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John Boyd and FourthGeneration Warfare: Applications to Terrorism and Counterterrorism

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Title: John Boyd and FourthGeneration Warfare: Applications to Terrorism and Counterterrorism


1
John Boyd and Fourth-Generation Warfare
Applications to Terrorism and Counterterrorism

John Boyd (1927-1997)
2
Contents
  • I. Who was John Boyd?
  • II. Why Students of Terrorism should care about
    Boyd
  • a. OODA loop
  • b. Fourth generation warfare gt terrorism
    counterterrorism
  • III. Discovering the Boyd Cycle
  • a. Air combat in Korea
  • b. Penetrating an opponent's decision cycle
  • IV. The Four Generations of War
  • a. Generations 1 - 4.
  • b. Examples
  • V. Putting the Puzzle Together
  • a. Military and Strategic thinkers in History
  • b. Fourth Generation War The U.S. in Vietnam
  • c. Guerilla Warfare - T.E. Lawrence et al.
  • VI. Boyd's 4GW Methods Counterterrorism
    Counter-insurgency
  • VII. Sources

3
  • Who was John Boyd?
  • U.S. Air Force Colonel, retired with over 25
    years of service.
  • Overseas Tours Saw combat in Korean War
    Vietnam conflicts.
  • Education Ga. Institute of Technology, B.S.
    Industrial Engineering.
  • Author of "Aerial Attack Study," the first USAF
    air-to-air combat manual, and a founder of the
    Air Force Fighter Weapons School.
  • Participated in the design of the F-15 and F-16
    fighters.
  • Leader of 1970s-1980s military reform movement in
    Pentagon.
  • Advisor to political, military and industrial
    leaders in the U.S. and abroad. Theories on
    competition taught widely in business schools.
  • Military and strategic theorist noted for the
    Boyd Cycle and the comprehensive study "Patterns
    of Conflict."
  • Father of U.S. Marine Corps maneuver warfare
    doctrine.
  • Strategic planner of 1991 Gulf War.
  • Iconoclast and rebel known as "Genghis John" and
    "The Ghetto Colonel."

4
Why should students of terrorism care about
Boyd's work?
  • Boyd's OODA loop (Observe-Orient-Decide-Act) and
    theories of fourth-generation warfare are
    directly applicable to the counter-insurgency and
    anti-terrorist efforts being waged by U.S.
    coalition forces in Iraq, Afghanistan, and
    elsewhere.
  • The Boyd Cycle
  • Source "Fourth Generation Warfare OODA Loop
    Implications of the Iraq Insurgency" Chet
    Richards, G.I. Wilson and Greg Wilcox

5
  • Discovering the Cycle Boyd the fighter pilot in
    Korea
  • US F-86 fighters achieve 101 kill ratio over
    North Korean MIG-15s, despite
  • inferior speed, climb and turning radius. Why?
    The U.S. planes had better visibility and could
    change position more quickly, in part because of
    hydraulically-assisted controls.
  • To Boyd, this suggested that operating at a
    faster tempo than your adversary was critical for
    success. By changing conditions faster than an
    enemy can adapt to them, he is made vulnerable
    and can be defeated. Using change, tactical
    variety and initiative, one can enhance one's own
    capacity for action and reduce that of an
    adversary.
  • Boyd called this process "getting inside an
    enemy's decision cycle." It later became the
    influential OODA loop or Boyd Cycle.
  • O - Observe Collect data and disrupt your
    enemy's ability to do so.
  • O - Orient Know your situation and confuse the
    enemy about his.
  • D - Decide Reach a conclusion, discourage your
    enemy from doing so.
  • A - Act Execute your plan, keep the enemy from
    executing his.

6
  • Boyd's Generations of Warfare
  • Boyd categorized wars in a systematic manner,
    into stages or generations. Modern war begins
    with the 1648 Peace of Westphalia in which
    European states claim a monopoly on waging war.
    Boyd organized his view of human conflict
    according to the 'generations of war' model.
  • A. First Generation War (1GW) - War of the
    organized line and column in use from 1648 to
    1860.
  • B. Second Generation War (2GW) - Attrition
    warfare characterized by massive firepower and
    extensive casualties. Prototype is World War One
    in use from 1860 to present. Militaries are vast,
    bureaucratic and slow-moving.
  • C. Third Generation War (3GW) - Maneuver warfare,
    best characterized by the German World War Two
    Blitzkrieg. Used from 1940 to present. Rapid and
    mobile warfare that inflicts psychological as
    well as physical damage.
  • D. Fourth Generation War (4GW) - Irregular
    warfare. Also called asymmetric war, guerilla
    war, terrorism, low-intensity conflict, etc.
    Often waged by non-state entities such as tribes,
    clans, families, criminal organizations,
    religious groups, ethnic/racial groups and
    related. In use currently, date of creation ?

7
  • Putting the Puzzle Together
  • Boyd studied the greatest military minds........
  • A. Sun Tzu (400 B.C.) - Know yourself and your
    enemy use deception and subversion to be
    enigmatic to your enemy. Shape his perceptions
    and manipulate him. Employ the expected and
    unexpected. Strive to defeat your enemy before
    fighting him.
  • B. Karl von Clausewitz ("On War" 1832) -
    Obstacles to employing
  • military force friction, uncertainty, and
    inflexibility.
  • 1. Friction - errors and miscues which affect
    all armies.
  • 2. Uncertainty - What are your forces doing
    what are those of the enemy doing?
  • 3. Inflexibility - the larger the force, the
    more inflexible it is
  • large formations have fire power but are
    difficult to move.
  • Boyd Von Clausewitz devoted effort to reducing
    these effects on his forces, but not on
    multiplying them in the enemy as Su Tzu
    recommends.

8
  • Putting the Puzzle Together (II)
  • Revolutionary Socialism of Karl Marx and
    Friedrich Engels (mid-1800s)
  • A. Corrupt capitalist societies of 1800s
    privileged elites exploit the masses such
    societies can be toppled from within.
  • B. Misery of masses and unwillingness of elites
    to address it will
  • lead to a precipitating event - or crisis -
    which enables the revolutionary vanguard to lead
    the masses to destruction of the old state and
    creation of the new.
  • C. Boyd Crises and Vanguards are the 'golden
    keys' to unlocking the power of insurgency,
    guerilla war and revolution.
  • D. Mao Zedong unites revolutionary socialism,
    guerilla warfare methods, conventional war and
    Sun Tzu into a powerful new
  • form of guerilla warfare. Wins Chinese Civil War
    and drives
  • Nationalist forces out of mainland China.

9
  • Putting the Puzzle Together (III)
  • Historical practitioners of guerilla warfare
    T.E. Lawrence "Lawrence of Arabia," Allied
    Resistance Movements of WW2, Mao Zedong, Ho Chi
    Minh Vo Nguyen Giap in Vietnam. Lawrence, in
    "The Twelve Pillars of Wisdom," writes of
    guerilla war
  • Guerilla must operate among the people and hide
    among them
  • He is inconspicuous, and does not afford his
    enemy a clear target he is
  • "everywhere and nowhere."
  • The guerilla movement should possess a sanctuary
    in which to train, refit and plan operations.
  • The guerilla engages the enemy at the time and
    place of his choosing. When the enemy is strong,
    retreat when he is weak, attack.
  • The guerilla can win if he outlasts a foreign
    invader he is in his own country and the enemy
    must eventually return to his homeland.
  • The guerilla does not have to win militarily he
    has only to convince his opponent to abandon the
    fight.
  • Conventional forces and guerillas can be used
    together in the open
  • when both are strong enough and have the
    advantage.

10
  • Fourth Generation Warfare
  • As a young officer, Boyd had seen the U.S. losing
    the war in Vietnam despite overwhelming military
    superiority, but he had not known why or how.
  • Now he knew T.E. Lawrence, Chairman Mao, General
    Giap and the others had shown him the answers. In
    Vietnam, America had been beaten by a
    sophisticated 4GW opponent, and not merely a
    bunch of simple peasant guerillas. The North
    Vietnamese and Viet Cong had operated inside the
    American OODA loop and used it to destroy our war
    effort at the moral-mental-physical levels,
    thereby defeating us. Moreover, he concluded
  • Western militaries focus on the
    strategic-operational-tactical levels of war.
  • Boyd created a new trinity people-ideas-technolog
    y, and he believed wars are fought, in order of
    importance, at the moral-mental-physical levels.
  • Boyd's conclusion "Machines don't fight wars -
    people do. And they use their minds."
  • Most western armies are focused on "breaking
    things and killing people," the physical side of
    war. This is exactly opposite of what should be
    emphasized - the moral then the mental, and then
    the physical.

11
  • Boyd and Counterterrorism
  • Why is Fourth-Generation War so difficult to
    understand and defeat?
  • At the heart of this phenomenon, Fourth
    Generation war, is not a military but a
    political, social and moral revolution a crisis
    of legitimacy of the state. All over the world,
    citizens of states are transferring their primary
    allegiance away from the state to other things
    to tribes, ethnic groups, religions, gangs,
    ideologies and so on. Many people who will no
    longer fight for their state will fight for their
    new primary loyalty.
  • - William Lind -
  • Military force alone is incapable of' restoring
    legitimacy to a state, so there can be no purely
    military solution to the problem of 4GW.
  • The central paradoxes of 4GW What works at the
    strategic or tactical level often fails at the
    moral level. Moreover, weakness is actually
    strength much of the time in 4GW.
  • Appropriate analogy of 4GW "David vs. Goliath"

12
  • Boyd's Counterterrorist Methods
  • 4GW is fought at the moral-mental-physical
    levels, CT must address each.
  • The support of the people is critical for the
    success of both guerilla and counter-guerilla
    operations. Why? The guerilla depends upon the
    population as a source of intelligence and as a
    place to hide.
  • Government must address the inequities and
    causes of crises and eliminate the conditions in
    which vanguards flourish.
  • Root out corruption and punish it publicly
    government must demonstrate integrity and
    competence in its affairs.
  • Use sympathizers to infiltrate the guerilla
    movement and gain intelligence.
  • Deploy special operations forces in the sanctuary
    of the movement or in their basing areas.
  • Use police, administrative and social services to
    safeguard the population and improve conditions
    for them. "Hearts and Minds" campaign.
  • Guerilla movements sow mistrust, menace and
    uncertainty these must be counteracted by
    initiative, courage and adaptability.
  • OIF soldiers were initially deployed without
    sufficient knowledge of Arabic culture, and were
    ill-equipped to root out insurgents. Thus, in the
    violence and round-ups of suspects that followed,
    coalition forces created many enemies among
    would-be sympathizers.

13
  • Boyd's Counterterrorist Methods
  • 10. 4GW blurs or eliminates the line between
    civilian and military, the battlefield and the
    home front. The war can be lost in the court of
    public opinion, so no leader can afford to
    neglect preparing the population for asymmetric
    warfare and its implications. To the extent
    possible, the nation should go to war united. The
    Bush Administration has neglected this vital
    step.
  • 11. 4GW is the war of the Strategic Corporal.
    Street-level personnel will face decisions with
    strategic consequences. Decision-making should be
    pushed downward to them as much as possible.
    Generals are supportive in function.
  • 12. Personnel cannot be rotated home every 6-12
    months without severely depleting institutional
    memory. Troops must have time to learn their jobs
    and know the people and ground in-theater.
  • 13. Ethical behavior must be the top priority
    if military forces make a mistake, it must not be
    swept under the rug or denied. Our leaders and
    fighters must tell the truth. We must do what we
    say and say what we mean.
  • 14. Correct the mismatch between the fighting
    culture of our enemies and our military one is
    low-tech and the other is not. One emphasizes
    people and ideas, the other does not.

14
  • Boyd's Counterterrorist Methods (II)
  • 15. Accurate and timely intelligence is critical
    street-level personnel must have the authority to
    evaluate and disseminate it without getting
    senior command approval.
  • 16. U.S. forces must cultivate personal networks
    among influential people in Iraq everything
    there is driven by people power is not always
    resident in 'city hall.'
  • 17. Observe Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs
    Lower-order needs before higher order ones food
    and water come before a new constitution.
  • 18. Dismantling the Iraqi army and civil service
    was mistake those thrown out of work often
    joined the insurgency.
  • 19. Reconstruction should include as many Iraqis
    as possible, to foster a sense of ownership and
    give the dispossessed something to do. Example
    When electrical power fails, better an Iraqi
    contractor is blamed than U.S. forces.
  • 20. 100 victory may not be possible, but 51 may
    be. Expectations must be realistic in leaders and
    the public.
  • 21. Martial law should have been declared
    immediately after the first Americans arrived, to
    restore order and predictability.
  • 22. In the rare cases where massive force is
    needed, we must not hesitate to use it.

15
  • Boyd's Counterterrorist Methods (III)
  • 23. The enemy is not defeated until his will to
    resist is broken. Precision weapons may not be
    the best choice older battleships and bombers
    have a much greater psychological impact - they
    make the ground literally shake.
  • 24. David is always better loved than Goliath
    our conduct must reflect that. Except in specific
    circumstances, the forces we use should be
    unobtrusive and only sufficient to do the job.
    Don't swat a fly with a tank. Remember weak is
    strong in 4GW.
  • 25. De-escalation is almost always preferable to
    escalation of violence. Soldiers will have to be
    able to think like a cop - de-escalate - and then
    a soldier - escalate. People, no matter who they
    are, hate those who destroy their homes or harm
    their families.
  • 26. 4GW may require that U.S. forces accept more
    casualties than the enemy.
  • 27. Civilian deaths, injuries or property damage
    may compel those insulted or harmed to take
    revenge.
  • 28. 4GW is a war of light infantry heavy weapons
    applied carefully only in specific support jobs
    and at certain times

16
  • Boyd's Counterterrorist Methods (IV)
  • 29. The weapons of 4GW are unusual money, food,
    water, shelter, clothing, employment,
    medical care. As well as respect and recognition.
  • 30. Use "Apaches to fight Apaches" as we did in
    the Indian Wars.
  • 31. Use the Mafia model "Everyone gets a cut"
    and violence is hidden when an enemy needs
    elimination "No fingerprints."
  • 32. Reservists and National Guardsmen make better
    counter-insurgency warriors, as they tend to be
    older and possess significant life experience.
  • 33. Dealing with the press Relations must be
    open and based on trust if possible. Openly
    hostile media organizations must be banned or
    removed.
  • U.S. forces are not obligated to let hostile
    media report on the war - e.g. Al-Jazeera.
  • 34. The terrorists often treat our media as the
    enemy, and act accordingly - as in the death of
    Daniel Pearl. State militaries may be forced to
    follow suit.
  • - Additional methods are found in Boyd's
    "Patterns of Conflict" -

17
For Further Study of John Boyd and 4GW
  • Coram, Robert. Boyd The Fighter Pilot Who
    Changed the Art of War. Boston Little,
  • Brown and Co., 2002.
  • Hammes, Thomas X. The Sling and the Stone On War
    in the 21st Century. St.Paul
  • MBI/Zenith Press, 2004.
  • John, Lehman. Our Enemy is not Terrorism,
    Soldiers for the Truth, 21 October 2005.
  • lthttp//www.sftt.usgt (20 May 2004).
  • Lind, William. The Four Generations of War,
    Soldiers for the Truth, 12 October 2005.
  • lthttp//www.sftt.usgt(10 June 2004).
  • Lind, William. Fourth Generation Warfare Manual
    Draft, Defense and the National
  • Interest, 12 October 2005. lt http//www.d-n-i.net
    /index.htmlgt(June2005).
  • Peters, Ralph. New Glory Expanding Americas
    Global Supremacy. New York
  • Sentinel, 2005.

18
  • Further Study (continued)
  • Richards, Chet. Fourth Generation Warfare,
    Defense and the National Interest, 6
  • October 2005. lt http//www.d-n-i.net/index.htmlgt
    (23 March 2005).
  • Richards, Chet. G.I. Wilson, and Greg Wilcox.
    Fourth Generation Warfare OODA
  • Loop Implications of The Iraqi Insurgency,
    Defense and the National Interest, 12
  • October 2005.lt http//www.d-n-i.net/index.htmlgt
    (December 2004).
  • Spinney, Chuck and Chet Richards. Patterns of
    Conflict - by John R. Boyd, Defense
  • and the National Interest, 7 October 7,
    2005.lthttp//www.d-n-i.net/index.htmlgt(27
    February 2005).
  • Sun Tzu, The Art of War The Denma Translation.
    (Boston and London Shambhala
  • Library, 2002).
  • Van Creveld, Martin. The Transformation of War.
    (New York Free Press, 1991).
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