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INVESTOR WARNING

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THINK THE PRIVATE WEALTH MANAGEMENT SPACE IS TOO COMPETETIVE ... Agio 2003. Prosperity 2003. Peregrine Finance 2003. Peresys 2003 ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: INVESTOR WARNING


1
(No Transcript)
2
INVESTOR WARNING
  • IF YOU
  • ARE NEGATIVE ON THE SOUTH AFRICAN HEDGE FUND
    INDUSTRY
  • THINK THE PRIVATE WEALTH MANAGEMENT SPACE IS TOO
    COMPETETIVE
  • DO NOT LIKE A GROUP RETAINING CAPITAL FOR
    PROPRIETARY INVESTMENT
  • THEN
  • STAY CLEAR AWAY FROM PEREGRINE !

3
30 MINUTE PROGRAM
  • GROUP SNAPSH0T
  • A QUICK (BUT IMPORTANT) HISTORY
  • BACK TO THE INVESTOR WARNING AND REVISITING
    STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
  • GROUP EARNINGS PROFILE AT A GLANCE
  • BUILDING A BASE CASE FOR PEREGRINES EARNINGS
    (WITH SENSITIVITES)
  • SOME INTERESTING COMPARISONS

4
GROUP SNAPSHOT
  • The Peregrine group is a leading provider of
    wealth and asset management solutions. The group
    also houses one of the countrys leading
    derivative, equity and prime-broking operations.
  • Assets under management of R 30 billion.
  • Quant R 14 billion
  • Citadel R 12 billion
  • Hedge funds R 4,5 billion
  • Prime broking platform R 5 billion
  • Oct 06 - 8th biggest broker by value, 5th by
    volume and 2nd by deals settled.
  • Market capitalisation (net of treasury shares) _at_
    R11.25 of R2.2 billion.
  • Trailing 12 month PE ratio of 8.5 times earnings

5
GROUP HISTORY
Founded in 1996 Derivative structuring and
broking house Listed 10 June 1998 Staff
compliment of 40 Historic profit R7,7 m
Issued shares 200m, Historic EPS 4,3
cents Date Price Market Cap Historic
PE Forward PE 10 June 98 R2.50 R 500 m 58 X 11
X First trade R13.05 R 2 600 m 303 X 59 X Aug
98 (ATCH) R28.00 R 5 600 m 650 X 127 X July
03 (ATCL) R1.30 R 280 m 4.7 X ATCH all
time closing high ALTC all time closing low
6
NEW VISION
  • Building Peregrine to lastBut how ?
  • Lots of the wrong businesses
  • Lots of the wrong shareholders
  • Lots of the wrong people
  • with
  • completely the wrong mentality

7
DUAL STRATEGY
  • BUSINESS LEVEL
  • Exit businesses and people with the wrong
    mentality
  • Entrench a long-term focus on wealth and
    alternative investment management
  • SHAREHOLDER LEVEL
  • Exit shareholders with the wrong mentality
  • Entrench long-term wealth creation for those
    willing to buy into vision

8
ON AND OFF THE PEREGRINE BUS
  • Treasury solutions 2001
  • Asset finance 2002
  • Treasury partners 2002
  • Riscura 2003
  • Agio 2003
  • Prosperity 2003
  • Peregrine Finance 2003
  • Peresys 2003
  • Mercury (now Peregrine Securities) 2001
  • Citadel 2002
  • PINC (now PIM) 2002

9
Peregrines 2003 results
  • Strong rand, subdued markets and effects of group
    re-positioning
  • All 4 divisions down from previous year
  • Profit from operations down 47
  • Headline EPS down 51
  • Operational cashflow down to only R90 million
  • Cashflow of only R 90 million ?????????????

10
Our share price
11
Strategic Objectives (2003)
  • Entrench a clear future strategy for the group as
    a South African based specialised wealth and
    asset management business.
  • Achieve brand recognition as leaders in
    private-client wealth management and in
    alternative investments, particularly hedge-fund
    investment.
  • Ensure that every business within the group is
    able to break-even on a monthly basis as a worst
    case scenario and
  • Meaningfully augment ownership by the management
    of the businesses.

12
30 MINUTE PROGRAM
  • GROUP SNAPSH0T
  • A QUICK (BUT IMPORTANT) HISTORY
  • BACK TO THE INVESTOR WARNING AND REVISITING
    STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

13
Back to the INVESTOR WARNING
  • Dominant player in the SA hedge fund industry
  • Single strategy funds Capital and PIM R3,4bn
  • Fund of Hedge Funds Caveo R1,0bn
  • Prime broking Peregrine Prime R5,0bn
  • Predominant focus on High Net Worth Individuals
    (HNWI)
  • Citadel R12,0bn
  • Proprietary investments on balance sheet R 500
    m to R 700 m

14
30 MINUTE PROGRAM
  • GROUP SNAPSH0T
  • A QUICK (BUT IMPORTANT) HISTORY
  • BACK TO THE INVESTOR WARNING AND REVISITING
    STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
  • GROUP EARNINGS PROFILE AT A GLANCE

15
GROUP PROFILE Contribution to March 06
  • WEALTH MANAGEMENT R 73,4 m 23
  • Citadel
  • ASSET MANAGEMENT R 109,4 m 34
  • Hedge Funds
  • Peregrine Capital
  • Peregrine Investment Managers (PIM)
  • Caveo FOHF (JV with IS)
  • PeregrineQuant
  • TRANSACTIONAL R 82,3 m 26
  • Broking Structuring
  • PROPRIETARY CAPITAL R 54,9 m 17
  • Investment returns (net of group costs)
    R320,0 m 100

16
GROUP PROFILE Contribution to Sept 06
  • WEALTH MANAGEMENT R 62,9 m 32
  • Citadel
  • ASSET MANAGEMENT R 26,0 m 13
  • Hedge Funds
  • Peregrine Capital
  • Peregrine Investment Managers (PIM)
  • Caveo FOHF (JV with IS)
  • PeregrineQuant
  • TRANSACTIONAL R 75,2 m 38
  • Broking Structuring
  • PROPRIETARY CAPITAL R 32,5 m 17
  • Investment returns (net of group costs)
    R196.6 m 100

17
30 MINUTE PROGRAM
  • GROUP SNAPSH0T
  • A QUICK (BUT IMPORTANT) HISTORY
  • BACK TO THE INVESTOR WARNING AND REVISITING
    STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
  • GROUP EARNINGS PROFILE AT A GLANCE
  • BUILDING A BASE CASE FOR PEREGRINES EARNINGS
    (WITH SENSITIVITIES)

18
WEALTH MANAGEMENT
CITADEL
  • Focussed on HNWI wealth management
  • Clients with R 2 million plus to invest
  • Average current top-up client size R 5,0
    million
  • Average new client size R 8,0 million
  • Total assets under management of R 12 billion
  • New inflows of R 125 million per month
  • Client retention of 96
  • Annuity outflows of almost R800 million

19
WEALTH MANAGEMENT
CITADEL - PROFITABILITY
  • Annuity profit of over R60 m per annum
    (without performance fees)
  • PLUS 20 performance fee above lifetime
    benchmark per client
  • Benchmark is inflation after accounting for all
    costs and taxes
  • High watermark catch up from late 2001/ early
    2002
  • Performances fees currently averaging R 7
    million per month
  • More than 2/3rds of the client base now paying
    performance fees
  • Strong gearing to weaker currency over time

20
WEALTH MANAGEMENT
CITADEL PERFORMANCE FEE RUN RATE
  • At current level of AUM of R 12 billion
  • if all clients at benchmark run-rate of R 24
    million per 1 real
  • 2/3rds of AUM at benchmark run-rate of R16
    million per 1 real
  • 2/3rds of AUM at benchmark 5 real R 80
    million fees per annum
  • 2/3rds of AUM at benchmark 10 real R 160
    million fees per annum

21
ASSET MANAGEMENT
PeregrineQuant
  • Institutional asset manager with quantitative
    focus
  • Over R14 billion in AUM
  • Good annuity cashflow contributor R10 m plus
  • Exciting new platform for alpha managers

22
OUR INTEGRATED HEDGE FUND STRATEGY
  • FUND OF HEDGE FUNDS / MULTISTRAT
  • Caveo R 1,0 bn
  • Citadel Multistrat R 1,4 bn
  • Aurum JV R 2,3 bn
  • SINGLE STRATEGY FUNDS
  • Peregrine Capital R 2,5 bn
  • Peregrine Investment Managers (PIM) R 0,9 bn
  • PRIME BROKER
  • Peregrine Prime R 5,0 bn

23
ASSET MANAGEMENT
CAVEO
  • Combining Peregrines hedge fund experience and
    reputation
  • with Investment Solutions distribution, manager
    access and systems
  • R1 billion AUM in under 12 months
  • Potential to manage several billion
  • Capacity with quality managers is the real issue
  • Conflict of interest resolved by non-Peregrine
    products

24
ASSET MANAGEMENT
PEREGRINE CAPITAL
  • Fundamental equity hedge fund management company
  • Over R2.5 Billion in AUM
  • Comfortable at current AUM , but closed to new
    flows
  • Hedge fund 41 p.a. gross compounding since
    July 98
  • Performance fund 61 p.a. gross compounding
    since July 98
  • 50/50 economic deal with management stability
    in team
  • Profit from annual fees of only R 16 million BUT

25
ASSET MANAGEMENT
PEREGRINE CAPITAL PERFORMANCE FEES AT AUM of R
2,5 BN
26
TRANSACTIONAL
BROKING AND STRUCTURING
  • Peregrine Securities
  • Equity Broking
  • Peregrine Prime R 5 billion on platform
  • Peregrine Equities 5th biggest broker by
    volume
  • Derivative Broking top 3 broker each year
  • Derivative Quantitative Research rated 1st or
    2nd in SA
  • Structuring

27
Base Case Earnings for Peregrine (note
assumptions)

28
Balance sheet
  • No long term debt
  • In excess of R 400 million net in cash / near
    cash investments
  • Approximately R50 million in private equity
  • Approximately R 200 million cash in working
    capital
  • Generating cash at a rate of over R 30 million
    per month (pre tax)
  • Active balance sheet investment of R 500 million
    increasing to R 700 million.
  • Predominantly hedge funds with up to 15 - 20
    private equity and special opportunities.

29
FINALLY, SOME INTERESTING COMPARISONS
  • Man Group Plc (www.mangroupplc.com)
  • Largest hedge fund manager listed on the LSE.
  • Man Group Plc is a
  • leading global provider of alternative
    investment products and solutions. (and)
  • One of the worlds largest futures brokers.
  • Assets under management _at_ 30 Sep 06 56,8
    billion
  • Market Capitalisation - 17,8 billion
  • Market cap AUM 31 !!
  • (PGR excl. PQ assets - 13)
  • (including PQ assets - 7)
  • Historic PE 14,5 times

30
ANOTHER INTERESTING COMPARISON
  • Julius Baer (www.juliusbaer.com)
  • Julius Baer is the largest pure-play wealth
    manager in Switzerland.
  • It acquired the specialist hedge fund manager
    GAM from UBS in December 2005.
  • GAMs AUM currently exceed 63 billion.
  • Julius Baers historic PE 41 times

31
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