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Prospects for the Future:

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Factors that influence the probability of epidemics of western ... Mortality (big brown bat, little brown bat, rabbit, chipmunk, gray squirrel, horse, cat) ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Prospects for the Future:


1
Prospects for the Future Lessons Learned and
Future Research
Field Biology of WN Virus
Roger S. Nasci, Ph.D. Division of Vector-Borne
Infectious Diseases National Center for
Infectious Disease Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention
2
Factors Determining Rates of Transmission
Reeves, W.C., 1967. Factors that influence the
probability of epidemics of western equine, St.
Louis, and California encephalitis in California.
Calif. Vector Views 1413-18. Monath, T.P.,
1980. Epidemiology. in T.P. Monath, ed. St. Louis
Encephalitis. Washington DC. American Public
Health Assn. 239-312.
3
West Nile Virus Transmission Cycle
4
Virus
  • Zoonotic Flavivirus using avian amplifier hosts,
    ornithophilic vectors.
  • Strain highly infectious for North American
    birds, causing mortality and high viremia.
  • Overwinters in hibernating Cx. pipiens
    mosquitoes.
  • Vertical transmission efficiency?
  • Overwintering in other species?

5
Vectors
  • Avian enzootic-epizootic vectors
  • Cx. pipiens, Cx. restuans
  • Mammalian epizootic, human epidemic vectors
  • Cx. pipiens, Cx. restuans?
  • Other species as accessory vectors?

6
Host-Use Patterns of WNV-positive species
7
Vectors
  • Vector competence of potential accessory vectors?
  • Host-use patterns?
  • Influence of local ecology on risk?
  • Value of various species as indicators of
    transmission activity human risk?

8
Avian Amplifiers
  • Susceptibility to WN virus widespread.
  • Valuable as surveillance indicators.
  • Primary amplifier hosts?
  • Identification of species for use as sentinels?
  • Evaluate and modify sentinel chicken system?

9
Avian Amplifiers
  • Bird-to-bird transmission?
  • Relevance to transmission dynamics?
  • Relevance to surveillance?

10
Mammals
  • Infected with WN virus.
  • Mortality (big brown bat, little brown bat,
    rabbit, chipmunk, gray squirrel, horse, cat)
  • Seropositive dog
  • Valuable as surveillance indicators.
  • Identification of species for use as sentinels?
  • Role as amplifier hosts?

11
Humans
  • Behaviors and habitat structures associated with
    risk of infection?
  • Socioeconomic status, occupation, housing
    standards, travel, habits?
  • Impact of residential vector production on risk?

12
Vector Management
  • Efficacy of control mechanisms?
  • Source reduction
  • Larvicide
  • Adulticide routine and emergency intervention
  • Resistance baseline data and resistance
    management practices?

13
West Nile Virus Transmission Cycle
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