Impact on employment in the EU-25 of climate change and climate change policies by 2030

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Impact on employment in the EU-25 of climate
change and climate change policies by 2030 power
generation
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Scenarios which differ strongly from the point of
view of the policies of reduction of greenhouse
gases
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The reduction of CO2 emissions comes in part from
energy efficiency which leads to a reduction in
demand from energy-consuming sectors also from
CDM mecanisms for EEA-CLEP scenario.
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Strong differentiation in the technological mix
(1)
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Strong differentiation in the technological mix
(2)
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The impact on employment linked to operation and
maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (1)
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The impact on employment linked to operation and
maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (2)

• BAU employment growth of 1 per year,
• employment stable for the WWF/WI and EEA-nuclear
  scenarios,
• decreasing for the WWF/WI over the period
  2000-2020.
• Only scenario F4 breaks from this, with an annual
  reduction in employment of 0.35 over the period
  2001/2030.

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The impact on employment linked to operation and
maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (3)
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The impact on employment linked to operation and
maintenance (direct and indirect employment) (4)
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The impact on employment linked to investments (1)
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The impact on employment linked to investments (2)

• The jobs generated by investment are, in all
  scenarios, animated by a dynamic of relatively
  sustained growth over the period 2001-2030.
• This growth is greater than that predicted by the
  reference scenario in the WWF/WI and AEE-nuclear
  scenarios, the gap being 80,000 and 50,000 FTE
  jobs respectively.
• In the scenario F4 the led jobs are stable with
  regard to the reference scenario

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The impact on employment linked to investments (3)
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The impact on employment linked to investments (4)
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Balance of employment movements in the
electricity generation sector
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Balance of employment movements in the
electricity generation sector
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Balance of employment movements in the
electricity generation sector

• The active and ambitious policies of reduction of
  the energy intensity make a positive contribution
  to the employment although they lead to a light
  erosion of the employment in the sector of the
  electricity production (PM and F4).
• A contrario the industry is consolidated and
  registers a progress of its jobs.

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Risks opportunities for employment in the
electricity sector

• Risks Decline in employment in
  electricity generation
• Substitution of gas or renewable energy sources
  for coal-fired powerplants the question of
  closing or preservation of coal-fired powerplants
  (issue of CCS technologies).
• For utilities, a change in their organisational
  model combining decentralisation with proximity
  services.
• The issue of the impact on energy employment of a
  nuclear-exit
• Opportunities Renewable energies, Energy
  services, energy efficiency, CHP.

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Recommendation for climate policies

• Economic industrial PM
• new impetus to the control of energy,
• ambitious RD support for renewable energies and
  low-carbon technologies,
• deployment of all available economic instruments
  while taking care to minimise possible
  undesirable side-effects.
• Social PM
• Tools for prospective management of competences
  training should be being put in place as of now
  to ensure job mobility for employees in the
  sector to the new occupations linked with
  decentralised energy production, efficient energy
  usage, renewable energy sources ( in particular
  in the maintenance area).
• with the decentralisation of energy sources and
  the development of energy services, competences
  need to be reoriented so as to encompass the
  specific services functions.

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