Title: Pandemic Influenza Planning: The Reality of Implementation in the Southeast
1Pandemic Influenza Planning The Reality of
Implementation in the Southeast
- Vaccines Producing an Adequate Supply
- SECEBT
- Emory Conference Center
- 10TH November 2005
- James T. Matthews, Ph.D
- Senior Director
- Health and Science Policy
- Public Policy and Government Relations US
2Agenda
- Influenza Vaccine Production
- Seasonal and pandemic interrelatedness
- The Pandemic to come dimensions of the problem
- Sanofi pasteur our influenza vaccines and
global presence - implications - Importance of Health Authorities Immunization
Recommendations market growth and expanding
capacity - Key Challenges capacity, current technology and
others - Meeting the Challenge Sanofi pasteurs Pandemic
Preparedness Working Group (PPWG) - Specific Activities within the French (EU)
Business Unit - Specific Activities within the US Business Unit
- Integrated overview of sanofi pasteurs PPWG
Activities and Conclusions
3Influenza Vaccine Production
- Seasonal Vaccine (Interpandemic) vaccine most
is inactivated, injectable, most currently
produced in European Union with some local
producers, in recent years trivalent
formulation consisting of an H1N1, H3N2 and B
strain updated semi-annually (Northern and
Southern Hemisphere formulations) - Pandemic vaccine expected to be monovalent
formulation but will use existing processes and
capacity there will be no time to either
develop a vaccine or expand capacity - The Implication .
4PANDEMIC PHASES(From WHO Global Influenza
Preparedness Plan - 2005)
5PANDEMIC PHASES(From WHO Global Influenza
Preparedness Plan - 2005)
6Pandemic Preparedness and Interpandemic Vaccine
Activities and Production are Intimately Related
-
- Interpandemic Period
-
- Pandemic Period
Pandemic Alert -
7Why the Concern? During the past 100 years,
there have been three major pandemics, and there
are strong signals in recent years of pandemic
potential (epizootics of avian flu)
H5N1
H7N7
H5N1
H9N2
H5N1
H1N1
H3N2
Different Viruses Migratory Birds Domestic Poultry
H2N2
DIFFERENT VIRUSES Migratory Birds Domestic Poultry
H1N1
?
2003
1968
1957
1918
2004/5
1977
1997
1999
1918
1918
50 - 100 millions
1 million
800 000
?
Mortality
Asian Flu
Hong Kong Flu
Spanish flu
1950
1925
1975
2000
8 Flu pandemic the big picture through
significant figures
An Influenza Pandemic Overview of the Global
Picture through Significant Figures
- ? 40 M
- ??? M
- 6.2 B
- 300 M doses
- 900 M doses
- 1 or 2 doses?
- ? 2 years
- ? 6 months
- 9 countries
- Estimated Number of deaths in 1918
- Number of people that a 1918 like-pandemic could
kill - The current world population
- The worldwide capacity of trivalent current
vaccine! - The theoretical equivalent in monovalent but
issues regarding Yield? / adjuvant? / process
used? / antigen content? - Number of doses needed to efficiently prevent
(compliance / logistics?) - The expected duration of a pandemic
- Estimation of time between pandemic declaration
and first doses available - Number of countries with local production (large
scale production) - USA / Canada / Australia / Japan / France / UK
/Germany / Netherlands / Italy - 70 of doses produced in Europe
- Substantial pressure on Europe for equitable
allocation
9Sanofi pasteur influenza vaccines manufacturing
sites unique challengesInterpandemic bulk
vaccine is produced at two sitesTwo different
vaccines - these vaccines are registered/licensed
in different countries
Val de Reuil (France) Bulk manufacturing
(Vaxigrip?) Filling Packaging (Vaxigrip?)
Marcy lEtoile (France) Filling Packaging
(Vaxigrip?)
Shenzhen (China.) Filling Packaging (Vaxigrip?)
Swiftwater (U.S.) Bulk manufacturing
(Fluzone?) Filling Packaging (Fluzone?)
10Sanofi pasteurs Global Market Share
2004 Worldwide Market Share (Doses)
Others
8
Shire
3
Immunoprep.
- Our Market share brings with it global
responsibilities - Sanofi pasteur does not view pandemic vaccines
as a business opportunity but a global public
health challenge
4
Solvay
7
sanofi
pasteur
GSK
48
8
Chiron
10
Japanese
300 Million Doses (estimated Worldwide)
prod.
12
Note Reflects Sanofi Pasteur consolidated sales
plus 100 of Sanofi Pasteur MSD product sales
11Current Influenza Immunization Rates Are Very
Different Around the World (as of 2003)
(17) Fedson DS. The macro epidemiology of
influenza vaccination in 56 countries, 1997-2003
a report from the macro epidemiology of
influenza vaccination (MIV) Study Group. Vaccine,
2005, In Press, Uncorrected Proof.
12Public Recommendations by Health Authorities
Accelerate Market Growth
4 M
7.2 M
2 M
1.5 M
13Market Growth is Dependent on Two Key
FactorsPolicy Recommendations and Reliability
of Supply
Doses (Million)
Source Based on Corporate press releases and
internal estimates 2005 Estimated Mkt Doses
based on internal projections of US market supply
14We must Focus on Rebuilding the Influenza Vaccine
Marketplace
Total Immunizations and Total Immunization Rate
for All Ages
140,000,000
40
Forecasts --gt
35
120,000,000
30
100,000,000
25
Percent Immunized
80,000,000
Number of Immunizations
20
60,000,000
15
40,000,000
10
20,000,000
5
0
0
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Year
Forecast Includes availability adjustments in
2000-2001.
Total shots
Total Population Immunization Rate ("Intended
Behavior")
2003 sanofi pasteur Consumer Study
15(No Transcript)
16US Market Outlook is Positive as long as Supply
Supports Market Growth
- Expected to grow from 85M doses to over 150M
doses by 2010 - Stronger recommendations will drive market growth
- Supply constraints limit recommendation changes
- Manufacturers, Key Policy leaders and the USG are
in debate on how to increase capacity - Manufacturers will not expand capacity without
stronger recommendations to drive demand - Government is hesitant to strengthen
recommendations until supply improves
17Optimizing Coverage during the Interpandemic
Period
- Higher Influenza Immunization Rates are the only
way to
Prevent more deaths due to influenza each year
Decrease health burden of yearly influenza
epidemics
Increase influenza vaccines production capacity
to ensure that manufacturing capacity is prepared
to meet the demand in a future pandemic
Decrease the risk for genetic reassortment in
humans of animal and human influenza strains by
preventing human influenza virus infections
Provides incentive/rationale to expand
Interpandemic manufacturing capacity
18Key Challenges regarding Pandemic Vaccine
Development and Production
- Existing Manufacturing Capacity
- The Manufacturing Cycle (most vaccine is
currently Egg-based) - Several Unknowns as of today
- Vaccine characteristics
- The pandemic strain
- Quantity of antigen / dose
- Vaccination schedule 1 dose or 2 doses
- Adjuvanted or not?
- Production yield and stability of the pandemic
strain - The pandemic vaccine will not be tested at
large-scale ahead of the pandemic situation, as
the pandemic strain will not be known in advance
(safety)
19Generalized Influenza Vaccine Global Production
Timetable (NH - Representative Year)
Egg supply organization
Egg supply for production
Seed lots
Monovalent batches
Formulation
Filling / Packaging
Packaging documentation
Ref Member State Release
Pharmaceutical file
MA
Clinical trial
Vaccine Delivery
WHO meeting D0 mid Feb
D0
Reagent availabilityEnd of May
Mid May
July/August
D0 - 6 months
20Pandemic Preparedness within sanofi pasteur -
Meeting the ChallengePandemic Planning Working
Group (PPWG)Specific Activities based in France
(EU) Specific Activities based in the US
Business Unit
21PPWG Key Activities
- A first draft of a Pandemic Situation Readiness
Plan had been developed in 2004, and it helped
organize work flow and define priority activities
within sanofi pasteur - Each part of the plan led to specific activities
in the different areas identified and dedicated
groups have been put in place in each department. - The necessity for an Industrial Pandemic
Emergency Plan has also been highlighted and this
initiative is now taking place under the
leadership of the Industrial Product leader
expected to be completed by Q1, 2006
22Some Priority Actions for Pandemic Readiness
- Activities Dependent on Vaccine Characteristics
- Determine Vaccine Characteristics
- Prepare for the EMEA registration of a mock-up
vaccine (core or mock dossier) or license within
the US - Pursue EU and US egg-based production projects
evaluate production at commercial scale and
stability of bulk vaccine - Activities Independent of Vaccine Characteristics
- Finalize Industrial Operations Emergency plan and
develop a full contingency plan for sanofi
pasteur globally - Pursue Cell Culture, Adjuvant and Delivery
Technology Development diversify/develop
alternatives to egg-based technology and
intramuscular administration
23Pandemic Situation Readiness Plan
- Pandemic Situation Work Flow
24Sanofi pasteurs pandemic preparedness in France
- Research program initiated since 2002
- NIAID research grant Egg-based H5N1 vaccine
production - FLUPAN EU/NIBSC contract Cell-based H7N1 vaccine
production. Originally Vero based. Currently,
production of H7N1 vaccine in PER.C6? cells
(Crucell NV) for clinical study with and without
adjuvant. Currently at preclinical stage with
safety and immunogenicity Phase 1 study in Q2,
2006. - Pilot scale egg-based production of H5N1 vaccines
since 2004 - Bulk production according to Vaxigrip?
manufacturing using a scaled-down process in
BSL2 GMP pilot scale facilities (Marcy lEtoile,
France) - Doses released in May 2005
- Large-scale egg-based production pandemic vaccine
development (in preparation since 2004) - Large-scale production of several Million doses
completed in Q3, 2005 in Val de Reuil, France
will enable sanofi pasteur to respond to some
Governments requests in Europe - Large-scale H5N1 vaccine production planned in
2006
25Submission of core dossier for mockup
Vaxigrip-like vaccine to EMEA (1)
- First clinical study (Phase 1) based on EMEA
criteria Start Q2, 2005 - Aimed at selecting the optimal dosage regimen and
evaluating the safety profile - In healthy adults (18-40 years), 2 injections
three weeks apart - Use A/Vietnam/1194 NIB RG 14 strain provided by
NIBSC - Novel unlike conventional reasortants in EU
issues relating to GMO - Various dosages, with or without adjuvant (Al
Hydroxide) - (7.5, 15, 30 mcg). Results expected Q4,2005
26Submission of core dossier for mockup
Vaxigrip-like vaccine to EMEA (2)
- Second clinical study (Phase 2) with the selected
formulation Start Q2, 2006 - Aimed at documenting the safety profile
- Nearly 300 subjects of 18-75 years of age (50 of
subjects aged over 60 years), 2-dose regimen - Core mock-up dossier (CTD format) submission in
2007
27Pandemic Situation Readiness Planbecause of GMO
Issues within the EU
- Very active in development of Biosafety
guidelines for large scale production (GMO
Biosafety) collaboration between producers and
WHO Biosafety experts objective end of October
2005 for finalization of the guidelines - Need to ensure that guidelines are adequate but
allow production under existing manufacturing
conditions
28Pandemic Preparedness Working Group
- Activities in US Business Unit
29The Next Influenza Pandemic A Cause for Concern
- Estimates of the effect of Pandemic in the US
alone - 1-2 yrs in duration
- Overwhelming strain on limited medical resources
- 18M 42M outpatient visits
- 314K 734K hospitalizations
- 89K 207K deaths
- 20M 47M additional illnesses
- 71B - 167B in economic damages
The Economic Impact of Pandemic Influenza in the
United States Priorities for Intervention
Martin I. Meltzer, Nancy J. Cox, and Keiji
Fukuda/CDC (2003)
30The US Government Has Implemented Several Types
of Initiatives to Ensure Preparedness
- US Congress earmarked 100M under FY '05
appropriations bill for pandemic preparedness
initiatives actually have spent more than this
amount to date - Strategic Reserves of Interpandemic influenza
vaccine - Appropriated funding for stockpiles of routine
pediatric vaccines - Stockpiles of influenza antivirals
31Importance of sanofi pasteurs US Business Units
Participation in US Government Pandemic Planning
Initiatives
- US market leader with over 55 market share
(prior to 2004 Chiron shortage) - Provides opportunity to prepare company for
disruption in normal activity - Strengthens partnership position with government
in protecting public health - As only domestic manufacturer, it is critical to
be responsive to government pandemic preparedness
initiatives
32Overview of H5N1 Activities and Pandemic-Related
Activities (US Business Unit only)
NIAID Phase 1
2004 H5N1 Pilot-Scale Contract with NIAID
2004 H5N1 Commercial-Scale Production with
HHS/CDC
2004 Year Round Egg Supply/Contingency Flocks
ContractClinical Development Contract with
HHS/CDC
Contract Modification for Filling 2004 H5N1
Material with Aluminum Hydroxide
2005 H5N1 Commercial-Scale Production Contract
with HHS
H7N7 with/without Alum modification to contract
underway with HHS/CDC
33Update on Individual Contracts (1)
- DHHS-NIH-NIAID (Development and Production of an
Investigational Inactivated H5N1 (2004) Influenza
Vaccine for Use in Phase1/2 Clinical Trials) - Key Deliverables 4000 single-dose vials (each)
of two different formulations of Fluzone-like
vaccine (15mcg and 45mcg/dose, thimerosal-free,
no adjuvant) - One of two Contracts awarded in May, 2004
- Sanofi pasteur (as manufacturer) only provided
CMC information for NIAIDs IND - no direct role
in first Clinical trial - Used reverse genetics-derived strain (rg
A/Vietnam/1203/2004) produced by St.Jude/Webster
provided to us by NIAID under MTA - No opportunity to evaluate and compare NIBSC
(A/Vietnam/1194/2004) seed - All lots produced in our pilot scale facility -
approx. 4000 eggs per lot, using scaled-down
version of commercial process. Yields Low but
over 4000 doses of each formulation were
available. - Current Status vaccine was manufactured in Q4,
2004 vaccine filled, labeled, packaged, released
and transferred to NIAID in Q1, 2005. NIAID has
completed first of several planned clinical
studies in the VTEUs - Stability on Bulk and Final Container for
additional two years
34Update on Individual Activities (2)
- HHS/CDC (H5N1 Influenza Vaccine Services)
- Sanofi pasteur awarded contract in September,
2004 for the production of 2 Million doses of
H5N1 vaccine (dose is operationally defined as
15mcg/dose or a dose-equivalent) - As with pilot-scale lots, vaccine produced using
Webster rg virus (sanofi pasteur early seed
passes) at commercial scale - All full scale lots completed in October, 2004.
Yields relatively low but higher than pilot-scale - Egg supply at time was not yet transitioned to
support year round maximized production - Vaccine is stored as bulk concentrate (2-8oC)
- US Government recently authorized Contract
amendment to include aluminum hydroxide
formulation six formulations in preparation
to be available Q1, 2006 Clinical study to
begin Q2, 2006 - This is not a standard formulation will require
Toxicology Study - Further enhancement of internal
Medical/Regulatory Team pursue activities
analogous to core or mock dossier - Final container and bulk concentrate will be
assayed for potency for 3 and 2 years,
respectively
35Update on Individual Activities (3)
- Egg based contract (HHS/CDC) awarded to sanofi
pasteur in October, 2004 (Base Year and 4 Option
years all options have now been exercised) - Key Deliverables
- Egg-related - restructure flock management to
assure a year-round supply of embryonated eggs to
maintain full production and establish
contingency flocks (final number 20 of current
flocks), maintain essential supplies important
positive impact on current commercial-scale
production - Produce Investigational lots (3,000 doses dose
range to be specifically defined) of
pandemic-like vaccine annually - Current Status
- All Major Milestones on track (capacity for
full-scale, year-round production, contingency
flocks in Q4, 2006) - DHHS has identified an H7N7 strain (conventional
reassortant produced at the CDC) for pilot scale
clinical lots this year (pilot lot production is
on-going) - Contract now being amended to include aluminum
hydroxide formulations
36Update on Individual Activities (4)
- HHS/CDC-Acquisition of H5N1 Avian Influenza
Vaccine for the Strategic National Stockpile - Contract for production of up to 20 Million doses
of H5N1 awarded Q3, 2005 - Use 2004 viral working seed (strain not updated)
- but evaluating later seed passes some
improvement in yields - Vaccine to be produced at commercial scale prior
to and without interference with trivalent,
seasonal vaccine production - Vaccine currently being produced and to be
released by end-Q4, 2005/early Q1, 2006 - Vaccine will be held in bulk concentrate for up
to 2 years or formulated according to results of
(second) NIAID clinical trial - Formulated vaccine to be stored and tested for up
to 2 years
37Update on Individual Contracts (5)
- Cell RFP (HHS/CDC 2004-N-01102) awarded (US 97M)
to sanofi pasteur March 31ST, 2005 To
accelerate development and US licensure of a
cell-derived influenza vaccine - Purpose to diversify technology/increase
capacity - Initial contract for three year program - based
on PER.C6? -very aggressive timelines process
definition and intermediate scale-up, Phase 2
clinical studies, production of Phase 3 clinical
lots all milestones on track Phase 1 Q3, 2006 - Early stage of development to be conducted in
Marcy, leading to US licensure from our Marcy
intermediate scale facility at 1500 L - Includes plans for facility design and eventual
construction in US (actual construction not
funded)
38Update on Individual Contracts (6)
- DHHS-ORDC-VB-05-13 Acquisition of H5N1 Avian
Influenza Vaccine for the Strategic National
Stockpile - Contract (HHS0100200500004C) for production of up
to 20 Million doses of H5N1 awarded Q3, 2005
(US100 M base) - Use same or related seed virus as used in 2004
(strain not updated) - Vaccine to be produced prior to and without
interference with manufacturing of trivalent,
seasonal vaccine at full commercial scale - Vaccine currently being produced to be
available in bulk by end-Q4, 2005 - Vaccine will be held in bulk for up to 2 years or
formulated according to results of (second) NIAID
clinical trial - Formulated vaccine to be stored and tested for up
to 2 years
39Recent Government and sanofi pasteur Initiatives
to Ensure Pandemic Preparedness
- HHS/CDC (US National Pandemic Plan) to be
finalized in 2005 - US Congress earmarked 7.1B under FY '06
appropriations bill for pandemic preparedness
initiatives - includes funding for construction - HHS published three pre-solicitation notices
related to influenza vaccine production RFPs to
be published on/about 1ST November - Cell and Recombinant Influenza vaccine production
(Not applicable) - Influenza Vaccine Process Improvement
- Dose-sparing strategies adjutants and delivery
devices (e.g. ID syringe) - Sanofi pasteur worked closely to educate Congress
on importance of Pandemic liability
protection/public compensation legislation
40Pandemic Preparedness Working Group
- Integrated Overview of sanofi pasteur activities
41Sanofi pasteur Pandemic Preparedness
Pandemic Preparedness Working Group
Development of detailed global pandemic
preparedness plan business continuity
Awarded Small Scale H5N1 Contract
NIAID Challenge Grant
4 Weeks
Awarded Large Scale H5N1 Contract
Consultation with Global Organizations (WHO,
CDC, EU, IVSTF, EVM)
sanofi pasteur US
sanofi pasteur France/International
EC FluPan
Awarded Egg-Based/Clinical Lot Contract
Awarded Cell Culture Contract
RD Dose SparingAlternative Delivery Adjuvant
Australian, and other possible tenders
EMEA Consultation Pandemic Dossier Preparation
US Diversification Plans
Awarded 2ND Large Scale H5N1 Contract
Formulation and Filling Expansion
Clinical Evaluation of Pandemic Vaccines
US Cell Culture Facility
US Egg Manufacturing Expansion
US FF Expansion
More Vaccine, Shorter Timelines, with more
Diverse Technologies
42Conclusion regarding Sanofi pasteurs involvement
in Pandemic Preparedness
- Sanofi pasteur and our parent company,
sanofi-aventis, are fully committed to pandemic
preparedness through internal preparation, and
through collaborations with external bodies
many of these activities report directly to the
CEO - Sanofi pasteur actively participates in all
groups that collaborate, in order to accelerate
pandemic preparedness - EVM, IVS International Task Force, IOM,
- Sanofi pasteur is a key partner in all
initiatives developed by various organizations
such as WHO, DHHS, NIAID, CDC, the EU and
welcomes opportunities to share our experience
with others to help better manage or reduce this
impending global health threat.