Arctic Shipping and the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment

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Arctic Shipping and the Arctic Climate Impact
Assessment

• Rob Huebert
• Centre for Military and Strategic Studies
• Department of Political Science
• University of Calgary

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http//www.amap.no/acia/index.html
-Commissioned by Arctic Council -Conducted by
Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme
(AMAP), Conservation of Arctic Flora and Fauna
(CAFF) with International Arctic Science
Committee (IASC) -fully referenced, referred,
international study -four years, 100s of
scientists and researchers
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Carbon Gas Emissions
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Carbon Gases and Temperature Rise
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Climate Change and the Arctic
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Observed Temperature Rise in the Arctic
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Observed Surface and Air Temperature 1954-2003
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Observed Seasonal Arctic Sea-Ice Extent
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Observed Sea Ice Satellite Imagery
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Projected Temperature Rise
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Projected Temperature Change
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Projected Changes in Sea Ice
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Projected Ice Extent 2010-2090 September
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Shipping Lanes and Projected Ice Cover
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Projected Navigation Northern Sea Route
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Shipping Distances Panama Canal vs NWP
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Differences between Northern Sea Route and North
West Passage

• Development of Infrastructure
• Melt Rate
• Charting

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Impact on Canada

• Sovereignty
• Environment
• Coastal Communities
• Ship Safety