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Bengte Evenson, PhD Associate Director

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Determining a business-cycle proxy for our economy. Component series criteria ... Updating distribution lists. Updating Web site. Annually. Re-evaluating local fit ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Bengte Evenson, PhD Associate Director


1
Bengte Evenson, PhD Associate Director Robert
Potts, MBA Assistant Director Center for
Business and Economic Research University of
Nevada, Las Vegas AUBER October 10, 2005
2
LOW COST HIGH REWARD
  • Political points
  • Fulfills legislative
  • mandate
  • Community points
  • Useful to all types of
  • businesses
  • University points
  • Large distribution list
  • Media attention
  • No new data collection,
  • only new presentation
  • Promotion through other
  • Center activities
  • - Outlook, Web site
  • Distribution through
  • - E-mail, fax, and
  • Web site

3
CONSTRUCTION
  • Determining a business-cycle proxy for our
    economy
  • Component series criteria
  • Economic importance Unique Nevada
  • Statistical adequacy Quality
  • Timing Lead, coincide, lag
  • Fit Conformity to cyclical variations
  • Availability Release dates
  • Local vs. national data

4
UNIQUE NEVADA
  • Two major industries
  • Tourism/Gaming
  • Construction
  • Watch industries and industry leaders
  • Gross gaming revenues
  • Visitor volume
  • Conventions held attendance
  • Air passengers enplaned/deplaned
  • Sales of gasoline (gallons)
  • Taxable sales

5
UNIQUE NEVADA
  • Watch industries and industry leaders
    (continued)
  • Residential building units permitted
  • Residential building units valuation
  • Commercial building units permitted
  • Commercial building units valuation
  • Leads into other popular indexes
  • Tourism Index
  • Construction Index
  • Business-Activity Index

6
(No Transcript)
7
REGULAR MAINTENANCE
  • Monthly
  • Updating data series
  • Adjusting data series
  • Updating distribution lists
  • Updating Web site
  • Annually
  • Re-evaluating local fit
  • New weights, if needed
  • New series, if needed

8
  • Available Papers
  • Southern Nevada Index of Leading Economic
    Indicators (1995)
  • The Southern Nevada Index of Leading Indicators
    A Good Performance in 1995 (1995)
  • Using a Regional Index of Leading Economic
    Indicators to Revise Employment Data (1997)
  • Contact Info
  • bengte_at_nevada.edu
  • potts_at_nevada.edu
  • http//cber.unlv.edu
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