Global Ocean Monitoring: Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions

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Global Ocean Monitoring Recent Evolution,
Current Status, and Predictions

• Prepared by
• Climate Prediction Center, NCEP
• January 8, 2009

http//www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/GODAS/
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Outline

• Overview
• Recent highlights
• Pacific/Arctic Ocean
• Indian Ocean
• Atlantic Ocean
• CFS SST Predictions

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Global SST Anomaly (0C) and Anomaly Tendency
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Global SSH Anomaly (cm) and Anomaly Tendency
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Sea Surface Temperature
CAMS Land Temperature
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Tropical Pacific Ocean
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Evolution of Pacific NINO SST Indices
Nino 3
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Evolution of Equatorial Pacific SST (ºC), 0-300m
Heat Content (ºC), 850-mb Zonal Wind (m/s), and
OLR (W/m2)? Anomaly
La Nina
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Evolution of Equatorial Pacific Surface Zonal
Current Anomaly (cm/s)
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North Pacific Arctic Ocean
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PDO index
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http//coastwatch.pfel.noaa.gov/FAST
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Tropical Indian Ocean
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Evolution of Indian Ocean SST Indices
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Tropical Atlantic Ocean
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Evolution of Tropical Atlantic SST Indices
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North Atlantic Ocean
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CFS SST Predictions and Ocean Initial Conditions
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CFS Niño3.4 SST Predictions from Different
Initial Months
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CFS DMI SST Predictions from Different Initial
Months
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CFS Tropical North Atlantic (TNA) SST Predictions
from Different Initial Months
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CFS Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) Index
Predictions from Different Initial Months
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Backup Slides
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Data Sources and References

• Optimal Interpolation SST (OI SST) version 2
  (Reynolds et al. 2002)
• SST 1971-2000 base period means (Xue et al.
  2003)
• NCEP CDAS winds, surface radiation and heat
  fluxes
• NESDIS Outgoing Long-wave Radiation
• PMEL TAO equatorial temperature analysis
• NCEPs Global Ocean Data Assimilation System
  temperature, heat content, currents (Behringer
  and Xue 2004)
• Aviso Altimetry Sea Surface Height
• Ocean Surface Current Analyses Realtime
  (OSCAR)?