Global Strategy to Improve Agricultural Statistics

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Global Strategy to ImproveAgricultural
Statistics
Food and Agriculture June 22,
2009 Organization
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Global Strategy

• An initiative of the United Nations Statistical
  Commission
• FAO and UN Statistics Divisionsecretariatother
  partners including World Bank, African
  Development Bank, Eurostat, US Dept of
  Agriculture
• Should be viewed as a medium to long term plan
  and a living document

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Challenges for Policy

• Agriculture primary source to feed and clothe a
  growing population
• While doing so, must
• Raise millions out of poverty
• Reduce agricultures affect on the environment
  and global warming
• Sustain water and land resources
• Determine information needed to make policy
  decisions, monitor their effect

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Vision global strategy to support decision
making in 21st century

• Countries will agree upon a set of core data that
  meet data requrements and pledge to provide
  annually.
• To meet data user expectations, agriculture will
  be integrated into the national statistical
  system.
• Integration will be achieved by introducing
  methodology so that results are comparable across
  countries and over time.

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Overview of the presentation

• Why need a global strategy?
• Basic and emerging data requirements
• Conceptual framework for agriculture
• Assessment of current agricultural statistics
• Developing the strategy
• Governance to meet strategic goals
• Data quality and the way forward

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Basic Data Requirements
Crop production Forecasts And estimates
Forestry Inventory Production
Livestock Inventories And production
Aquaculture Fishery Production
Declining quantity and Quality of data, Or
simply Not available
Prices
Stocks
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Emerging Data Requirements
Food price Crises Global Economy
Millennium Development Goals
Energy Costs Bio Fuels
Global warming Climate change
Happening at Same time, Are inter-related, Much
data not available
Agriculture Affect on The Environment
Land and Water use
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Conceptual FrameworkAgricultural production
Natural Environment
Institutional Framework
Outcomes and results
The production process
Socio-economic, political
Output and Utilization
Factors of Production
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Conceptual Framework

• Broaden scope to include forestry, fisheries
• Statistical units Agriculture holding,
  household, and establishments
• Inclusion of rural and rural communities
• Scope includes production by households
• Land cover and use, Water use

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StatisticsCurrent StatusDeclining response
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Statisticscurrent status

• Declining number of countries reporting basic
  production
• Loss of statistical capacity
• Agriculture left out of National Strategies for
  Development of Statistics
• Duplicative efforts-conflicting numbers
• Forestry, fisheries outside national and
  agricultural systems

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Statistics current status -The Dilemma who
does what

• National Statistics Offices
• Ministry Departments of Agriculture
• Land Management/Natural Resources Agencies
• Marketing Boards/ Commissions
• Health, education agencies
• Development efforts by donors, WB

• Each Collects
• data for own use
• with results that
• do not always
• agree and limited
• ability to
• share data

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Steps to determine the strategy

• Developing a menu of indicators
• FAO evaluations
• World Bank/FAO Source Book of Indicators
• FAO World Programme for Ag Census
• Identifying a minimum sub set of core data items
  that meets most urgent data needs
• Determining how to meet data needs by integrating
  agriculture into national system

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Menu of Indicators

• Meets basic and emerging requirements
• Data to estimate each indicator, sources,
• Technical notes/ classifications, etc
• More than any one country can do annually
• Shows where indicators require overlapping data
  (crop production/ land/water use/ input use,
  etc.)
• Determine a minimum subset of core all countries
  agree to provide annually
• Evaluate national needs to select additional
  items, determine frequency

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Choice of Core

• About 15 major commodities accounting for over 95
  percent of world production
• Production, prices, trade,--balances
• Value added, food security, productivity
• Land, water use
• Plus Forestry, aquaculture fishery
• Major economic variables
• Labor, household income, agricultural income
  inputs, demographics, consumption

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How meet core requirements?

• Points to need to integrate agriculture into
  national statistical system
• Agreed upon set of methodology
• Master Sample Frame
• Integrated survey framework
• Master data file (data warehouse)

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Integrate agriculture into national statistical
system

• Avoid duplication of resources for frames, data
  collection, analysis
• Avoid different data bases and conflicting
  numbers
• Provide linkage between agriculture, land use,
  the environment, and houshold income
• Improve statistical capacity
• Combine and focus scarce resources

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Global Strategy to Improve Agricultural
Statistics
Data requirements and Conceptual Framework
Integrate Agriculture into National statistics
System
Methodology to Integrate Agriculture
Menu of indicators Minimum set of core Data
items
Master Sample Frame
Integrated Survey Framework
Integrated Data Base
Governance and Statistical Capacity Building
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Integrated data bases

• Official statistics
• Harmonized definitions and classifications
• Each item appear one time i.e. one official
  number for everything from population, GDP, to
  maize forecast or production.
• Micro datalong term view
• Connect across surveys over time
• Increase analytical capabilities

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The governance challenge

• How coordinate efforts of Ministries of
  Agriculture, National Statistical Offices, and
  others?
• Who does whatMaster sample frame, Integrated
  Survey Frame work, Integrated data base?
• Starting pointform a Statistical Council
• Build off strengths of each stakeholder
• Technical expertise
• Subject matter knowledge

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The governance challenge

• Role of national organizations
• Add agriculture (forestry and fisheries) to
  National Strategies for Development of Statistics
• Focus fund raising on national statistical system
• Role of international organizations
• Focus capacity building and support for
  statistics on overall national statistical system
• Centers of excellence-statistics, remote sensing?
• Role of Donors
• Work with Statistical Council instead of separate
  sectors

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The way forward

• National inputMin of AG, National Statistical
  Offices other stakeholders
• Review and update National Strategies for
  Development of Statistics
• International input from stakeholders
• ISI Satellite meeting on agricultural statistics
• Develop final strategy for 2010 UNSC
• Develop Implementation Plan

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Thank you!Questions?Comments--Suggestions