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Title: Scaling and Analysis of Long Time Series of Soil Moisture Content


1
Scaling and Analysis of Long Time Series of Soil
Moisture Content
  • By
  • Gabriel Katul
  • Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth
    Sciences,
  • Duke University

NSF Workshop Data-Model Assimilation in Ecology
Techniques and Applications Norman, Oklahoma,
October 22-24, 2007
2
Background Soil moisture dynamics and climate
  • Because of storage effects within the soil pores,
    the dynamics of soil moisture posses a memory
    that is often considerably longer than the
    integral timescale of many atmospheric processes.

3
Background Soil moisture dynamics and climate
  • Hence climate anomalies can be sustained
    through land surface feedbacks primarily because
    they can feed off on this long-term memory.

4
Experimental Results
Robock et al.,2000
  • Canonical findings across experiments are
  • The amplitude of soil moisture variations
    decreases with soil depth.
  • Soil moisture memory across various geographic
    regions increases for dryer states when compared
    to wetter conditions.
  • Soil moisture is generally in-phase with
    precipitation at long-time scales but can be
    out-of-phase for short time scales.

5
Objective
  • A simplified analytical theory that predicts the
    spectrum (and phase) of soil moisture content at
    time-scales ranging from minutes to inter-annual.
  • Focus on a case study in which 8 years of
    30-minute spatially and depth - averaged soil
    moisture time series is available along with
    precipitation, throughfall, and eddy-covariance
    based evapotranspiration.

6
Precipitation
Transpiration
Through-fall
Evaporation
Root- Depth RL
Soil Porosity
Drainage
Dimensionless
7
1998-2005 8 years of 30 min. data
4 rods per ring
8
Pi 1280 mm y-1
Measured Interception 40 of P 512 mm y-1
See data below ET 650 mm y-1
Measured by EC Through-fall Pi-Interception
768 mm y-1 P(t) ET/Through-fall 85
L(t) ET
9
Modeling Soil Moisture Dynamics ET-s
relationship
ET/ETmax
Uniform Model
1.0
Nonlinear Model
Linear Model
1.0
S
0
from Porporato et al. (2004)
10
Models for Soil Moisture Dynamics
11
Spectral Analysis of Soil Moisture
Fourier-Transform
Soil moisture spectrum Es(f)
12
Phase Shifts (from Katul et al., 2007)
  • By increasing the rooting zone depth (dr), the
    rainfall and soil moisture variability become
    increasingly out-of-phase.
  • (2) for long time scales (e.g., decadal), f?0
    and soil moisture and rainfall variability become
    in-phase with each.
  • (3) Lowering ETmax, rainfall and soil moisture
    become out-of-phase.
  • Consistent with linear phase shift analyses
    reported by Amenu et al. 2005 (Illinois Climate
    Network stations).

13
Duke Forest Experiment 8 years of 30-min. Data
Evapotranspiration
Precipitation
Soil moisture
14
(No Transcript)
15
Random Force
Langevin
Unbounded variance as f?0 or time?
e.g. Langevin Equation dx/dt v
random Unbounded trajectories.
16
ET max varies with time only
17
Summary and Conclusions
  • Simplified hydrologic balance suggests that for
    white-noise precipitation, soil moisture becomes
    red (decaying as f-2).
  • Analytical model for memory

18
Summary and Conclusions
  • If soil moisture memory (here 45 days) is
  • gtgt 12 hours, then diurnal dynamics of
  • soil moisture do not contribute much
  • to the overall variance.
  • 45 day memory is much larger than those of many
    atmospheric processes. Hence, climate anomalies
    can be sustained through land-surface feedbacks
    primarily because they can feed-off on this
    long-memory.

19
Summary and Conclusions
  • Simplified analytical model predicts that reduced
    ETmax results in
  • longer soil moisture memory and
  • out-of-phase relationship between rainfall and
    soil moisture variations.

20
References
  • Amenu, G. G., P. Kumar, and X. Z. Liang (2005),
    Interannual variability of deep-layer hydrologic
    memory and mechanisms of its influence on surface
    energy fluxes, J. Clim., 18, 50245045.
  • Katul, G. G., A. Porporato, E. Daly, A. C. Oishi,
    H.-S. Kim, P. C. Stoy, J.-Y. Juang, and M. B.
    Siqueira (2007), On the spectrum of soil moisture
    from hourly to interannual scales, Water Resour.
    Res., 43, W05428, doi10.1029/2006WR005356
  • Koster, R. D., and M. J. Suarez (2001), Soil
    moisture memory in climate models, J.
    Hydrometeorol., 2, 558 570.
  • Koster, R. D., et al. (2004), Regions of strong
    coupling between soil moisture and precipitation,
    Science, 305, 11381140
  • Porporato, A., E. Daly, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe
    (2004), Soil water balance and ecosystem response
    to climate change, Am. Nat., 164, 625632.
  • Robock et al. (2000), The global soil moisture
    bank, Bulletin of the American Meteorological
    Society, 81, 1281-1299.

21
Variable Interception and ETmax
LAIn
Through-fall
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