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Epidemiology

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13. Cirrhosis of liver. 18. Opioid overdose. Epidemiology & Impact. Drug-induced Deaths ... risks of harm in the long term. risks of harm in the short term ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Epidemiology


1
Epidemiology Impact of Alcohol and Drug (AOD)
Use in Australia
2
Relevance to GPs
  • Psychoactive drug problems are in the top 1020
    problem areas managed by GPs
  • GPs encounter AOD-related problems across wide
    age ranges (e.g. from 12-year-olds using volatile
    substances to older people with alcohol and
    sedatives)
  • Basic information on patterns and prevalence will
    assist GPs to identify patients with potential
    AOD problems.

3
Emphasising Diversity
  • AOD patterns of use vary across local, state and
    national levels
  • Variations also exist between city, urban, rural
    and remote areas
  • Types of drugs used and patterns of use vary
    within communities and culturally diverse
    populations
  • An individuals pattern of use also changes over
    time, and requires regular monitoring
  • Drug use is determined by numerous factors
    including availability, access, cost, social
    norms and sanctions, social controls, cultural
    diversity.

4
Drugs in Context
Figure 1 Attributable risk factor DALYs as a
proportion () of total DALYs (AIHW 2000)
Epidemiology Impact
5
Tobacco, alcohol and illicit drugs were
responsible for 8.9 of the total global burden
of disease world wide in 2000.
Drugs and the Global Burden of Disease
WHO (2003)
6
Top 10 Major Causes of Death
6. COPD 7. Road traffic accidents 8. Breast
cancer 9. Diabetes Mellitis 10. Dementia.
  • 1. Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD)
  • 2. CVA
  • 3. Lung cancer
  • 4. Suicide
  • 5. Colorectal cancer

7
Drug-induced Deaths
8
Predicted Changes in Drug Use
  • 1. Tobacco decrease in developed countries,
    increase in developing countries
  • 2. Alcohol will continue to be problematic for
    younger people
  • 3. Illicit drug use increasing numbers of young
    people and females
  • 4. Patterns of illicit drug use will vary
    increasingly rapidly
  • 5. Polydrug use will continue
  • 6. New illicit drugs will continue to emerge
    with advances in creative pharmacology.

9
Key Sources of Alcohol and Drug Epidemiological
Data
  • Better Evaluation and Care of Health (BEACH)
    Project
  • database of GP / patient encounter information
  • National Drug Strategy (NDS) Household Surveys
  • population based data on patterns and prevalence
    of use
  • Illicit Drug Reporting System (IDRS)
  • early warning system to identify drug use trends
  • National Minimum Data Set for Alcohol and Other
    Drugs of Concern (NMDS-AODTS)
  • annual survey of all Australian AOD treatment
    services

10
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11
Epidemiology Impact
12
Recent Drug Use
AIHW (2002)
13
Tobacco
  • National prevalence of daily smoking 19.5
  • Drop of over 2 from 1998
  • I in 5 teenagers smoked in 2001, 15 smoked
    daily
  • 26 of the pop. had ceased smoking
  • GP interventions esp. important.

AIHW (2002)
14
Alcohol
  • Still the most popular drug
  • over 80 of population drinks
  • 8 drink daily, peak in males 60 (23) 40
    drink weekly
  • At-risk drinking now defined by NHMRC as
  • risks of harm in the long term
  • risks of harm in the short term
  • Important role for GPs in giving advice
    consistent with NHMRC risk levels.

15
Australias Drinking Guidelines
  • Australias drinking guidelines were developed by
    the NHMRC.
  • See www.nhmrc.gov.au

16
A Standard Drink
17
Risky Drinking Patterns
  • 34 of drinkers (gt14 yrs) put themselves at risk
    of alcohol-related harm, in the short term, on at
    least one occasion over 12 months
  • Over one in 10 females aged 1419, and over one
    in six males aged 2029, put themselves at risk
    of alcohol-related harm, in the short term
  • 60 of 2029 yr olds drink in a risky manner
  • 12 do so at least weekly.

18
Who drinks?
Age
19
Drinking Patterns for Acute Harm
High Risk M gt 11 SD p.d. F gt 7 SD p.d.

ABSTAINERS
Risky M gt 7 SD p.d. F gt 5 SD p.d.
RISKY / HIGH RISK
Low Risk M 6 SD p.d. F 4 SD p.d.
LOW RISK
1 Standard Drink (SD) 10g of alcohol
20
Risky Drinking Patterns
Percentage of the population who drink at medium
to high risk levels for acute harm at least once
a month (2001)
21
Drinking Patterns for Chronic Harm
ABSTAINERS
High Risk M gt7 SD p.d. F gt5 SD p.d.
LOW RISK
HIGH RISK
Risky M 5 - 6 SD p.d. F 3 - 4 SD p.d.
RISKY
Low Risk M 4 SD per day F 2 SD per day
1 Standard Drink (SD) 10g of alcohol
22
Indigenous Drinking Patterns

23
Alcohol Induced Memory Loss
  • Teenagers (28.4) were most likely to have memory
    loss incident following drinking
  • 4.4 reported blackouts occurred on weekly
    basis
  • 10.9 reported blackouts on a monthly basis
  • Memory loss occurred after drinking for
  • 12 male drinkers aged gt40 years
  • 6.6 female drinkers aged gt40 years
  • 2030 of all other age groups.

24
Alcohol and Days of Work or Study Missed
25
NDRI (2000)
26
Recent Illicit Drug Use
Drug

27
Illicit Drug Users Characteristics
  • People who used drugs recently were more likely
    to
  • have post-school qualifications
  • not be the most socio-economically disadvantaged
  • live in urban, rather than rural or remote areas
  • be unemployed.

28
Patterns of Illicit Drug Use (1)
  • Approx. 1 in 5 Australians have ever used an
    illicit drug, other than cannabis
  • 1.3 million people (8.4 pop.) used an illicit,
    other than cannabis, in past 12 months
  • Recent users were most likely to be
  • males
  • aged 2029 (one in five males used illicits,
    other than cannabis, in last 12 months)
  • Average age of first use ranged from 17.6 years
    (inhalants) to 22.8 years (tranquillisers)
  • 13 pop. used cannabis in last 12 months.

29
Patterns of Illicit Drug Use (2)
  • Illicit drug use peaks at age 2029, then
    declines with age
  • Teenagers are the next group most likely to use
    illicit drugs
  • 28 teenagers have used an illicit drug
    (cannabis is most common 25)
  • Reasons for using illicit drugs
  • curiosity (82)
  • peer pressure (55)
  • excitement (22)
  • to take a risk (10).

30
Recent Injecting Drug Use
AIHW (2003)
31
Injecting Drug Use
  • In 2001
  • 0.6 of Australians reported injecting in past
    12 months
  • 60,000 persons aged 2029 years reported
    injecting illicits in past 12 months
  • almost 10,000 teenagers reported injecting in
    2001
  • average age of first injecting was 20.2 years
  • males were more likely to have ever injected.

AIHW (2002)
32
Injecting Drug Use and AIDS
WHO (2003)
33
The Threat from HIV
By 2010, HIV will have caused more deaths than
any disease outbreak in history.Injecting drug
use is an important contributor to the spread of
HIV/AIDS.
34
Epidemiology Impact
35
Heroin
  • Around 0.2 prevalence of recent use
  • - down from 0.8 in 1998
  • 50 of population consider heroin the main drug
    problem up from 37 in 1998
  • Highest usage amongst 2029 years
  • Lifetime prevalence 1.6.

AIHW (2002)
36
Heroin Trends
  • Availability tended to increase from 2002 to 2003
    (after sharp decrease in 2001)
  • Price decreased from 2002 to 2003
  • Cheapest in NSW, most expensive in NT
  • Purity and number of seizures has decreased.

Breen et al. (2003)
37
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38
Amphetamines
Amphetamines make up the illicit drug group most
likely to have been
  • ever injected
  • most recently injected
  • In 2001
  • 8.9 pop. reported trying amphetamines
  • 3.4 pop. had used in the last 12 months
  • 1 in 9 people aged 2029 had used amphetamines in
    the last 12 months

39
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40
Methamphetamine
Methamphetamine is the more commonly used form of
ATS
  • Methamphetamine was cheapest in SA
  • Powder and base easiest to obtain
  • Availability was stable
  • Crystal meth often more difficult to obtain in
    some places
  • Methamphetamine use has decreased or stabilised
    in most jurisdictions in 2002.

Breen et al. (2003)
41
Ecstasy
  • Recent use prevalence 2.9
  • Highest recent use among males 2029 years (13)
  • Significant increases in use by females 2029
    years and females overall
  • Ever used 6, up slightly from 1998.

42
Cocaine
  • Decreased in frequency and prevalence of use in
    NSW
  • In other states remains uncommon, therefore
    infrequently used
  • NSW showed an association between increased
    heroin use and decreased cocaine use
  • Median purity of domestic seizures was lower than
    in recent years, though purity at border seizures
    was higher.

Breen et al. (2003)
43
Volatile Substances
  • Sporadic patterns of use
  • Mostly young males
  • Disadvantaged and dislocated young people most at
    risk.

44
Cannabis (1)
  • 13 recent use, down from 18 in 1998
  • 24 reported opportunity to use
  • One in four teenagers, and one in three 2029
    years, used in past 12 months
  • Males rates higher than females for all age
    groups
  • 33 ever used.

AIHW (2003)
45
Cannabis (2)
  • Most stable of illicit drug markets
  • Easy to obtain
  • Prices have decreased slightly since last IDRS
  • Dominant form is hydroponically grown version,
    though bush, hash and hash oil was available
    across all jurisdictions.

Breen et al. (2003)
46
Cannabis Users, Preferred Concurrent Use
47
Polydrug Use
  • Most people who use illicit drugs use a variety
    of different drugs
  • Polydrug use is the norm among drug users
  • Particular combinations of drugs are preferred
  • Particular patterns of drug substitution also
    occur (e.g., alcohol is widely used as a
    substitute drug for heroin when the latter is in
    short supply).

48
Profiles of Harm
49
Drugs and Young People
(1417 yrs)
  • Alcohol use
  • 66 had a full glass of alcohol in the last 12
    months, about 20 drank weekly
  • 34 drinking at risky/high risk levels for short
    term harm (same as general population).
  • Illicit drug use
  • 31 had used an illicit drug (including cannabis)
  • 12 had used an illicit drug other than cannabis.

50
Principal Drugs of Concern
Proportion of clients seeking treatment by
principal drugs of concern and jurisdiction,
2002-03
NMDS (200203)
51
Client Registrations by Source of Referral

52
All Drugs Health Care Costs
59.2M
225 M
1094.9M
Collins Lapsley (2002)
53
All Drugs Total Social Costs
6 075M
7 560M
6 075m
7 560m
21 063M
21 063m
Total social costs of AOD use 31 439.8m
Collins Lapsley (2002, p. 59)
54
All Drugs Tangible Social Costs
5 107M
5 541M
5 107m
5 541m
7 587M
7 587m
Collins Lapsley (2002, p. 58)
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