Title: Training Manual on the Assessment and Dissemination of MDG Indicators (GUIDE TO THE ASSESSMENT AND DISSEMINATION OF THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS)1
1Training Manual on the Assessment and
Dissemination of MDG Indicators (GUIDE TO THE
ASSESSMENT AND DISSEMINATION OF THE MILLENNIUM
DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS)1
Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Ph.D. Professor of
Statistics and Dean University of the Philippines
School of Statistics
- 1 Paper presented at the 2007 INTERNATIONAL
CONFERENCE ON THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
STATISTICS (ICMDGS), EDSA Shangrila Hotel,
Philippines,October 1-2, 2007
2Outline of Presentation
- Background
- Objectives of the Manual
- Target Participants
- Pre-requisites
- Teaching Methods
- Modules
3Background
- In February 2006, the University of the
Philippines Statistical Center Research
Foundation Inc.(UPSCRFI),the research foundation
of the School of Statistics of the UP School of
Statistics, started the project of writing a
training manual on the MDGs for the National
Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB)
4Background
- This was under the NSCB UNDP-assisted project
entitled Statistical Capacity Building for
Upgrading Statistical Capacities of the MDG Data
Sources and Stakeholders to Generate, Validate
and Update MDG Indicators at the National and
Local Levels Phase 1,
5Background
- The authors were Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Dr.
Erniel B. Barrios, and Prof. Josefina V. Almeda
of the UP School of Statistics - The training manual is entitled A Guide to the
Assessment and Dissemination of the Millennium
Development Goals Indicators - Its pilot draft was finished in October 2006
- It is scheduled for pilot testing in the regions
6Objectives of the Manual
- To strengthen the capacity of data source
agencies in the regular monitoring, maintenance,
reporting and dissemination of the MDG
Indicators - To provide illustrations on how stakeholders
could use MDG indicators in the formulation of
policies and determination of interventions in
support of meeting the MDGs and, - To assist in the efforts of the Philippine
Statistical System in improving statistics it
produces for monitoring the achievement of the
MDGs.
7Target Participants
- Technical staff from data source agencies
responsible for the data inputs to the MDG
indicators (NSCB, NSO, BSP, BAS, CHED, DepEd,
DSWD, DOH,etc) - Planning officers of agencies responsible for
developing programs to achieve the MDGs (NEDA,
planning staff of line agencies and local
government units)
8Prerequisites for the Training
- The modules are ordered such that the previous
module is a prerequisite to the next. - For Module 1, the prerequisite is knowledge of
Excel and an editor such as WORD.
9Teaching Methods
- Lectures/Discussions
- Case studies
- Computer hands-on sessions
- Group workshops and presentations
10Modules of the Training Manual
Module Number Module Objective
Module 1 Introduction to the Millennium Development Goals and their Indicators To present the MDGs and the MDG indicators-their measurement, data requirements, data sources and their topics related to computing for them.
Module 2 Effective Ways of Analyzing and Presenting the MDG Indicators To discuss and practice appropriate statistical tools of effectively presenting the indicators.
Module 3 Maintenance and Updating the MDG Metadata To discuss the importance and the procedures for maintaining and updating the metadata for the MDG Indicators.
Module 4 MDG Indicators for Policy Analysis and Interventions To provide illustrations of the use of MDG Indicators for policy formulation and determination of interventions to achieve the MDGs.
Module 5 Dissemination and Advocacy To discuss the importance of proper dissemination and forms of dissemination for advocacy of use of the MDG Indicators.
11Topics
- MODULE 1 Introduction to the Millennium
Development Goals and their Indicators - 1.1 Overview of The Millennium Development
Goals - 1.2 The MDG Indicators
1.3 Metadata on the MDG Indicators
1.4 Latest Millennium Development Goals
Indicators of the Philippines
12Example of a Table Presenting the MDGs in Section
1.2
GOAL 1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
TARGETS UN INDICATORS PHILIPPINE INDICATORS YEARS FOR WHICH DATA ARE AVAILABLE SOURCE
1. Halve between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than 1 a day. a. Proportion of population below 1 (PPP) per day b. Poverty headcount ratio( of population below the poverty line) Poverty gap ratio (incidence x depth of poverty) Share of poorest quintile in national consumption Proportion of population below the national poverty line. Poverty gap ratio (incidence x depth of poverty) Share of poorest quintile in national consumption 1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003 1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003 1991, 1994,1997 and 2000,2002, 2003 (computed using FIES results) NSCB NSCB NSO
2. Halve between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger. Prevalence of underweight children under five years of age Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption Prevalence of underweight children under five years of age Proportion of households with per capita energy less than 100 adequacy 1990, 1992, 1993, 1996, 1998,2001 and 2003 1993 and 2003 FNRI FNRI
13Example of Presenting Metadata in Section 1.3
Proportion of Population Below the National
Poverty Line Definition. The Proportion of
population below the national poverty line
. Goal Addressed. Eradicate extreme poverty and
hunger (GOAL 1). Target Addressed. Halve ,
between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people
whose income is less than a dollar a day (TARGET
1). Baseline for the Philippines 45.3 in
1991 Target for the Philippines 22.7 in
2015 Rationale The indicator allows for
comparing and aggregating progress across
countries in reducing the number or people living
under extreme poverty and for monitoring trends
at the global level. Data Collection and
Source NSCB Periodicity of Measurement every
three years( 1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003 )
14Example of Latest MDG indicator in Section 1.4
Goal 1 ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY AND HUNGER
PROPORTION OF POPULATION BELOW NATIONAL POVERTY
LINE
Year Proportion ()
1991 45.3
1994 40.6
1997 33.0
2000 33.0
2003 30.4
Source National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) 1991 and 1994-Based on old poverty methodology which uses region-base menus, special rice, regional prices and changing FE/TBE ratio. Data are disaggregated by region. 1997-2003 - Based on newly approved provincial poverty methodology which uses region-base menus, provincial prices, ordinary rice and changing FE/TBE ratio. Data are disaggregated by province.
15TOPICS
- MODULE 2 Effective Ways Of Analyzing and
Presenting the MDG Indicators - 2.1 Presentation of Data
- 2.2 Measures of Central Tendency
- 2.3 Measures of Location
- 2.4 Measures of Dispersion
- 2.5 Measures of Skewness
- 2.6 Rates, Ratios, Proportions, Percentages
- 2.7 DevInfo
16TOPICS
- Module 3Maintenance and Updating of MDG Metadata
- 3.1 Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators
- 3.2 Data Gaps in MDG Indicators
- 3.3 Data Quality of MDG Indicators
- 3.4 Documentation of Changes in Metadata
17Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators
- Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators
- Purpose of ME of MDG Indicators
- Framework of ME MDG Indicators
- Case Study
- Data Gaps in MDG Indicators
- Why data gaps occur?
- Imputation Procedures
- Linear Interpolation
- Linear Prediction
- Calibration
- Time Series Extrapolation
-
18Documentation of Changes in Metadata
- Changes in Definition and Concepts
- Consistency of Time Series
- Adjustment and Comparability of Indicator
- Case Study
- Changes in Reference Period
- Length of Reference Period
- Comparability of Data Across Time
- Indexing
- Deflating Data
- Case Study
19Documentation of Changes in Metadata
- Changes in Data Collection
- Consequences of Changes in Sampling
Designs - Consequences of Changes in Sample
Size - Consequences of Changes in Frequency
of Data Collection - Case Study
- Institutional Arrangements on Updating Indicators
-
20TOPICS
- Module 4MDG Indicators for Policy Analysis and
Interventions - 4.1 Indicators and Measurement Issue
- 4.2 Analysis and Interpreting Results
- 4.3 Linking MDS and The National Development Plans
21Indicators and Measurement Issues
- What is an Indicator
- Qualities of Good Indicator
- Measurement and Assessment of Indicators
- Analyzing and Interpreting Results
- Some Theoretical Insights on Policy Analysis
- Steps in Policy Analysis
- Framework Development
- Strategies in Intervention Planning
- Financing the MDG
- Case Studies
22Analysis and Interpreting Results
- What is Policy Analysis
- Steps in Policy Analysis
- Framework Development
- Strategies in Intervention Planning
- Financing the MDG
- Case Studies
23Topics
- MODULE 5Dissemination and Advocacy
- 5.1 Forms of Dissemination of Updates on
Performance towards the MDGs - 5.2 Writing the Communication
- 5.3 The Progress Report
- 5.4 The Executive Summary
- 5.5 The Policy Brief
- 5.6 Powerpoint Presentations
- 5.7 The Roles of The Philippine Statistical
System and its Partners in Updating, Monitoring,
and in Advocacy of the MDGs
24Appendices
- Appendix 1 Design for a Training on Millennium
Development Goals Indicators - Appendix 2 NSCB Assessment of MDG Indicators
- Appendix 3 Examples of the different forms of
dissemination for advocacy - Appendix 4 Exercises for MODULE 2
25