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IPILPS Proposal for GLASS

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Title: IPILPS Proposal for GLASS


1
IPILPS Proposal for GLASS
  • Ann Henderson-Sellers, Graham Farquhar, Kendal
    McGuffie, Parviz Irannejad, Kristof Sturm, David
    Noone, Andy Pitman, Luis Martinelli and friends
    of PILPS

2
Land Surface Stable Water Isotopes
  • Research Hypotheses - with appropriately
    complex land-surface parameterization Stable
    Water Isotopes (SWI) (i.e. HDO and H218O) can
  • integrate basin-scale hydrological processes
  • partition water fluxes i.e.
  • precipn rivers v. groundwater
  • evapn transpiration v. evap
  • trace sources of water
  • label CO2 fluxes thus help resolve global
    carbon budgets (cf. Fung )

Proposing new type of PILPS/GLASS experiment in
which intercomparisons inform and educate the
community of land-surface modellers as they
develop their codes rather than afterwards
3
Quick Background/Introduction
  • GLASS PILPS
  • is an off-line intercomparison
  • is not about coupling we recognize the
    importance of host e.g. GLACE Lui et al.,
    2004a.b (multi-criteria)
  • Stable Water Isotopes (SWI)
  • are stable for ever (not radioactive i.e. do not
    decay)
  • occur naturally in the environment they are
    free
  • GCM simulation history e.g. Randy Joussaume, S.
    Sadourny, R. Jouzel, J., 1984, A general
    circulation model of water isotopes cycles in the
    atmosphere, Nature, 311, 24-29

4
SWIs Predicted in GCMs sexy !
Kei Yoshirmura
5
Stable Water Isotopes (SWI) Primer
  • Regular water 1H216O
  • H218O (2.0047e-3)
  • HDO (0.1557e-3)
  • D2O (5e-8) heavy water
  • Concentrations measured as enrichments w.r.t.
    Vienna Standard Mean Ocean Water (VSMOW)
  • d negative (depleted w.r.t. SMOW)
  • d positive (enriched w.r.t. SMOW)
  • Heavier molecules condense from vapour more
    readily and evaporate less readily allowing us to
    trace and quantify the paths taken by water in
    the hydrological cycle
  • Water characterised on 2-D plot of dD and d18O
  • Meteoric water line MWL (local and global)
  • Local evaporation line (LEL)

6
Overview of IPILPS Plan
  • IPILPS Isotopes in Project for Intercomparison
    of Land-surface Parameterisation Schemes
  • Demand from GCMs adding SWIs now - SWING
  • Links to GEWEX CSEs especially in MDB
  • Need in IAEA CRP 18O in Terrestrial Vegetation
  • Use PILPS strategies to investigate effectiveness
    value of stable water isotopes (SWIs) in LSSs
  • Off-line simulations planned as follows
  • Sept 2004 -approval from GLASS Panel
  • Oct 04 - REMO forcing for 3 locations (Vienna,
    Manaus, Tumbarumba)
  • Dec 04 Experimental framework agreed call
    issued
  • PILPS criteria for energy and water evaluation
    new for SWI
  • Apr/May 05 -Wshop to evaluate d18O dD results
    value
  • Dec 05 IPILPS/GLASS session in AGU Fall Meeting

7
Challenging LSSs with SW Isotopes
www.bgc-jena.mpg.de/bgc- synthesis/projects/SWING
d d 18O (d D)
8
SWIs Measure CSE Basin Change
  • Water isotopes integrate lake catchments in
    Mackenzie (MAGS)
  • Logarithmic enhancement in Darling reveals
    irrigation impacts (MDB)

9
Darling River 2002-3 Drought
d18O and d D measured in 2002-3 drought
Bourke
Walgett
Wilcannia
Collarenabri
Menindie
Gunnedah
Burtundy
Tracing a non-linear relation
10
CSE -GEWEX Continental Scale Exps
11
REMO d18O in Mid-Lat Precipitation
d18O as good, or bad, as precipitation amounts
(Sturm et al., 2004)
12
SWI Sensitivity Compounds Hydrology
ISOLSM at 2 separate sites different dD d18O
13
MDBWBP and IAEA CRP on 18O
  • GEWEX CSE on Murray Darling Basin Water Balance
    Project (MDBWBP)- SWIs from inception
  • IAEA CRP on 18O in Terrestrial Vegetation
    requires
  • Measurements of 18O and D in grasses, trees,
    soil-water, rain and vapour at Tumbarumba near
    Canberra
  • Diurnal resolution of these fluxes pools 18O
    and D in grasses, trees, soil-water, rain and
    vapour (carbon folks!)
  • How to do all this?
  • Simulations off-line ISOLSM as eg
  • Observations to evaluate refine these
  • Strength of SWIs and IPILPS
  • Isotopes are INDEPENDENT data
  • Isotopic shifts relate to evaporation
    /condensation i.e. to energy in/out
  • Strong diurnal dependence - GMPP

14
LSS Sensitivity to SWI in Vapour
ISOLSM in Amazon for two vapour enrichments
15
Test IPILPS Concepts Tumbarumba
16
FTIR spectrometer IR gas spectra
  • Real-time, field-portable instrument
  • Whole air measurement
  • No sample chemistry
  • Time resolution 1-20 minutes
  • Precision dD ? 0.5 - 1 d13CO2 ? 0.2
    (dried air)

17
IPILPS Exciting Opportunity
  • Use PILPS strategies to investigate effectiveness
    value of stable water isotopes (SWIs) in LSSs
  • Results potential to drive observations models
  • Assists GCMs adding SWIs SWING (IAEA)
  • Adds to GEWEX CSEs MAGS, LBA especially in
    MDB
  • Informs obs in IAEA CRP 18O in Terrestrial
    Vegetation
  • Exploits INDEPENDENT data not used in parametn
  • Informs educates LSS owners as codes develop
  • ECHAM/REMO bucket plus rs (Hoffman Sturm)
  • MECBETH (Cuntz) includes carbon
  • ISOLSM (Riley Irannejad)
  • CLMiso (Noone)
  • GISS LSSiso (Schmidt)
  • ORCHIDEE LSSiso (de Noblet)
  • SiB3iso (Suits) includes carbon
  • Iso-MATSIRO (Yoshimura)

18
Isotopes Can Reduce LSS Uncertainty
SiBlings
  • Differences in LSS partition of surface available
    energy are a (?the?) largest source of LSS
    prediction range Henderson-Sellers et al. 2003,
    GRL
  • SWIs naturally track and differentiate
    evaporation (i.e. from water surfaces) from
    transpiration (i.e. through plants)
    Henderson-Sellers et al. 2002, J Clm, 2004, JGR
  • SWIs determine LSS latent heat component
    separation correctness reduce uncertainty

19
IPILPS Science Questions
  • Do SWIs allow determination of the right
    partitioning of latent and sensible heats?
  • Do continental isotopic fluxes depend most on
    atmosphere, the land-surface conditions or their
    exchanges? Factorial/Multi-criteria exps cf.
    Henderson-Sellers 1993, J Climate, 6, 227-247
  • Are adequately correct isotopic pools and
    fluxes possible with inadequate LSS complexity?
  • Can LSSs to reproduce isotopic components of the
    water and mass (carbon initially) budgets?
  • IPILPS is open to LSS which already have or soon
    intend to incorporate stable water isotopes
    and/or carbon isotopes. Valuable for LSS owners
    to join IPILPS prior to incorporation of isotopic
    pools and fluxes.

20
Planned Timeline Web addresses
  • SWING http//www.bgc-jena.mpg.de/bgc-synthesis/pro
    jects/SWING/index.shtml
  • PILPS http//pilps.mq.edu.au/
  • GNIP isohis.iaea.org
  • REMO http//lgge.obs.ujf-grenoble.fr/sturm/REMOis
    o/controlEU.html
  • Proposed timeline for IPILPS
  • Sept 2004 approval from GLASS Panel (its time
    guys)
  • Oct 04 REMO/ECHAM forcing for 3 locations
  • Vienna, Manaus, Tumbarumba (need high quality
    obs)
  • Dec 04 Experimental framework agreed call
    issued
  • PILPS criteria for energy and water evaluation (
    ALMA)
  • new for SWI (need to determine precision of new
    FTIR obs)
  • Apr/May 05 -Wshop probably in Canberra
    (carbon-ites)
  • evaluate d18O dD results value (owners in
    charge)
  • consider at least 18O tagging of plant carbon
    exchange

21
Arigato gozaimasu
  • Dave Griffith, U of Wollongong FTIR instrument
    and observations and proposed data collection for
    IPILPS
  • THIS IS EXCITING, VERY VALUABLE and NEW
  • Kendal McGuffie, UTS Amazon analysis, GSWP2
    beginnings and ISOLSM simulations
  • Parviz Irannejad, ANSTO Environment ISOLSM
    simulations
  • David Stone, ANSTO Environment Darling River
    observations
  • Kei Yoshirmura, IIS MATSIRO-Iso
  • Kristof Sturm, MPI REMO-Iso for forcing

22
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