization. 200280783-789.
  4. McKee KT, Shields TM, Jenkins PR, Zenilman JM,
    Glass GE. Application of a geographic information
    system to the tracking and control of an outbreak
    of shigellosis. Clin Infect Dis. 200031728-733.

37
References
  1. Gesink Law DC, Bernstein KT, Serre ML, et al.
    Modeling a syphilis outbreak through space and
    time using the Bayesian maximum entropy approach.
    Ann Epidemiol. 200616797-804.
  2. Law DCG, Serre ML, Christakos G, Leone PA, Miller
    WC. Spatial analysis and mapping of sexually
    transmitted diseases to optimise intervention and
    prevention strategies. Sex Transm Infect.
    200480294-299.
  3. ArcPadMobile GIS software for field mapping
    applications. ESRI Web site. http//www.esri.com/s
    oftware/arcgis/arcpad/. Accessed April 23, 2008.
  4. Holmes EE. Basic epidemiological concepts in a
    spatial context. In Tilman D, Kareiva P, eds.
    Spatial Ecology The Role of Space in Population
    Dynamics and Interspecific Interactions.
    Princeton, NJ Princeton University Press
    1997111-136.
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