Title: Unintended pregnancy and its association with shorter breastfeeding duration: an assessment of Bolivia and Paraguay
1Unintended pregnancy and its association with
shorter breastfeeding duration an assessment of
Bolivia and Paraguay
- Carrie Shapiro-Mendoza, MPH, PhD1
- Beatrice J. Selwyn, ScD1
- David P. Smith, PhD1
- Maureen Sanderson, PhD2
- 1 School of Public Health,
- University of Texas Health Science Center
at Houston - 2 School of Public Health,
- University of Texas Health Science Center
at Brownsville
2 We are guilty of many errors and faultsBut our
worst crime is abandoning the children,Neglecting
the fountain of life.Many things we need can
wait.The child cannot.Right now is the time
bones are being formed,Blood is being made,
senses are being developed.To the child we
cannot answer "Tomorrow."The child's name is
"Today." -Gabriela Mistral, (1889-1957)
1945Nobel Laureate in Literature, Chile
3International health priority
- To decide when and how many children to bear
- 1995 Cairo Convention
- basic human right
- maternal health linked to child morbidity
- Breastfeeding (BF)
- exclusive BF for 1st six months
- continued BF until 2 years
4Objectives
- To explore the association between pregnancy
intention and breastfeeding duration - To compare associations among Bolivian and
Paraguayan children - To differentiate between mistimed and unwanted
pregnancies
5Covariates available from the data
- maternal age
- maternal education
- marital status
- parity
- rural versus urban residence
- socioeconomic status
- current pregnancy status
- contraceptive use
effect measure modifier
6Methods
- Demographic and Health Survey (DHS)
- Bolivia 1998
- Paraguay 1990
- Cross-sectional survey
- nationally representative sample
- childbearing age women (15-49 years)
- stratified, 2-stage multi-cluster sample design
- Response rate 93
7Data collection activities
- Face-to-face household interviews
- Mothers asked about
- reproductive history
- child morbidity and mortality
- breastfeeding status
- fertility preferences
- sociodemographic characteristics
8To measure pregnancy intention
- Mothers asked
- At the time you became pregnant with name of
last born child - did you want to become pregnant then - intended
- did you want to wait until later - mistimed
- or did you want no more children at all -
unwanted
9Breastfeeding duration
- Maternal report
- Number of months a child was breastfed
- If child was still breastfeeding at the time of
the interview - childs age at that time recorded
- censored observation
10Study population for analysis
- Children whose mothers report that their
pregnancy was or was not intended at the time of
conception. - Inclusion criteria for children
- Last born
- Surviving
- Singleton births
- Born in the 36 months prior to interview
- Sample size
- Bolivia (n 3445)
- Paraguay (n 1837)
11Analysis of the data
- Calculated incidence rates and hazards ratios
- Survival analysis
- Kaplan-Meier estimates and graphs
- Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression
- Tested PH assumption
- Complex sampling design weights
12Selected maternal sociodemographic
characteristics of unwanted pregnancies in
Paraguay and Bolivia.
- Older
- Less educated
- Multiparous
- No flush toilet or latrine
- Rural (Bolivia only)
- Not currently using a modern contraceptive method
(Bolivia only) - Currently working
13Intention status at conception of children in
Paraguay and Bolivia in percentages
14Comparison of breastfeeding survival curves for
last born surviving children, Bolivia DHS 1998
and Paraguay DHS 1990.
Bolivia
Paraguay
15Proportion of children continuing to breastfeed
up until 36 months by pregnancy intention status.
16Adjusted survival curves for breastfeeding
duration derived from baseline hazards of
multivariate Cox regression analysis, stratified
by parity and pregnancy intention status for
Bolivia DHS 1998.
Adjusted for maternal education, region of
residence, and current pregnancy status
17Survival curves for breastfeeding duration
derived from baseline hazards of multivariate Cox
regression analysis, stratified by parity and
pregnancy intention status for Paraguay DHS 1990.
Adjusted for maternal education, region of
residence, and current pregnancy status
18Strengths
- Distinguished between mistimed and unwanted
pregnancies - Used survival analysis
- Measured BF duration vs never/ever
- Measured risk
- Compared different populations
19Limitations
- Retrospective report
- Recall bias
- Post-hoc rationalization
- Validity reliability unintended pregnancy
questions - Selective survival bias
- Other confounders
20Comparison of breastfeeding survival curves for
last born surviving children, by current and
retrospective maternal report, Bolivia DHS 1998
and Paraguay DHS 1990.
21Conclusions
- Primiparae with unwanted pregnancies have shorter
breastfeeding durations in Bolivia, but not in
Paraguay, taking into account child age,
education, and socioeconomic status, and
residence.
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23Comparison of maternal age
24Comparison of maternal education
25Comparison of maternal education
26Comparison of current contraceptive use
27Comparison of current modern contraceptive use by
intention status
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30Unintended Pregnancy and
Contraceptive use in Paraguay and
Bolivia
Paraguay,
23
58
1990
Country and Year
Bolivia,
54
84
19931994
0
20
40
60
80
100
Percent
of births unplanned
If want no more births, not using effective
method
31Causes of unintended pregnancy
- Lack of access to effective contraception or
abortion - Insufficient knowledge about family planning
- Individual feelings, motivations, attitudes, and
beliefs - Non-supportive sexual partners
- Social forces
- political or economic environments
- religious authority
32Causes of unintended pregnancy
- Failure to use contraception
- Contraceptive failures
- only accounted for 68 of the pregnancies that
were reported as unintended. - 1995 NSFG, Trussell et al. 1999
33Hazards ratios for breastfeeding termination, by
pregnancy intention status, stratified by parity,
Bolivia DHS, 1998.
Primipara
Multipara
Adjusted for maternal education, urban versus
rural residence, and current pregnancy status.
34Hazards ratios for breastfeeding termination, by
pregnancy intention status, stratified by parity,
Paraguay DHS, 1990.
Primipara
Multipara
Adjusted for maternal education, urban versus
rural residence, and current pregnancy status.