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Linear%20Correlation

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2 variables x and y are perfectly correlated if they are related by an affine transform ... The correlation is positive if a 0 and negative if a 0. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Linear%20Correlation


1
Linear Correlation
2
Perfect Correlation
  • 2 variables x and y are perfectly correlated if
    they are related by an affine transform
  • y ax b
  • The correlation is positive if agt0 and negative
    if alt0.
  • By corollary, 2 variables are perfectly
    positively correlated if and only if each pair of
    corresponding values has the same z-score.
  • If the 2 variables are perfectly negatively
    correlated, corresponding z-scores will be equal
    in magnitude but opposite in sign.

3
Pearsons r
4
Scatterplots
5
Pearsons r only measures linear dependence
  • Two variables can have low correlation and still
    be highly dependent.

6
Higher-Order Models
7
Pearsons r depends on the range of the variables
under study
  • r2 measures the proportion of variance in one
    variable accounted for by the other.
  • If the range of variable X is restricted, it will
    account for less of the variance in Y.

8
Pearsons r is Sensitive to Outliers
9
Standard Definition of Correlation (Population)
10
Standard Definition of Correlation (Sample)
11
Alternative (Equivalent) Formula
12
Computational Formula
For a population
For a sample
13
Example 6130A 2005-2006 Assignment Marks
14
End of Lecture 7
  • Wed, Oct 29 2008

15
Correlation and the Power of Matched Tests
16
Correlation and the Power of Matched t-tests
  • Now that we understand correlation, we can better
    understand the power of matched t-tests when
    scores in the two conditions are correlated.

17
Recall formulae for standard error for
independent and matched tests
  • Independent t-test
  • Matched t-test

18
Knowing the expected std error, we can estimate
the expected t-value
  • Independent t-test
  • Matched t-test

19
The power of matched t-tests
  • Large positive correlations between scores in the
    two conditions will mean a greater expected
    t-score for the matched design.
  • But keep in mind that the critical value for the
    matched design will be somewhat larger as well,
    due to a smaller df.
  • Which test is more powerful is decided by the
    exact tradeoff between these two effects.

20
Applying Correlation Analysis
21
Adjusted Correlation Coefficient
22
Testing Pearsons r for Significance
23
Underlying Assumptions (For Inference)
  • Independent random sampling
  • Bivariate normal distribution

24
Applications of Pearsons r
  • Measuring reliability and validity
  • Examples
  • e.g., test-retest reliability
  • Split-half reliability
  • Inter-rater reliability
  • Criterion validity of self-report (correlate
    self-report against behavioural measure)
  • Correlation between tests that are supposed to
    measure the same thing.
  • Correlation between algorithmic model and human
    responses in behavioural studies.
  • Measuring relationships between variables
    (correlational studies)
  • e.g., frequency of cannabis and alcohol use
  • Measuring relationships between IVs and DVs
    (experimental studies, when IV on interval/ratio
    scale
  • e.g., exam performance as a function of alcohol
    consumption on previous night.

25
Power Analysis for Pearsons r
26
Confidence Intervals for Pearsons r
  • Pearsons r is bounded on -1..1.
  • Consequently, sampling distribution for r is not
    normal.
  • Sampling distribution for rgt0 is negatively
    skewed.
  • Sampling distribution for rlt0 is positively
    skewed.
  • Thus confidence intervals are generally not
    symmetric.

27
Fisher Transform
  • Fisher transform (Appendix r') Method for
    symmetrizing r to facilitate calculation of
    confidence interval using standard normal table.

28
Confidence Intervals on r
29
End of Lecture 8
  • Nov 5 2008

30
Testing Difference of Pearson Correlations from 2
Independent Samples
  • Converting the skewed r distribution to an
    (approximately) normal distribution allows
    straightforward two-sample testing

31
Example
N44
N43
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