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Blackpools and Lancashires Joint Waste PFI Contract

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Examples of some of the risk issues in the PFI Waste Sector ... to dispose of Lancashire's waste without them Councils cannot collect rubbish ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Blackpools and Lancashires Joint Waste PFI Contract


1
Blackpools and LancashiresJoint Waste PFI
Contract
2
Many Dimensions?
  • Background to the Procurement
  • Scope of the Project
  • The Procurement process
  • Examples of some of the risk issues in the PFI
    Waste Sector

3
The future of waste management in Blackpool and
Lancashire until 2035
  • Culmination of a process that started in
    1997with the establishment of the Joint Waste
    Strategy Steering Group (Subsequently renamed
    Lancashire Waste Partnership)
  • Forward-looking action recognising the risks to
    the Authorities of the Landfill Directive to take
    effect in 2010 and the long lead-times to
    successfully deliver new waste infrastructure

4
Risks identified in 1997
  • Implications of Landfill Directive limits on
    landfill (against 1995/6 levels)
  • Max 75 municipal waste to landfill by 2010
  • Max 50 municipal waste to landfill by 2013
  • Max 35 municipal waste to landfill by 2020
  • Lancashire Minerals and Waste Local Plan
    under-provision of landfill capacity, against
    known demand, by 25 in Lancashire by 2006
  • No waste disposal assets following the sale of
    the LAWDC by 2003
  • Recognition that waste management needed to be
    plannedon an integrated basis of both collection
    and disposal
  • Recognition of the long lead-in time to new
    infrastructure provision (7years?)

5
The Lancashire Waste Strategy
The Lancashire Waste Strategy
  • The result of 3 years work by all fifteen
    authorities
  • Two major public consultation exercises

1999
2000
6
Strategy Approved 2001
  • 20,000 Responses to Draft Strategy
  • 75 satisfaction
  • Everyone wanted by higher and earlier targets for
    recycling
  • Serving 1.4 million residents and managing 1
    million tonnes of waste per year
  • 400,000 tonne per year waste reduction target by
    2020 (growth reduced from 3 to 1 by 2005)
  • 40 recycling composting by 2005
  • 56 by 2015
  • 90 of households to receive 3-stream collection
    service by 2005
  • 50 recovery from recycling centres
  • Landfill reduced from 85 to 20
  • Network of new waste management infrastructure

7
Energy from Waste Incineration
  • Provide capacity for 325,000 tonnes of Energy
    from Waste incineration by 2010, if the
    Strategys waste minimisation and recycling
    targets are not exceeded.
  • A final review of the decision to build will take
    place in 2005.
  • Environmental Standards will be equivalent to the
    highest operational standards anywhere in the
    world.
  • Most controversial - a commitment to do
    everything possible to avoid incineration

8
Mechanical Biological Treatment (MBT)
  • In the two years following the approval of the
    Strategy the Partnership continued to explore
    alternatives to EfW
  • In 2003 the Lancashire Waste Partnership endorsed
    a revision to the Strategy that replaced the need
    for EfW Incineration with Mechanical Biological
    Treatment of residual waste
  • MBT is a generic term applied to a range of
    technologies that in-effect compost the waste
    and mechanically recover recyclable materials.
    Most systems produce Refuse Derived Fuel as part
    of the process or alternatively pre-treat the
    waste prior to landfill and produce a soil
    improver
  • Factory processing of waste

9
Risk context to the PFI Procurement
  • Primary Risks relate to service failure
  • Secondary Risks are financial and land use
    planning risks

10
Service failure risks
  • After April 2010 the Council has no assets or
    contracts to dispose of Lancashires waste
    without them Councils cannot collect rubbish
  • The only significant landfill capacity left in
    Lancashire around this time will be the Whinney
    Hill landfill in Hyndburn (based upon current
    rates of disposal)
  • Geographical differences long term contractual
    arrangements mean some sites will have longer
    life eg Jamieson Road at Fleetwood could be
    available to 2016
  • Theses site are controlled by SITA and there is
    no guarantee that the Council will be able to
    secure capacity at these sites if it wished to
    move to a landfill based strategy there are
    regional demands
  • However, we have procured sufficient capacity in
    the context of the low PFI landfill demand until
    2025 to mitigate this risk

11
Service failure risks
  • Significant price exposure to monopoly supplier
  • Collection Authorities will not be able to
    operate without local disposal points
  • New permissions for landfills would only be
    possible based upon capacity assumptions that
    assume the Landfill Directive has been
    complied-with and sites would need to be
    identified in the in the context of the Local
    Development Framework
  • The PFI infrastructure is designed to mitigate
    these risks greatly reducing landfill
    dependence and providing transfer facilities to
    distant disposal points if needed
  • Our strategy and procurement is based upon 1
    annual waste growth, if this is exceeded our
    problems are greatly magnified

12
Financial Risks
  • Costs of final landfill disposal with monopoly
    supplier and/or long distance disposal ( If this
    can be achieved at all)
  • Landfill tax rising to 35 per tonne by 2010 (Now
    a minimum of 48)
  • Waste Emissions Trading Act Penalties of 150 per
    tonne for exceeding the the Councils landfill
    allowances (LATS)
  • These financial instruments are designed to
    encourage Councils to deliver the Landfill
    Directive
  • The need to secure over 280 million of capital
    to fund the required investment programme
  • Cost forecasts are based upon 1 annual growth in
    waste. If this is exceeded these costs will
    increase greatly

13
Land-use Planning Risks
  • We cannot deliver our services without new
    infrastructure whether it be landfill,
    incineration, MBT, compost plants, MRFs or simple
    transfer stations
  • The single biggest obstacle to building such
    infrastucture is site acquisition and planning
    consents
  • Currently we are in a strong position because we
    have a fully integrated strategy underpinning our
    planning application / decisions and they comply
    with the development plan, national and European
    policy
  • Any application based upon a landfill future,
    without meeting the Landfill Directive, is likely
    to fail and will also be be open to challenge
    through judicial review

14
PFI Procurement
  • Is therefore essentially an exercise in risk
    mitigation
  • Cannot eliminate all the Councils risks
  • Seeks to minimise those risks as far as possible

15
2004-5 Procurement process
  • Four companies short-listed
  • Two withdrew leaving two
  • SITA and Global Renewables Ltd (GRL)
  • 3 bids received 28th February 2005
  • A) Biological drying with RDF output (Council to
    find market)
  • B) Biological drying with RDF output plus EfW
    plant to burn the RDF
  • C) Combined anaerobic digestion(biogas) and
    bio-stabilisation (composting) process
    plus soil improver
  • All bids exceeded Outline Business Case
    affordability levels previously approved by
    Cabinet
  • Output specification re-scoped and Revise and
    Confirm bids returned 11th July 2005

16
Affordability proportionately the same impacts
for Blackpool Council
  • GRL appointed preferred bidder for the PFI
    contract September 2005
  • Basis of that appointment was to negotiate a
    reduced budget impact
  • Full service costs reduced from 104 million per
    annum to 91 million per annum (LCC budget
    position)
  • 13th July 2006 Cabinet authorised move to
    financial close of the contract based upon this
    affordability position
  • Increased by 3 million per annum by financial
    close
  • Do minimum costs are higher over project life
  • but based upon assumed continuation of the
    governments fiscal policies and regime for waste
    (taxes and penalties)

17
What are we buying through the PFI contract ?
  • Two strategic processing facilities at Thornton
    and Leyland
  • 340 tonnes per annum residual waste processing
    (MBT)
  • 110,000 tonnes per annum enclosed vessel
    composting
  • 55,000 tonnes per annum MRF
  • 56 diversion of residual waste from landfill
  • 95 diversion of kitchen and garden waste from
    landfill
  • 93 diversion of separately collected co-mingled
    plastics, metals and glass from landfill
  • 100 diversion of separately collected paper,
    cardboard, textiles, plastics, metals and glass
    from landfill
  • An environmental education service
  • A waste minimisation and community engagement
    programme
  • A local market development programme
  • 2500 acres of woodland planted 2.5 million trees

18
What we are buying In place of landfill
Bio-gas production
Residual waste composting
OGM storage
Bio-filters
Kitchen garden waste composting
Percolation
Residual waste reception
Mechanical separation
Materials recycling facility (MRF)
Environmental Education Centre
19
PFI in the Waste Sector
  • Waste projects exhibit a significantly different
    risk profile to accommodation projects schools,
    hospitals, etc
  • Process performance risk
  • Biggest risks in the operational phase not the
    construction phase unlike accommodation projects
  • Major financial penalties for under-performance

20
Bidding Consortium
  • Global Renewables Ltd (50) and Bovis Lend Lease
    (50)
  • Joint owners of the
  • SPV
  • The Construction Joint Venture
  • The Operating Company
  • 5 Banks

21
Risk transferSite abnormals and contamination
  • Planning policy meant that our sites are former
    brown-field sites
  • Procurement bidding based on assumption of normal
    site conditions (including estimated provisional
    sums)
  • Major part of the procurement post preferred
    bidder was transferring construction cost and
    programming risk for site abnormals to the
    contractor
  • At a cost of over 40 million
  • Chemical contamination and 8000 piles per site
  • Gain share

22
Risk transferProcess performance
  • Banks at risk (over 200 million) until plant has
    passed its acceptance tests
  • Ability to achieve landfill diversion targets,
    environmental emissions and performance levels,
    bio-stabilisation guarantees
  • Massive technical due-diligence on new technology
    both funders and council

23
Risk transferBio-stabilisation
  • At the heart of the process is the diversion of
    BMW from landfill through bio-stabilisation
  • Key to mitigating LATS penalties
  • Evolving UK regulatory framework for MBT (no UK
    plants)
  • Established German methodologies
  • Italian sub-contactors providing process
    guarantees

24
Risk transferWaste volume and composition
  • Shared volume risk minimum guaranteed tonnages
  • 3-stream volumes a contractor risk
  • Waste composition in terms of metal, plastic,
    kitchen waste etc, critical to processing
    performance shared risk
  • Complex waste-auditingand diversion performance
    model

25
Planning and licensing risks retained
  • Could add a further 20 million to the capital
    costs
  • Current Judicial Review application in relation
    to grant of planning permission for the Leyland
    site
  • Delay also means potential for LATS penalties

26
Where we are today
  • Our service failure risks significantly mitigated
    for a key front line service
  • Big increases in expenditure but largely fixed
    and known
  • One of the most environment friendly waste
    management solutions in the world
  • A deal that has not only closed but construction
    starts immediately
  • We are not there yet but we are a lot closer

27
  • Thanks for listening
  • Any questions?
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