Adequate Yearly Progress: What

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Adequate Yearly ProgressWhats Old, Whats New,
Whats Next?

• Department of Shared Accountability
• August, 2004

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Whats Old
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The Goal of No Child Left Behind
100 percent of students proficient in reading and
mathematics by the year 2014
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Marylands AYP Components
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Measuring Progress Towards AYP Annual
Measurable Objectives (AMOs)

• AMOs define the annual target
• 2003 baseline
• Increments until reach 100 in 2014
• AMOs are established for reading proficiency,
  mathematics proficiency, attendance, and
  graduation rate
• AMOs are the same for each subgroup

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Making AYP in Maryland2004 AMOs for School
Districts
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Confidence Intervals to Determine Whether AMOs
Have Been Met

• MSDE applies Confidence Intervals (CI) to each
  AMO for proficiency.
• The smaller the group, the larger the interval.
  The larger the group, the smaller the interval.
• Performances within the CI are considered to be
  meeting the AMO and, by extension, AYP.

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Confidence Intervals to Determine Whether AMOs
Have Been Met
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School Improvement Steps

• If a school does not make AYP for a first year,
  it goes on Alert Status.
• If any school does not make AYP for 2 consecutive
  years and continues to fail AYP year-by-year it
  enters School Improvement
• School Improvement Year 1
• School Improvement Year 2
• Corrective Action
• Restructuring

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Identification of Schools

• Met 2003, not met 2004 Alert Status
• Not met 2003, not met 2004 School Improvement
  Year 1
• Not met 2003, met 2004 Must meet in 2005 or move
  to School Improvement Year 1
• If already in School Improvement
• Met 2003, Met 2004 Exit School Improvement
• Not Met 2003, Met 2004 Maintain current status
• Not met 2003, not met 2004 Corrective Action

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Whats New
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Safe Harbor

• First used in 2004
• Applied to Subgroup(s)
• Subgroup decreased by 10 in basic category
• Subgroup improved in other academic indicators
• Confidence intervals were also applied

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MCPS Systemwide 2004 AYP Performance
Preliminary Data
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LEP Students

• Exemption from MSA if first year in US school
• Still take the IPT
• AYP calculations for the subgroup included
  students who exited the ESOL program within the
  past two years

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Invalidation of Reading Scores

• Invalidation in 2003 due to verbatim reading
  accommodation
• Subtest scores used to categorize students with
  this accommodation
• No invalidation in 2004

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Graduation Rate

• 2003 AMO was 80.99 percent.
• 2004 AMO requires schools to show improvement
  over the 2003 graduation rate by at least 0.1
  percent.
• The 2014 graduation rate target is still 90
  percent.

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Geometry

• In 2003 used cohort model.
• ALL students tested in 2004 will now be included
  in calculations of AYP at the district level.
• For high schools, scores for students in Grades 9
  through 12 will be used to calculate AYP.

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Whats Next
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Final AYP Determinations for 2004

• Final AYP decisions in late August
• Geometry
• Attendance
• Graduation rate
• Appeals are still pending.

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AYP in 2005

• Proficiency in Reading MSA and Alt MSA Grades 3
  through 8 and Grade 10
• Proficiency in Mathematics MSA and Alt MSA
  Grades 3 through 8 and Geometry MSA
• Student Participation in MSA and Alt MSA
• Graduation Rate
• Attendance

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Maryland AMOs for School Districts(Percent
Students at Proficient)
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AYP Implications and Cautions

• More grades included
• Larger cell size
• Smaller confidence interval
• The expected rate of growth will increase, become
  steeper, to reach 100 by 2014.