THE WINE SECTOR IN GREECE: NATIONAL TRENDS AND REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION

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THE WINE SECTOR IN GREECENATIONAL TRENDS AND
REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION
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More information in Working Paper No 15.

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• The present study was designed to explore the
  national trends and regional distribution of the
  wine sector in Greece, applying a time series
  analysis of the area under vines, holdings and
  their production in total country and by regions
  (NUTS II) from 1989 to 2003.
• More specific, the study aims to examine the
  trend movement of the holdings with area under
  vines, the area under vines and the wine
  production from 1989 to 2003 in total country and
  by region in Greece.
• The selection of this sector has to do with its
  importance to the Greek Agricultural Economy.

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DATA

• The source of data comes from basic surveys of
  area under vines of years 1989 and 1999 and the
  intermediate statistical surveys of area under
  vines for the rest years.
• These surveys carried out by National Statistics
  Service of Greece, according to Council
  Regulation (EEC) No 357/79.

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METHODS

• Simple Exponential Smoothing Method was used to
  smooth the data series.
• Trend Analysis was afterwards implemented on
  those data in order to make intermediate
  forecasting projections.
• It was fitted the most appropriate trend model
  (linear or quadratic) in data, according to the
  value of coefficient R²
• Finally, compute the indicator production
  /area, This indicator describes the production
  capacity by cultivated area for each year.

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Conclusion

• A downward trend effect exists in holdings with
  area under vines in total country from 1989 to
  2003.
• Decreases, also, appear to the area under vines
  and the wine production for the same period.
• Despite the downward trend of area under vines
  and wine production, the indicator of production
  by area under vines has an upward trend.
• This increase is mainly due to the more
  systematic methods for the cultivation of area
  under vines and the implementation of high-level
  agricultural technology by most producers.

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Figure 1 Indicator of production by area under
vines per category