Bush/Rumsfeld Defense Priorities/Objectives A Mandate For Change

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Bush/Rumsfeld Defense Priorities/ObjectivesA
Mandate For Change

• Bush Priorities
• Develop the capabilities to defend against
  missiles, terrorism, and threats against space
  assets and information systems
• Create the military of the new century by taking
  advantage of new possibilities offered by the
  ongoing Technological Revolution
• Rumsfeld objectives for deterring and defending
  against new threats
• Modernize US C3I capabilities
• Modern C3I infrastructure is the foundation upon
  which military power rests and is fundamental to
  the transformation of US military forces. We
  must also strengthen our intelligence
  capabilities and space capabilities and protect
  those assaults against various forms of attack
• Transform US Defense establishment --- by swiftly
  introducing new weapon systems.

Technology as enabler for transformation to
address new threats
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Some Concepts Associated WithTransformation

• Asymmetric uncertain threats and new demanding
  missions
• Flexibility to dominate over spectrum of
  operations
• Agile dispersed forces networked by C4ISR to
  enable new warfighting concepts
• Network centric warfare and effects based outcome
• Rapid decisive operations enabled by Joint
  Adaptive C2
• Information Superiority and Decision Dominance
• Tailorable assured survivable system-of-system
  information infrastructure
• Global information Grid
• Reengineered force structure, organization,
  doctrine, ---
• Mission capability packages
• Assimilation of within-reach technology while
  preparing for long-term less understood problems
• Exploration, innovation and adaptation

Potential for fundamental changes on
unprecedented scale
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OSD Analysis Framework
Blue Battlespace Entities
Shared Awareness
Red Entities
Suppliers
C2 Command Concept
Perceptions

• Intent
• ROEs
• Organization
• Doctrine

Combat Adjudicator
Degree of Synchronization
(Includes IO)
Shooters
Decision Behavior
Perceptions
Perceptions
Operational Outcome
Mission MOEs
Shared Information
Information Dissemination / Management
Quality of Information
Sensors
Analysis
Quality of observations
Ground Truth
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Modeling and Simulation forC4ISR Assessment

• DoD Goal Integrated framework for examining
  understanding the casual relationship between
  C4ISR system performance and combat outcome (PBD
  07OC)
• DoD Challenge Modeling C2 in a manner that
  facilitates assessment of C4ISR contribution to
  combat outcome
• DoD Approach Establish RD program for modeling
  critical aspects of C2
• Focus on modeling for C2 decision-making
• Task DISA and others
• DISA Strategy Practical, Multi-Pronged Approach
• Develop a five year RD plan to improve modeling
  of C2 decision-making
• Define and evolve initial M/S research and
  analysis capability
• Explore approaches for modeling C2 Decision
  Making in the analysis of C4ISR issues of
  interest to DISA customers
• In conjunction with with JFCOM focus
  experimentation to develop needed data

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Objectives of Workshop

• Improve Models for C2 Decision Making
• Practical strategy
• Use full C4ISR assessment capability
• Credible insights regarding impact
• Target opportunities for improvement
• Better models for near term
• Areas to focus sustained research

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Scope and Focus of Workshop

• Combat operations and scenarios
• Small scale contingencies/major theater war
• Analyses using the JWARS Campaign Model
• Evaluation of operations plan
• Assessment of C2 concepts/system mixes
• Decisions in the context of the IS value chain
• Quality of information (QOI), decision, combat
  outcome
• QOI, shared awareness, collaboration,
  synchronization, outcome
• Multi-level modeling and experimentation
• Improved representation of decision making in
  JWARS
• Improved modeling of decision-making in
  supporting tools
• Data for key modeling parameters and variables

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Format for Workshop

• Briefings to set the stage
• Operational domain oriented working groups
• Operational scenarios/vignettes

• What decisions / decision elements can / should
  be modeled?
• How might they be modeled?

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Setting The Stage

• The Operational View Dr. Hayes
• JWARS Capabilities LTC McIntyre
• DMSO Developments LTC Bjorkman
• Impact of C4ISR Dr. Hiniker
• Organizational Models Dr. Serfaty
• Cognitive Models Dr. Leedham

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Modeling C2 Decision-Making Processes

• Summer Workshop
• July 2001