Ghana: Impact of the Productive Safety Nets Project on Agricultural Productivity

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Ghana Impact of the Productive Safety Nets
Project on Agricultural Productivity

• Angela Dannson, MoFA
• Benjamin Botchway, MoLG
• Osman Gyasi, World Bank
• Markus Goldstein, World Bank

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Project components

• Building assets of the poor
• Labor intensive public works
• Productive community assets
• Human and social capital development
• Improving agricultural productivity
• Support to ag. technology packages
• Support for technology package development
• Disaster preparedness and management
• Project management

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Priorities for learning

• Productive community assets
• Support to agricultural technology packages

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Evaluation questions

• Does the provision of community assets lead to
  increased marketable output/purchasing power for
  the poor?
• Will providing matching grants increase access to
  information (knowledge), use of inputs and
  adoption of new technology and increased
  productivity?

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Evaluation design - 1

• In year 1, randomly select 10 districts (subject
  to confirmation as to how districts will be
  targeted if they are chosen based on the
  poverty assessment this might not be feasible)
  for roll out among 38 eligible districts (more
  districts in subsequent years)
• Within projects that pass the screening criteria
  in each district randomly select 4 proposals for
  funding in year 1.
• Compare beneficiary and pipeline communities
  among projects that are selected compare ag
  productivity and household consumption among
  those selected with those who are waiting.

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Key indicators -1

• household consumption x gender of head
• fraction of income coming from different sources
  (e.g. farm/non-farm, different crops) x gender /
  age
• change in total income x gender / age
• food availability number of months in which
  people go hungry/reduced food intake x gender of
  hh head
• child anthropometrics weight for height, arm
  circumference

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Evaluation design - 2

• Among all FBO proposals, randomly select a subset
  in year 1, then do another call in year 3 and
  again randomly select a group to support.
• This will include some of those in the control
  group in the first round (as well as new
  entrants).
• After year 3 we will have two treatment groups
  long and short, and we can compare these with the
  controls (both year 1 (old) and year 3 (new)
  controls).

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Key indicators - 2

• Change in the ability to utilize extension
  services and/or purchase input packages (farmer
  self report of this ability) X gender / age
• Adoption by beneficiary farmers of the major
  technologies supported under the project x gender
  / age
• Increase in yield/hectare, overall output,
  changes in cropping choices x gender / age
• Changes in food consumption (levels and
  variability) X gender of head

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Data

• 1. Look at existing poverty studies see what is
  going on (Ousman)
• Look within local government to see what is going
  on (Ben)
• 3. See what is being collected as part of the
  FBO registration (MIDA and CIDA/MoFA) (Angela)
• 4. Find out what is being done as part of CIDA
  extension studies delivery/adoption (Angela).
• 5. Find out what ISSER is doing as part of their
  survey. (Markus)
• 6. Look at existing MoFA data collection
  (yields) (Angela)
• Conditional on not finding the data we need
• 1. Do a baseline survey
• 2. Depending on phase in, conduct follow ups at
  appropriate times
• 3. Complement this with annual monitoring data

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Evaluation timeline

• Depends on project preparation
• Finalize the concept note during one of the
  preparation missions/appraisal missions, with
  workshop in Accra (SRID, ME officers)
• Baseline February/March 2010
• Project implementation April/May 2010
• Follow up surveys as necessary (likely one before
  MTR)

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Impact evaluation team

• MoFA, (PPMED/Statistics Research and Information
  Directorate) both Accra and regional offices
  and sub-contractors for studies (CEPA, ISSER,
  Dept of Agric Economics and Agribusiness)
  Angela Dannson, contact person second person
  TBD
• MoLG and rural development both Accra and
  regional offices contact people PPMED
  director/Ben Botchway
• World Bank (Paavo Eliste/Ousman Gyasi/Markus
  Goldstein)
• Field coordinator TBD

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Budget

• Line items, for now
• Survey cost
• Cost of any consultancy sub-contractors, MoFA,
  evaluation consultants
• Cost of the field supervisor