Title: Defaults, choice architecture, and choice overload Dan Goldstein Assistant Professor of Marketing London Business School
1Defaults, choice architecture, and choice
overloadDan GoldsteinAssistant Professor of
MarketingLondon Business School
2- Classical View
- Diagnosis People do not derive enough value from
organ donation. - Treatment Increase incentives.
- Psychology / Behavioral Economics
- Diagnosis People do not know whether they want
to donate organs, they generate an answer when
asked. - Treatment
- Realize this is an unpleasant question and that
there is a cost in making a decision. - Ask questions in a way that gives the answer most
people would if they thought about it at length.
3Organ Donation
Johnson Goldstein, 2003
4Constructed preferences
5- Donation rates per million
- Years 1991-2001
- Presumed vs. Explicit Consent
- Controls
- Transplant Centers per million
- Percent post-secondary education
- Percent Roman Catholic
- Result Defaults produce a 16 (Johnson and
Goldstein), 25-30 (Abadie and Gay) to 50
(Gimble et al.) increase in donations.
6The case for consumer protection
7Opt-out privacy
8With seat reservation Without seat reservation
With seat reservation Without seat reservation
40 Million
9 2 Billion
10Possible Causes of Default Effects
- Effort / Inattention
- Loss Aversion / Endowment Effect
- Perceived Majority Preference
- Perceived Recommendation
11Recommendations
People are asked to choose investment funds and
allocate money to them.
___________ ___________ ___________ ___________
To select more funds click here
______________________________________________
__________________________________________
Big form
Small form
Heuristics and Biases in Retirement Savings
Behavior, Benartzi and Thaler (2006)
12(No Transcript)
13Positive influences of defaults
14Choice of Green Energy in a European City
15In a firm where new employees save nothing
towards their pension as a default 70 of
employees savednothing towards their own pension.
16Contribution levels when the default is 3
From The Importance of Default Options for
Retirement Saving Outcomes Evidence from the
United States by Beshears, Choi, Laibson
Madrian. Available online.
17Save More Tomorrow
Benartzi and Thaler, 2007
18Policies for setting defaults
19Rules for setting defaults
- Mass defaults
- Benign defaults
- Random defaults
- Hidden options
- Forced choice
- Personalized defaults
- Persistent defaults
- Smart defaults
- Adaptive defaults