ASIAN TELECOM SUMMIT

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ASIAN TELECOM SUMMIT

• Presentation
• By
• N K GOYAL
• President, Communications and Manufacturing
  Association of India, CMAI
• Chairman Emeritus, TEMA
• Director, National Fertilizers Ltd. ( Government
  of India Undertaking)
• nkgoyals_at_yahoo.co.in 98 111 29879
• Symbiosis Institute of Telecom Management
• 25th September, 2009

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CES, 2009 being inaugurated and ribbon cutting at
Las Vegas on 8th January, 2009 by NK Goyal with
Sir Howard Stringer, Chairman CEO of Sony
Corporation, Mr. Tom Hanks, the American movie
star, Mr.Gary Yacoubian, Chairman CEA President
of Myer-Emco AudioVideo, Mr. Gary Saprio, Vice
President of CEA, Ms. Qu., Presixdent, CECC
China, Mr. Patrick Lavelle, President and CEO of
Audiovox, Mr. Peter Lesser, President and CEO of
X-10 (USA) Inc, Mr. Loyd Ivey, Chairman and CEO
of MiTek Electronics and Communications, Mr. Jay
McLellan, President and CEO of Home Automation,
Inc. (HAI), Mr. Mike Mohr, President of
Celluphone, Mr.Grant Russell, President of Kleen
Concepts 
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Telecom in Asia

• Asia is a region of superlatives in the ICT arena
  with over two billion telephones, including 1.4
  billion mobile subscribers, and 42 per cent of
  the worlds Internet users
• Asia is also the worlds largest broadband market
  with a 39 per cent share of the worlds total at
  the end of 2007.
• (ITUs 2008 Asia Pacific
  Telecommunications and ICT Indicators Report)

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Advantage India

• At 1.15 Tr India is the third largest consumer
  on PPP basis.
• India ranks better than China and Vietnam on the
  Index of Economic Freedom although it is lower
  than the world average as awarded by The Heritage
  Foundation and WALL STREET JOURNAL.
• India scores higher than China and Vietnam on
  World Rankings property rights, which describes
  the protection of property and intellectual
  property rights
• India has a score of 38 on economic measure of
  income inequality better than China (47) US (45)
  Japan(38) but poorer to UK (34). Shows equal
  distribution of wealth.
• The annual supply of science and engineering
  graduates is higher than China and other
  developed countries
• Over 2.3 million graduates and 0.7 million
  post-graduates each year
• 2nd largest pool of scientists/ engineers in the
  world
• Highest number of qualified engineers, second on
  trained doctors
• 389 universities, 14,169 colleges, 1,500 research
  institutions

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Indias Electronics Potential

• Current India market size about US 34 Bill. out
  of which production 16.1 Bill. Ranked 26th in
  the world in sales, 29th in production
• Demand growing 25 CAGR, from 4 of GDP to 12 by
  2015 i.e.. 320 Bill. Total production may go up
  to 150 Bill. with employment potential of 21
  mill.
• Indian ICT spending is expected to grow at 19
  from 29.5 Bill. During 2004 to 54.8 Bill by
  2008
• Consumer Electronics (CE) is the largest segment
  of the Electronics sector. It contributes 33 to
  the Electronics production in the Country. The
  total production of Consumer Electronics is
  estimated 5625 million during 2007-08
  registering a growth of 12.5
• www.cmai.asia

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BELLS TELEPHONE

• Alexander Graham Bell, keenly interested in the
  education of deaf people, invented the microphone
  and in 1876 his "electrical speech machine," ie
  todays telephone. Bell set up the first
  telephone exchange in New Haven, Connecticut in
  1878. By 1884, long distance connections were
  made between Boston, Massachusetts and New York
  City.
• Since his death in 1922, the telecommunication
  industry has undergone an amazing revolution.
  Today, non-hearing people are able to use a
  special display telephone to communicate.
• Bell's "electrical speech machine" paved the way
  for the Information Superhighway. Fiber Optics
  are improving the quality and speed of data
  transmission.

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Indian Telecom

• Worlds fastest Growing Telecom Market 10-15
  Million plus subscriber addition per month
• Second largest in the world after China
• 494 Mn. subscribers, 456 wireless
• 281 state-of-the art Networks (GSMCDMA)
• 24 National Long Distance 19 ILD Licensees
• Lowest tariff but highest profitability.
• Lowest Call Rates in the World
• India ranks highest in Mobile monthly Minutes of
  Usages per subscriber in Asia Pacific Region and
  second to USA in the world.500 minutes per month
• Innovative approach of doing business at lowest
  operation costs.
• Innovative value added conceptsmissed calls,
  rural applications, lowest prepaid charge

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CONTINUED WIRELESS GROWTH EXPECTED DUE TO

• Booming economy, rising income, increasing
  available disposable surplus
• Continued big demand, rural potential
• Introduction of Number Portability by mid 2009
• New Operators bringing in competition, spread and
  cheaper tariffs
• Introduction of 3G, Wimax technologies
• Operators allowed intra service roaming
• Operators scouting cheaper handsets eg. Spice
  with IDH Media Tek, Taiwan for 15 handest. Also
  no screen sets being considered.

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Opportunities Ahead

• Worlds second largest market after China,
  growing highest per month.
• 3G Broadband wireless Auctions to start shortly
• MVNO to be allowed shortly
• ISPs, NLD, ILD licences available
• FDI 74 in operations and 100 fro manufacturing
• Rural Telecom, Broadband, VAS market
• New Innovative services, Mobile payments,
  location based services

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Endless Possibilities
Internet Browsing Very good user experience
Innovation opportunity Once you are truly always
connected new applications will emerge
Email Push email Keep your inbox synchronized
Anti-Theft Lap top turned into a brick
Files Keep your files synchronized
Module always turned on in low power mode
GPS Functionality
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Built-in Mobile Broadbandfrom Eriocssons
...Benefits
Simple Ready to go, no manual configuration Connection automatically resumed after standby mode
Secure Cant lose or break the modem Easy data protection with SMS kill-pill GPS enables location of stolen device
Superior World wide coverage with HSPA Longer battery life time Fast startup and fast combined uplink/downlink
avings Fewer assets to handle One standardized solution globally
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Telecom challenges worldwide

• Health and environmental concerns resulting in
  several law suits, myths and alarms.
• Consumer concerns on quality, tariff and after
  sale service issues.
• Use of telecom network by terrorists, ant social
  activities
• Technology misuse in all sorts of crime ranging
  from credit card fraud to data theft to simple
  defamation. Regulatory means for this and also to
  avoid unsecured wireless networks.
• Increasing awareness of restrictions sought for
  use of mobiles in schools, public areas, while
  driving, offices etc. For ex.
• New York banning cell phones in schools and
  Indian Parliament Committee examining need for
  reasonable restrictions in use of mobile.

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Technology Battles

• Telecom is characterized by Hype and Technology
  debates.
• At any given time there must be a live technology
  debate in telecom era.
• The question for network operators is no longer
  which technology is best--WiMAX or LTE--but which
  application will compel consumers and enterprises
  to upgrade to 4G. Will it be video? Or will it
  just be more bandwidth for the always-on,
  always-available wireless broadband connection
  that consumers have come to expect?

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Hype v/s reality

• Internet speed.India Govt. says 256 Kbps,
  vendors talk of 2 Mbps.as per TRAI no body even
  gets 256 Kbps.
• We hear faster speedbut what and under what
  conditionsno body declares
• There is no one in the world who knows for sure
  where we are heading or how we will get there.
• Hype LTE will provide about 50 Mbps data
  services. Fact Only in a lab where there is a 20
  MHz wide LTE system and there is only one user.

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New Innovations costing others and now self?

• Almost every week a new application is announced
  which also aims to take additional revenue from
  existing others. And slowly it has started
  affecting the industry itself. Take example of
  Mobile VOIP
• Mobile VoIP is moving beyond its initial function
  as a new mechanism to get inexpensive
  international/local calls.
• MVNOs and 3G operators without legacy networks
  using Mobile VoIP to more cost effectively add
  voice to data offerings.
• While Mobile VoIP still poses a direct threat to
  operator voice revenue, it also represents a
  dynamic new capability that promises numerous
  applications.
• Skype and Vonage have influenced users to think
  of voice as a data application.
• As user habits are being shaped by rich on-line
  communication experiences, mobile carriers
  control over devices and data applications is
  waning.
• 
  

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Security Threats

• The speed with which criminals are capitalizing
  on world events, growing collaboration among
  cybercriminals and a growing threat from
  disgruntled former employees.
• Less than 24 hours after the news of Michael
  Jacksons death first broke, spammers had sent
  more than 5 billion spam emails, reaching a peak
  of more than 5 of global spam
• The creators of the Conficker worm, which
  infected an estimated 9 million computers
  starting late last year, had established an
  agreement with the makers of the spambot,
  Waledac, to help monetize each others efforts in
  a partnership of product and distribution.
• RIM makers of blackberry says UAE Etisalat
  issued update during July, 2009 for increasing
  performance was actually spay ware. It could
  allow unauthorized access to private information
  and emails and it reduces drastically battery
  life.

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SIM Card Security Scheme

• Security Accreditation Scheme (SAS), the global
  programme voluntarily managed by the GSM
  Association.
• Under this certification there are 20 SIM card
  manufacturers globally accredited by GSMA. There
  are six are from China.
• Yet there is only one SAS-compliant manufacturer

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We talk of Numbers ?

• We always listen to big numbers like "12
  operators committing deployments in 2010" and "1
  billion RD investment required to build LTE
  products" and more are making frequent headlines.
• Viewing these numbers in isolation provides only
  a partial and one-dimensional view of the issues
  facing the industry and what this means.

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We talk of Speed in Telecom?

• JOHANNESBURG South Africa 11-month-old pigeon
  took one hour and eight minutes to fly the 50
  miles from Unlimited IT's offices near
  Pietermaritzburg to the coastal city of Durban
  with a data card strapped to its leg.
• Including downloading, the transfer took two
  hours, six minutes and 57 seconds the time it
  took for only four percent of the data to be
  transferred using a line provided by Telkom.

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About CMAI

• CMAI is an apex business and trade promotion
  organization, based in India with MOU partners
  and representatives spread across over 30
  Countries with branch offices in Japan, Korea,
  Singapore, Taiwan and Malaysia.
• CMAI is integrated telecom and IT association
  covering all verticals.
• CMAI is involved in policy formulations with
  Government and other stake holders for Technology
  Innovations, Indigenous manufacturing
• CMAI is developing scientific knowledge and
  practical means for protecting human ecology and
  environment from the harmful effects of
  environmental hazards like e waste, radiation
  etc.
• CMAI assists manufacturers to maximize
  competitiveness in the domestic and international
  markets.

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About CMAI

• With CMAI membership, you gain access,
  authority, and intelligence designed to help you
  to
• Protect interests when standards and policies are
  being formulated
• Engage peers regularly about market challenges or
  business opportunities
• Access timely news, information, and market
  intelligence
• Expand business to overseas markets efficiently
  and effectively
• Gain a competitive advantage through convergence
• Take the Lead on green initiatives in the ICTE
  Industry
• Participate in Indian and global Exhibitions,
  Seminars, Workshops

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Where is my cell phone mama..

I want to SMS to God that I have reached safely!
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THANKS. www.cmai.asia 91 98 111 29879
FOR LISTENING